Caribbean Premier League Tips Matches 9 and 10: Patriots may be worth gamble as outsiders

St Lucia Kings v Antigua & Barbados Royals CPL Tips

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Monday 17 August, 00.00
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Kings are two wins from three and they could be described as the surprise package. But who have they beaten? The Falcons. Twice. Caution is advised for their fourth match of the season, although we do note they get noticeably stronger next time they are in action. Tim Seifert and Noor Ahmad turn up from The Hundred.

Tridents won their one and only encounter. That was against Jamaica. The value of that win has shot up after Jamaica's surprise win over Trinbago in the early hours of Sunday.

Man for man Tridents should be too strong for Kings. They are almost perfectly balanced and by using Quinton de Kock at No 3 they have shoehorned an extra firestarter in their top order. Zach Carter's striking at 180 against Jamaica suggest they have a player. They will adapt to conditions with their batting order. Sherfane Rutherford and Gudakesh Motie will be promoted with a fast start. The 206 they posted against Jamica was impressive. We would prefer, though, if they found room for Kadeem Alleyne instead of Kevlon Anderson with the bat.

Gros Islet has been historically decent for batting, although not in this tournament so far from the two games. Still, the total runs quote for Barbados at overs 158.5 looks cheap with some impressive hitters.

With the ball, Motie has a strong win rate so Betfair Sportsbook's 3/14.00 about top bowler is value. Maheesh Theekshana has had a strong start for Kings and the 3/14.00 is of interest. Matthew Forde did take all the headlines last time out, though, against Falcons with four.

That game was weather-affected but despite the icons of crashing thunder and lightning, no rain is actually forecast at the time of writing during playing hours.

Jamaica Kingsmen v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots CPL Tips

Click here for Jamaica Kingsmen v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots odds
Tuesday 18 August 01.00
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Well, well, well. Jamaica Kingsmen are still alive in the CPL after a come-from-behind success over Trinbago Knight Riders. Short odds-on vouchers went down all over the shop pre-toss and in-play as the Kingsmen got up to chase a tricky 183 with eight balls to spare.

As much as the result keeps Jamaica competitive (until they lose their next one), there will be consternation among punters that TKR, the holders and short favourites for a repeat, have slipped up so early on. And against a team which had lost their first three.

Fret not. TKR are nothing if not arrogant and complacent. Last season in their second game they were stunned by Falcons. The year before they were stunned in their second game by...Falcons. TKR have got a stinker out the way early s they almost always do. In 2023 they lost to Kings. Also their second match.

It may be, then, that Jamaica's result says more about TKR. The home team remain under significant pressure to keep winning. Do they really deserve to be as short as 1.738/11 for this one? Probably not. The Patriots are reliably inconsistent but they may well be worth a dart at chunky odds-against.

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