Find Me a 100 Winner: Three cracks at another Shriners shocker at huge odds

Golfer Richy Werenski
Barracuda winner Richy Werenski is available to back at massive odds

The Shriners has a long history of shock winners at massive odds. Paul Krishnamurty tries for another with three picks ranging from 239-1 to 549-1...

"In six visits, Hadley has registered four top-20 finishes, thrice inside the top-seven. This simply aren't the numbers of a 369/1370.0 chance."

Back Chesson Hadley 1u @ 369/1370.0
Place order to lay 10u @ 24/125.0

The re-arranged schedule means two cracking events that have been a great target for finding miracle winners at enormous odds over the years. At least if you go back a while.

Around the turn of the century, the BMW PGA Championship had two plausible outcomes. Either Colin Montgomerie won, or an unfathomable outsider. Scott Drummond. Andrew Oldcorn. More recently this column twice picked the winner - Matteo Manassero and Byeong Hun An.

Wentworth swerved but keep Korhonen onside

It has become a lot more predictable of late, though and for that reason all of this week's bets are on the PGA Tour. For a detailed overview, check out Steve Rawlings' comprehensive tournament preview.

Before getting to the main event, I will however quickly mention one pick at 329/1330.0. Mikko Korhonen has played well in the last two renewals and looks very well-suited to the layout.

Very few tournaments on either tour can compete for shock winners with the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Steve runs through some of the names and odds of the miracle winners in his comprehensive preview. Andre Stolz and Phil Taturangi particularly linger in the mind as unbelievable results, that taught me to never dismiss extreme outsiders here.

Perez poised for another strong renewal

Back Pat Perez 1u @ 239/1240.0
Place order to lay 10u @ 15/116.0

Back Pat Perez for a Top 10 Finish 1u @ 13/114.0

Pat Perez enjoyed a good autumn to 2019, with third place here his best result. Whilst he missed last week's cut, there was plenty to like previously about 21st at Corales and ninth at the Safeway. In those two previous starts, he ranked top-eight for putting average.

Good putting and a high birdie average is essential to contend in this birdie-fest. Perez has a strong 4.06 birdie average over the past six months and is suited to this test, as illustrated by six top-30 finishes at Summerlin.

Back Chesson Hadley 1u @ 369/1370.0
Place order to lay 10u @ 24/125.0

Back Chesson Hadley for a Top 10 Finish 1u @ 14/115.0

Sometimes course form is simply too strong to ignore. Summerlin is a course most of these players know inside out and, whilst results imply something of a lottery, it has obvious demands and that suits certain types.

Hadley's course form is superb

In six visits, Hadley has registered four top-20 finishes, thrice inside the top-seven. This simply aren't the numbers of a 369/1370.0 chance.

He's not in terrible form either, registering top-20s in the Safeway Open and Barracuda Championship. The latter is another birdie-fest at altitude, so should correlate. Over the past six months, he ranks fifth among these for birdie average. Another good signal.

Back Richy Werenski 0.5u @ 549/1550.0
Place order to lay 10u @ 19/120.0

Back Richy Werenski for a Top 10 Finish 1u @ 23/124.0

Speaking of the Barracuda and a potential correlation, these odds about the winner of that event are simply ridiculous. That form didn't come out of nowhere - Werenski was on a run of cuts made and had just finished third and 21st in similar birdie-fests. He's since finished top-20 in a FedEx Cup play-off and caught the eye several times over the past year or so.

Werenski best suited by a birdie-fest

This type of golf is his forte. His best form has come in low-scoring affairs and his putting is good, ranking 15th for strokes gained: putting among these over the last eight weeks. Werenski played well here last year, finishing 23rd, having started slowly in 52nd place after round one.

Finally, three alternatives warrant a mention. Talor Gooch 299/1300.0 is an excellent iron player, boasting bits and pieces of form all year, who enjoyed a decent course debut in 16th place. He's first reserve should any of my picks withdraw.

Maverick McNealy 119/1120.0 is from Nevada and is an outstanding putter, although his odds have shortened somewhat. Matthew NeSmith 489/1490.0 is interesting after two excellent tee-to-green performances. He too made the top-20 on debut last year.

Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty


2020: -73.5 units
2019: +70.5 units

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