Paynter Fest to strike
Race 3 18:30 Tampa Bay Downs - Paynter Fest
Paynter Fest should go close in this restricted $5k claimer on the main track.
This mare finished a close second to Marvella in a $6,250 claimer over this course last month. She got caught in a speed duel, and paid the price near the line. This was a good performance for the level, and it is good to see leading jockey Samy Camacho ride back for connections. Trainer Jon Arnett is having a solid meeting with a 19% strike rate. Arnett drops her in class and should go one better. Anything around 3.55/2 will do.
Trade Deal to deliver
Race 8 21:00 Tampa Bay Downs - Trade Deal
Trade Deal is my idea of the winner of this $75k optional claimer on the turf.
This Fed Biz colt finished third to Scarlett Sky in a similar event at Gulfstream Park last month. He made a three -wide move at the entrance to the straight, but weakened when the pace lifted. In truth he was a little disappointing, and it is no surprise to see the blinkers back on. He faced better in the past, notably when finishing third to Second of July in a Grade 3 at Belmont Park last October. His work tab is strong and am expecting a big effort. Trainer Wesley Ward does not have many runners here, but his overall record in turf races is 19%. Top jockey Antionio Gallardo has the riding assignment. Anything around 4.57/2 will do.
Recommended bets
Back Paynter Fest Race 3 at 3.55/2 in the 18:30 at Tampa Bay Downs
Back Trade Deal Race 8 at 4.57/2 in the 21:00 at Tampa Bay Downs
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Nick’s Weekly P/L
2021 Overall -3.63
2020 Overall: +96.9
This week so far…
Staked: 4
Returned: 3.0