It's a high-scoring ground and the four likely openers all have centuries to their name so another ton looks a bet, says Jamie Pacheco.
"So that’s four players, who Inglis aside, are in fine form. They all have T20 centuries to their name and at a ground where you can go big, the 17/2 one of them gets to three figures is worth taking."
Hobart Hurricanes v Perth scorchers
Tuesday December 14, 8:15
Scorchers two from two
You'll win just about any T20 game where someone goes out and scores 114 off 73. That's exactly what Colin Munro did for the Scorchers at the weekend and with a more pedestrian yet important knock of 45 off 37 from Cameron Bancroft, a total of 195/1 was always far too big for the Strikers.
With the ball Jason Behrendoff and Andrew Tye led the way with 3/22 and 3/21 respectively to make sure the Strikers ended up with just 146.
It means the Scorchers are two from two, the only side with an 100% record so far.
The injury to Test fast bowler Josh Hazlewood means they won't be seeing Jhye Richardson for a while. He's a strong favourite to come in for Hazlewood but there are Scorchers players coming into the side rather than going out of it, as well.
Captain Mitch Marsh and keeper/batsman Josh Inglis return from Australia A duty, while English tyro Tymal Mills may be ready to play, too.
Likely XI: Inglis, Munro, Marsh, Patterson, Evans, Turner, Hardie, Agar, Behrendoff, Mills, Hatzoglou.
Wade and Short looking threatening
He didn't quite get to 100 but 93 off 46 from Matthew Wade was more than enough for the Hurricanes to beat the defending champions, the Sixers, pretty easily.
D'Arcy Short was left to play second fiddle with his 73 but it was an extremely important knock, as well.
If those two can consistently fire at the top, they'll be hard to stop.
Joel Paris claimed three wickets with the ball and though he went wicketless, Sandeep Lamichhane played his part with four overs going for just 24 runs.
We're still awaiting a big knock from big Tim David, who didn't get a bat as he wasn't needed the other day.
Hurricanes Likely XI: Wade, Short, Handscomb, Jewell, David, Thompson, Cox, Ellis, Paris, Rogers, Lamichhane.
Venue and conditions
We're at the Bellerive Oval in Hobart for the first time this year.
It was one of the more used grounds last year when only a few of them were played at due to the pandemic.
It's mostly known as a high-scoring ground with the Hurricanes themselves posting 178 on the opening day against the Sixers, then getting 174 in a winning cause against the Strikers. The Sixers then smashed 205 against the Renegades, who they then dismissed for just 60.
Most of the other scores throughout the season were around the 160 mark and this may be one of the grounds where batting first is the way to go. It's not that the wicket necessary gets any worse for batting on. More just that anywhere around the 180 mark is achievable first up but just hard to chase due to scoreboard pressure.
It would be no surprise if the winning captain wants 'first digs'.
A Hobart side at home at their beloved Bellerive Oval and fresh from a thumping of the defending champions at 2.265/4 for this one?
You'll see far worse prices this week going around.
But the Scorchers deserve respect 1.84/5 favourites. They're the only side with an 100% record and also have a strong record against the Hurricanes, being 9-6 ahead and having won their last three clashes.
The inclusion of skipper Mitch Marsh means they have a superb player coming in at three who will also be a useful bowling option (for himself!), while Josh Inglis is far more explosive at the top of the order than Cameron Bancroft. If Tymal Mills is fit, that's just another string to their bow.
But you should be able to trade the Hurricanes from that starting price to around 1.84/5 at some stage, especially if the Wade/Short axis gets off to a fast start.
At such a high-scoring ground, the possibility of a century is always on the cards. Of course, you'd need a lot to go your way to get one, which is why there were only two scored in the whole of last year's editions.
If you think about it, it's almost impossible for anyone bar an opener to get to three figures because you simply won't have enough balls to get there.
But look at the four likely openers here: Wade, Short, Munro, Inglis.
Wade, who has a T20 century to his name, scored 93 not out last game. Short, who has two, was 73 not out when the Hurricanes' innings came to a close last match. Munro now has five T20 centuries (plus three at international level) to his name after the one at the weekend. Josh Inglis, who boasts a career strike rate of 151, has smashed two 100s in this format.
So that's four players, who Inglis aside, are in fine form. They all have T20 centuries to their name and at a ground where you can go big, the 17/2 one of them gets to three figures is worth taking.
Few know this ground like D'Arcy Short, who has scored runs for fun here over the years. He was in fine touch for his 73 not out the other day; a couple more overs and he may well have got to 100.
It's likely to be a four-horse race here for top match batsman among the four openers and with home comforts and at a bigger price than his skipper Wade, Short looks the pick at 5/1.
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JAMIE'S 2021-22 BIG BASH P/L
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