Horse Racing Tips: Rhys Williams' NAP is a maiden hurdler at Southwell

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Our racing expert has one selection on Monday

"He's since had a wind op and the ability he showed in points suggests that he could be competitive in a race of this quality."

Rhys Williams has analysed Monday's racing and has a sole selection at a big price at Southwell.

Wind op to bring about stronger finishing effort

Southwell 15:20: Hector Javilex 1pt e/w 40/1

Kyntara is the odds-on favourite for this maiden hurdle and I've little doubt that he's the most talented horse in the field but his jumping hasn't been slick and he's looked to lack a turn of foot in the closing stages so I'm happy to be against him at that price.

Hector Javilex was a selection in this column on his rules debut at Ludlow and once again I think the market has overlooked his chance.

One of the concerns on that occasion was that he was wearing a tongue tie which suggested they had a worry about his wind and he ran like he had a wind problem. He travelled well tracking Blackcauseway (who reopposes today) for much of the race before going past that rival and into a share of the lead just before turning into the home straight. He was pushed along entering the straight and was only a length behind at 3 out but dropped away very quickly after and was beaten 36 lengths.

He's since had a wind op and the ability he showed in points suggests that he could be competitive in a race of this quality.

There is a concern that Hector Javilex may ideally want quicker ground but he looks overpriced given the ability he's shown and potential for improvement and any 25/1 or bigger appeals.

Recommended bets

Back Hector Javilex in the 15:20 at Southwell 1pt e/w at 41.040/1

RHYS’ PROFIT/LOSS 2022

Staked: 66.00pts

Returned: 102.63pts

P/L: +36.63pts

RHYS’ ROI 2021: 28%

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