Find Me a 100 Winner: Four long-shots chanced in Europe and the States at between 119/1 and 329/1

How will the Open Championship qualifiers fare in Germany?

A large proportion of the field at this week's BMW International Open on the DP World Tour have hotfooted it to Germany from the UK having played in the final qualifiers for the Open Championship, staged at West Lancashire, Royal Cinque Ports, Dundonald Links and Burnham & Berrow on Tuesday.

With only five places up for grabs at each of the four venues, the majority will pitch up in Germany disappointed having not got into the year's final major after two rounds around one of the four links venues.

It's difficult to know what affect playing in these final qualifiers will have on anyone lining up here. Will the qualifiers ride their wave of momentum and will those that failed be able to pick themselves up after the disappointment?

I liked two that played on Tuesday, England's Nathan Kimsey, who retired at Royal Cinque Ports after a poor start to round two, and last year's third here, Kazuma Kobori.

Although he has poor course form figures reading MC-53, Kimsey's accurate tee game and eighth placed finish in Belgium in May around Rinkven, a course that appears to correlate very nicely with Golfclub München Eichenried, suggests he should enjoy the venue but I'm reluctantly leaving him out in favour of the week's first column selection, Kobori.

BMW International Open bet #1 - Kazuma Kobori @ 120.0119/1

The 24-year-old New Zealander, Kazuma Kobori, has drifted out to a very attractive price after his Open Championship qualification on Tuesday, when he finished tied for second behind Sam Bairstow at West Lancs.

Kobori said afterwards: "It feels incredible to have qualified for the Open. I played really good golf out there and I felt like I deserved it.

"The second round, I felt more familiar with the golf course. I was able to read the greens better and see how the bunkers played. I got used to the links conditions and played the tougher holes better."

That's an interesting quote given it looked like it took him a little time to get used to this week's venue last year on debut.

Kobori sat tied for 73^rd after a 72 on Thursday but he ended the week in third place after rounds of 67, 68 and 63.

A month after his third here in Germany he finished second to Alex Noren in the British Masters at another tree-lined venue, the Belfy, and that's not entirely surprising given his accuracy off the tee is one of main strengths.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

BMW International Open bet #2 - Shaun Norris @ 210.0209/1

Given he's a winner at Rinkven, Guido Migliozi is an attractive price at around 150.0149/1.

He's missed the cut here three times, but he finished 10^th in 2023 and that's fairly typical form for Migliozzi.

When he contends, he pushes hard for the win, but he tends to drift away tamely when he can't win and he could well figure this week.

Migliozzi missed Tuesday's qualifiers and that could be a plus but I'm reluctantly leaving him out of the staking plan in favour of another that didn't play on Tuesday, South Africa's Shaun Norris, who has course form figures reading MC-5-26.

The 44-year-old hasn't played since he missed the cut at the Japan Golf Tour Championship at the start of June, one week after he hacked up by five strokes in the Mizuno Open to claim his ninth Japan Tour victory, and two weeks after he missed the cut in the Japan PGA Championship.

Prior to that three-week stint in Japan, Norris had finished fourth at the China Open, sixth in The Crowns (back on the Japan Tour) and second in the Catalunya Championship, so he's been in fair form for a few months now.

Odds in excess of 200/1201.00 just don't make any sense.  

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

John Deere Classic bet #1 - A.J Ewart @ 180.0179/1

As highlighted in the John Deere Classic preview, form at Colonial Country Club and Copperhead appears to hold up very well at Deere Run so I'm in complete agreement with Dave Tindall, who has made Canada's A.J Ewert one of his each-way selections.

The 100/1101.00 in the 10-place market has been cut to 80/181.00 so the 180.0179/1 on the Betfair Exchange makes plenty of appeal.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

John Deere Classic bet #2 - Chandler Blanchet @ 330.0329/1

It's now a year since Chandler Blanchet won the first of his two Korn Ferry Tour titles, with the second following in October, and he's already making strides on the PGA Tour.

The 31-year-old took his time to adjust to the bigger stage, missing his first five cuts in his first season on the PGA Tour, but a second placed finish in the Puerto Rico Open in March was followed by a tied 18^th in the Valspar Championship around Copperhead, where he sat third at halfway.

He arrives at Deere Run for his first visit with ordinary current form figures reading 52-44-MC-42-67 but he's been hinting at another good week.

He was tied for 23^rd in the Charles Schwab Challenge with a round to go in his penultimate start and he was just one off the lead after round one on his latest outing, at the Canadian Open.

He amassed a winning score of 27-under-par when winning the Price Cutter Charity Classic in July last year, suggesting a low-scoring birdie-fest like the John Deere Classic won't faze him, and he won the Korn Ferry Tour Championship at the French Lick Resort, where last year's JDC winner, Brian Campbell, finished second in 2024.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

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