Today's Horse Racing Tips: Big Impact can make a splash back on sand

Seafire to take the surface well on debut

14:05 Southwell - Back Miss Seafire @ BSP

It might be time to give up on the Willie Mullins' Saldier project. Yes, he was a big price yesterday and nothing will be ever laying a glove on Honeysuckle it seems, but Saldier is no longer the Grade 1 horse he once was. And I am in need of a winner or two after a slow week - so he won't ever be appearing again.

There is nothing of that calibre running on the Fibresand today, and I'll stick with my old friend the all-weather - although there are plenty of previews to check out for Leopardstown by clicking here.

I never mind backing a newcomer at Southwell armed with the sire stats - which are crucial for punting here, and I like Karl Burke's newcomer Miss Seafire.

She cost £50k and has a decent pedigree for this sort of race. Her dam Solstice was a winner on the Fibresand, whilst the sire Dandy Man has solid stats; a win ratio of 14% and a placed one of 30%.

Indeed, this is a canny piece of placing by Burke as she runs off just 8st7 with the trainer 7-24 in the last two weeks.

Lethal can be a real force back on the sand

16:35 Southwell - Back Lethal Force @ BSP

The sire stats for Lethal Force are most impressive if you are considering following me and backing Big Impact - with a win strike-rate of 25% and place 41%.

The selection has a good record here in three starts but found the 5f at the track when last seen on the sharp side. He didn't get a clean start at all and the winner raced up with the pace right down the centre.

Returning to 6f today is a plus, and he has made the running previously. This also represents a drop in class from 0-80 company, and he'll be facing regular low-grade performers such as Qaaraat and Sir Rodneyredblood.

From 62 he is fairly treated.