Wyndham Championship: The Punter's Preview

  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4 min read
Read Steve's preview of the Wyndham Championship

The PGA Tour pitches up in North Carolina this week for the last event before the FedEx Cup playoff series and Steve Rawlings is here with his comprehensive preview...


Wyndham Championship tournament history

Sam Snead won the first Wyndham Championship in 1938, when it was known as the Greater Greensboro Open, and he won it for the eighth time in 1965 at the age of 52 years, 10 months, and eight days! That still stands as the most wins of a single PGA Tour event and he's still the oldest winner on Tour.

The Wyndham is the last counting event before the FedEx Cup Playoff series begins with next week's FedEx St Jude Championship, so players are looking to finish inside the top 70 on the rankings to secure a place in the field in Memphis next Thursday.


Venue

Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina


Course details

Par 70 7,131 yards

Founded in 1926, the Donald Ross designed Sedgefield Country Club was the event's original venue but between 1977 and 2007 the tournament's permanent home was Forrest Oaks Country Club. The Wyndham Championship returned to Sedgefield Country Club in 2008 - a year after Kris Spence had restored and lengthened the course so it could stand up to the modern game.

In typical Ross fashion, the greens are smaller than average, undulating and fairly fast, given they're usually set to run at around 12 ½ on the stimpmeter. Since the event returned to Sedgefield, low scores have been the norm.

The 2024 runner-up, Max Greyserman, shot 60 in round two, last year's winner, Cameron Young, kicked off the event with rounds of 62 and 63 and we've seen four winners - Carl Pettersson, Arjun Atwal, Jim Herman, and Tom Kim - shoot 61 on the way to victory. But the 2018 winner, Brandt Snedeker, went two better, firing a 59 on day one.

Changes were made to the greens prior to the 2012 renewal and they're now the same strain of Bermuda (previously bent grass) used at another North Carolina Tour stop, Quail Hollow, but it hasn't made the anticipated difference to the scores.

Sedgefield also hosted the Greensboro Open on the Web.com Tour between 1998 and 2000.


Weather Forecast


TV coverage

Live on Sky Sports all four days, with full coverage starting at 18:00 on Thursday


Last 10 winners with pre-event Betfair Exchange prices

 

2025 - Cam Young -25 100.099/1
2024 - Aaron Rai -18 42.041/1
2023 - Lucas Glover -20 90.089/1
2022 - Tom Kim -20 36.035/1
2021 - Kevin Kisner -15 (playoff) 60.059/1
2020 - Jim Herman -21 1000.0999/1
2019 - J.T Poston -22 270.0269/1
2018 - Brandt Snedeker -21 32.031/1
2017 - Henrik Stenson -22 15.014/1
2016 - Si Woo Kim -21 180.0179/1


What will it take to win the Wyndham Championship?

Last year's winner, Cameron Young, ranked second for driving Distance and 17th for Driving Accuracy but accuracy is most definitely a more important stat than Driving Distance most years.

The 10 winners before Young, starting with 1000.0999/1 chance, Davis Love III in 2015, ranked 32nd, 51st, 71st. 25th, 51st, 51st, 65th, 79th, 27th and 63rd for DD so Young was an exception. This is not a bombers track; this is a course for the accurate types.

Brand Snedeker won here eight years ago with some bizarre stats and there were none more bizarre than his 51st for Driving Accuracy as finding the fairways at Sedgefield is very often the key to victory.

Although not long, the rough is awkward to play from and getting within birdie range is nigh on impossible if you stray from the cut and prepared.

The 2021 winner, Kevin Kisner, only ranked 31st for Driving Accuracy but the 2024 winner, Aaron Rai, ranked eighth, the 2023 winner, Lucas Glover, ranked first, the 2022 winner, Tom Kim, ranked fourth and the first six players home in 2020 ranked fourth, fifth, first, eighth, 13th and 17th for DA.

In 2019, the first and second, J.T Poston and course-specialist Webb Simpson, ranked second and first for DA. Other than Kisner and Snedeker, in the 18 renewals since the event returned to Sedgefield, Young's 17th last year is the worst any other winner has ranked for Driving Accuracy.

Young only ranked 13th for Greens In Regulation 12 months ago and Tom Kim only ranked 16th four years ago. But most winners rank much higher for that stat here.

The winner four years ago, Kevin Kisner, only ranked tied eighth but the two winners before him both ranked number one for GIR, as did Lucas Glover three years ago. The first five home two years ago ranked tied fourth, tied fourth, first, 18th and seventh for GIR.

The three winners between 2019 and 2021 had unusually poor Putting Average rankings of 37th, 23rd and 20th and that's a bit odd given this is essentially a birdie-fest.

The two winners before Young ranked only 15th and 10th for Putting Average but Young was first for Strokes Gained: Putting and second for PA. The 2023 winner, Kim, topped both the PA and SG: Putting stats and the three winners between 2016 and 2018 ranked second for PA.

For the first seven renewals back at Sedgefield, the number one ranked player on the par fours finished either first or second. Four of the last six winners have topped the Par 4 Scoring stats.

Finding plenty of greens and putting well are usually important here but the best stats to peruse are probably Driving Accuracy and Par 4 Scoring.


Check out the Bubble Boys

As mentioned, this is the last event of the PGA Tour season before the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin with the FedEx St Jude Championship next week. That offers up a good angle in.

Those players bobbing around the 70 mark in the FedEx Cup standings (here) often raise their game in order to ensure they qualify and keep their cards for next season. A big move can still be made from even further down the standings

Last year's winner ranked 40th before the off but the next three on the leaderboard were all outside the top 70 and the first and second in 2024 had ranked 53rd and 63rd in the Standings.

The 2023 winner, Lucas Glover, climbed from 112th to 49th and went on to win the FedEx Championship in a playoff the following week, so it could be a career changing couple of weeks for someone.

From a course correlation angle, form at Donald Ross designed tracks tends to cross over well so look closely at last week's Rocket Classic at Detroit Golf Club, Aronimink Country Club, which hosted the PGA Championship in May, East Lake in Atlanta, home of the Tour Championship, and Oak Hill, which hosted the 2023 US PGA Championship.


Other course correlations to consider

Away from the Ross designed tracks, form at the Champions Course at the Keene Trace club in Kentucky, which hosted the ISCO Championship between 2018 and 2024, might be of interest.

Kevin Streelman has finished second and seventh at the two venues, Billy Horschel has finished second at both, Jim Herman has won at both tracks and JT Poston and Glover arguably should have done.

The 2019 Wyndham winner, Poston, was matched at 1.011/100 to win the ISCO at Keene Trace in 2020 before eventually going down to Seamus Power in extra time. The 2023 winner here, Glover, led the 2024 ISCO Championship by two at the halfway stage before a lacklustre weekend saw him finish fifth.

The 2023 renewal advertised just how well Sony Open form holds up at Sedgefield. Glover was fifth at the Sony in 2022, when Russell Henley (who finished tied second here three years ago), was beaten in a playoff and the man to finish alongside Henley here three years ago, Byeong Hun An, traded at as low as 1.422/5 to win the Sony in 2024 before losing in a playoff.

In addition, the 2022 Sony Open was won by Si Woo Kim, who won the Wyndham by five strokes 10 years ago, but if you want a really strong course link you need to head to Florida and to the Pete Dye designed home of the Players Championship, Sawgrass.

Glover has finished third and sixth at Sawgrass, the 2021 winner, Kisner, has finished fourth and second there and after last year's Wyndham winner, Young, doubled up at Sawgrass in March, as many as six of the last 15 Wyndham winners have also won the Players.

Although he only finished 47th and 45th in his two visits to Keene Trace, JJ Spaun ties up the course correlations quite nicely given he finished third in the Sony Open last year and second in the Players after finishing tied for third here two years ago.


Great event for long-shots and first time winners

Snedeker was winning the event for a second time seven years ago and the 2015 winner, Davis Love III, has won the title three times. But this has been a decent tournament for first timer winners of late.

The last two victors, Young and Rai, were both winning on the PGA Tour for the first time and nine of the last 17 Wyndham winners were breaking their duck on the PGA Tour.

Rai was a 42.041/1 shot two years ago, and Tom Kim was an extremely well-backed 36.035/1 chance four years ago. Snedeker was a solid 32.031/1 chance eight years ago and Stenson was a well-fancied 15.014/1 favourite in 2017. However, Young went off at 100.099/1 12 months ago, Glover was matched at a triple-figure price when the market first opened three years ago, Kisner was a 60.059/1 shot five years ago and Herman went off at 1000.0999/1 in 2020.

Having been matched at a high of 290.0289/1 before the event, Poston was relatively unfancied in 2019 and the four winners before Stenson in 2017 were also all matched at a triple-figure price before the off.

This is most definitely an event for outsiders - and Herman was the third 1000.0999/1 chance to win in 11 years following Arjun Atwal in 2010 and Davis Love III in 2015.

With length off the tee an irrelevance, this is somewhere the oldies can really shine. As already mentioned, Snead is the oldest ever PGA Tour winner and when Love won here in 2015, he became the third oldest to win on the PGA Tour. Herman was 42 when he lifted the trophy in 2020 and Glover was 43 three years ago.

Winner's position and Betfair Exchange price pre-round four

2025 - Cameron young - led by five 1.21/5
2024 - Aaron Rai - tied third, trailing by two (Not available)*
2023 - Lucas Glover - tied for the lead 3.185/40
2022 - Tom Kim - tied third, trailing by two (Not available)*
2021 - Kevin Kisner - trailing by four 17.016/1
2020 - Jim Herman - trailing by four 50.049/1
2019 - J.T Poston - trailing by three 40.039/1
2018 - Brandt Snedeker led by one stroke 2.111/10
2017 - Henrik Stenson led by one stroke 2.8615/8
2016 - Si Woo Kim led by two strokes 7.26/1

*After lots of rain throughout the week, the third round needed to be finished on Sunday before round four could start in both 2022 and 2024, so the price the two winners were trading at between rounds three and four is unknown.


Hard tournament to predict in-running

Since returning to Sedgefield the in-running stats at the 18 renewals are just odd.

We've seen 10 third round leaders win but Poston won from three back and, after Kisner's success five years ago, we've had five winners come from four back with a round to go.

In the last 18 years, nobody's won the title having trailed by just a stroke and Kim and Rai in the last three years are the only winners in that time to be two back after 54 holes.

Kim was a remarkable winner three years ago, given he drifted out to 200.0199/1 after he made a quadruple-bogey at his first hole on Thursday. But he ended up winning the weather-affected renewal by five after a sensational 61 on Sunday, having shot 27 on the front nine.

Young, who tied the tournament's scoring record, was in control from halfway but we saw all sorts of drama in 2024 after the organisers pulled out all the stops to get the tournament played over 72 holes.

In the aftermath of Storm Debby, Greensboro was hit with torrential rain on Thursday and, with more than five inches falling in a single day, no play was possible at all on day one.

They spent the next three days catching up and on Saturday night, 22 players still hadn't finished their second rounds.

The runner-up, Max Greyserman, who led by two with 18 to play, was twice matched at long odds-on, hitting 1.061/18 after 13 holes before firing out of bounds on the 14th to record a quadruple eight and 1.21/5 after he'd birdied the par five 15th.

It looked a done deal but then this happened on the par three 16th!

Rai, who had trailed by just two with 18 to play, was matched at as high as 29.028/1 during round four.


Bookmark Betting.Betfair for golf betting tips every week


Discover the latest articles