Golf Bets

Find Me a 100 Winner: Two long-shots chanced at 229/1 and 239/1

  • Steven Rawlings
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Steve Rawlings has two triple-figure priced selections in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on the PGA Tour here...


Given he was matched at a low of 4.131/10 in-running on Sunday, before finishing third in the Qatar Masters, I regret not making Jacob Skov Olesen a selection last week.

He was mentioned in the column, but I was put off by his Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green figures over the last six months and although he improved dramatically in that department, ranking as high as 17th, it may still have ultimately cost him.

That's been the key stat at Doha and the two men to finish in front of the Dane, Patrick Reed and Calum Hill, ranked second and eighth.

On to this week, and the DP World Tour is having a week off ahead of next week's Kenya Open, so we have only the AT&T Pro-Am at Pebble Beach to concentrate on but it's been a decent event for long-shots over the years so I've picked out two.


AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am bet #1 - Andrew Novak @ 230.0229/1

As highlighted in the preview, putting has been the key to victory at Pebble Beach so the likes of Ryan Gerard, Matt McCarty and Jacon Bridgeman, who have all been in nice form of late, were carefully considered given their latest numbers on the greens but the fact that all three are making their debuts at Pebble Beach is off-putting.

Course experience is a big plus here and the vast majority of winners have shown something around Pebble previously, so I've played two with experience of the track, starting with Andrew Novak.

The 30-year-old missed the cut in Phoenix last week, for the second year in-a-row, but he played nicely the week before, firing a final round 66 around the South Course at Torrey Pines to finish seventh in the Farmers Insurance Open.

Andrew Novak in Bermuda.jpg

Like Pebble, Torrey Pines, where he also finished third last year, is a coastal track in California with Poa Annua greens and he's shown a liking to Pebble previously too.

Novak missed the cut on debut in 2022, but he finished 20th in 2023 and 13th last year, after he'd sat fourth at the halfway stage.

The world number 35 is yet to win on the PGA Tour and that's a negative, but he traded at a low of 1.491/2 at the Harbour Town Links in April last year before losing a playoff to Justin Thomas in the RBC Heritage and that was a week before he won the Zurich Classic pairs event alongside Ben Griffin.

I'm not convinced that Novak is one to trust in-contention (he also traded at a low of 2.546/4 in the Bermuda Championship 15 months ago where he finished second) but that doesn't really matter when we have the ability to lock in profit by laying back.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1


AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am bet #2 - Tom Hoge @ 240.0239/1

I was sorely tempted to put up the 2020 AT&T winner, Nick Taylor, who has now won in each of the last three years on the PGA Tour and five times in total.

The 37-year-old Canadian is prolific enough to chance at a triple-figure price, despite not putting brilliantly lately, but instead I've plumped for the 2022 winner, Tom Hoge, who's an even bigger price.

The 36-year-old American's victory here is his sole success on the PGA Tour to date but it wouldn't be as big a surprise as the market suggests if he was to double up here.

Hoge putts very nicely and his form figures at Pebble over the last five years now read 12-1-48-6-17.

As many as 13 players have won the event at least twice and Hoge is very fairly priced to become the 14th to achieve the feat.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1


STEVE'S 2026 FIND ME A 100 WINNER P/L

Staked: 18.5 Us Returned: 0 Us P/L: -18.5 Us

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