I had to do a double-take when I saw that Shamaal Nibraas was rated one of the rank outsiders in the 15:50. There is no way in the world that he should be a generally-available 25/1 chance, and trading at a juicy 26.025/1 on Betfair.
The Ismail Mohammed stable got some welcome news when it was announced that Sir Henry Cecil's former right-hand man Mike Marshall is joining them next season.
But it isn't as if they have had a poor campaign. Quite the opposite in fact, as their red-hot stable surely has the best wins-to-runs ratio in the land. Their last three runners have all won, and overall strike rate with older horses is a staggeringly good 14 from 46, or 37%.
Of course, one of those three winners was last week's winning Cambridgeshire gamble Educate, and the four-year-old Shamaal Nibraas has far better chances of netting the stable another big handicap winner than odds of 26.025/1 suggest.
Even though he only finished 10th of 29 here last time, it was still a fair effort - and handily dropped 1lb for it - and he is now only 3lb higher than when finishing third of 27 at 33/1 in the Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot.
Both of those runs came on fast ground but there is a suspicion that he may be seen to even better effect on slower ground here - indeed, he beat the Group 2 winner Gregorian in heavy ground at Salisbury last season.
The break since July should have freshened him up, and it is interesting to note that the Salisbury win came after a near two-month break.
He has so much in his favour that I genuinely expected him to be among the market leaders. Back him in the win market at 26.025/1 or bigger and 6.05/1 or bigger in the place.
Of course, there are plenty of dangers as you would expect, chief among them Bertiewhittle and Ascription, but he is my sole selection.
The 13:30 at Ascot is not on terrestrial TV, but I wouldn't put anyone off backing Lady Gibraltar.
I think Extortionist has to go well in the 14:05 but for my other betting interest I am going to recommend a two-pronged attack in the next race.
15:15 Ascot - Music Master and Secret Witness
Back Music Master and Secret Witness at odds of 13.012/1 and 40.039/1 or bigger respectively.
There is a danger that Music Master could be well supported in the betting - in fact, it has already been nibbled during the day after one firm initially made him a 16-1 chance - so my advice would be to back him early this evening.
Because he looks all over a horse who is going to excel now dropped down to 6f; you only have to take a look at the video of his Goodwood run last time to tell you that.
He stays 7f all right, but everything about the way he travels so powerfully through his races leads you to believe that he could be a Group sprinter in waiting over 6f. And he gets the chance to show it here on a track on which he finished a good 5th in the Jersey at Royal Ascot in June.
We were with Secret Witness last week but in hindsight he is probably more of a 6f horse, so my apologies. But he ran OK, to an extent, over 5f at Haydock and his previous Portland third gives him far stronger form claims than his massive price would indicate.
The two Tattersalls' Millions sales races at Newmarket don't exactly scream "bet on me" - though token suggestions would be Wedding Ring in the opener, and Jallota in the 14:20 - and I am afraid that the other Channel 4 races at HQ hold limited betting appeal, too.
I was tempted to side with Mabait, who got his head in front over course and distance last time after a string of consistent performances. But there isn't enough juice in the price for me.
And good luck if you playing in the Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar, as well.
It looks your usual 23-runner minefield. If forced I would go for Ventura Mist, who probably put up a career best in a Group 3 at Ayr last time. But, as with the juvenile contests at Newmarket, I am happy to sit this one out.
I won't be sitting on the fence tomorrow though, so tune in then to read my thoughts on Sunday's Arc card at Longchamp.
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