Wind op to bring about stronger finishing effort
Southwell 15:20: Hector Javilex 1pt e/w 40/1
Kyntara is the odds-on favourite for this maiden hurdle and I've little doubt that he's the most talented horse in the field but his jumping hasn't been slick and he's looked to lack a turn of foot in the closing stages so I'm happy to be against him at that price.
Hector Javilex was a selection in this column on his rules debut at Ludlow and once again I think the market has overlooked his chance.
One of the concerns on that occasion was that he was wearing a tongue tie which suggested they had a worry about his wind and he ran like he had a wind problem. He travelled well tracking Blackcauseway (who reopposes today) for much of the race before going past that rival and into a share of the lead just before turning into the home straight. He was pushed along entering the straight and was only a length behind at 3 out but dropped away very quickly after and was beaten 36 lengths.
He's since had a wind op and the ability he showed in points suggests that he could be competitive in a race of this quality.
There is a concern that Hector Javilex may ideally want quicker ground but he looks overpriced given the ability he's shown and potential for improvement and any 25/1 or bigger appeals.
Recommended bets
Back Hector Javilex in the 15:20 at Southwell 1pt e/w at 41.040/1
RHYS’ PROFIT/LOSS 2022
Staked: 66.00pts
Returned: 102.63pts
P/L: +36.63pts
RHYS’ ROI 2021: 28%