The Punter's In-Play Blog: Young a fair favourite after shooting clear at The Wyndham

• Five-shot leader is fairly priced at 1.21/5 with 18 to play

• Echavarria the only man within eight strokes of Young

• Matt Fitzpatrick looks to finish the week off nicely

10:55 - August 3, 2025

With his closest rivals all treading water or going backwards, a burst of four birdies in-a-row early on in round three of the Wyndham Championship saw the halfway leader, Cameron Young, shoot clear of the field and he'll begin round four with a commanding five-stroke lead. Here's the 54-hole leaderboard with prices to back at 10:50.

Cameron Young -20 1.21/5
Nico Echavarria -15 10.09/1
Aaron Rai -12 46.045/1
Chris Kirk -12 70.069/1
Mac Meissner -12 130.0129/1
Jackson Koivun -11 160.0159/1
Matt Fitzpatrick -10 220.0219/1
Davis Thompson -10 550.0549/1
-9 and 1000.0999/1 bar

Young has finished second six times on the PGA Tour, but this is the first time that he's ever led a PGA Tour event with 18 holes to play.

He traded at odds-on at the Dubai Desert Classic as early as round two last year before finishing third, beaten by two, having led by three at halfway and by two with a round to go but this is far and away his best chance to chalk up his first victory on the PGA Tour and it's very hard to envisage him failing now.

Since the turn of the century, 32 players have led a PGA Tour event by five strokes and 27 of them (84%) went on to win. And the last one to do so, Thomas Detry, was a renowned weak finisher but he shot 65 on Sunday at the Phoenix Open in February to win by seven.

My Find Me a 100 winner picks, Nico Echavarria and Chris Kirk, are sitting second and tied third, but I don't hold out much hope of a positive outcome.

Echavarria is the only man within eight strokes of the leader so unless he can start round four very well to exert a bit of a pressure on Young, it's extremely difficult to see him failing from here.

If Young can start with a steady run of pars, or even if he can play the first four or five holes in one-over, unless Echavarria starts round four like Young started round three (birdied three, four, five and six), it's very hard to see the odds-on favourite getting beat.

Away from the outright market, the pre-event favourite, Matt Fitzpatrick, is a 16/117.00 chance on the Sportsbook in the Winner W/O Cameron Young market and that may offer up a bit of value for a sporting wager.

Although five behind Echavarria, he's only two behind the rest so if the Colombian has a bad day and the Englishman backs up yesterday's 64, Fitzpatrick may well end the event in second place behind Young.

16:20 - August 2, 2025

A suspension in play on Friday due to weather resulted in the afternoon starters needing to come back to Sedgefield Country Club this morning to finish off so we've only just reached the halfway stage of the Wyndham Championship, where pre-event 100.099/1, Cam Young, leads by three.

Young converted from the front twice on the Korn Ferry Tour, but he led by two at the halfway stage of the John Deere Classic two years ago before finishing sixth and he was three clear through 36 holes of the Dubai Desert Classic last year before eventually finishing third.

Young is the 34^th player to lead a PGA Tour event by three strokes in the last ten years and he'd attempting to be the 11^th to go on to win.

That's a fairly poor strike rate and Young is also attempting to win for the first time on the PGA Tour.

Add in the fact that since Brandt Snedeker won here in 2018, having led by a stroke at this stage, four men have failed to convert a clear 36-hole lead, and the leader looks very opposable at less than 2/13.00.

I'm happy to lay the leader in the win market at 2.8615/8 and looking at the last eight renewals, my two Find me a 100 Winner picks, Nico Echavarria and Chris Kirk, who are both tied for seventh, are not out of it yet. Here's where the last eight winners were sitting at the halfway stage at Sedgefield.

2024 - Aaron Rai - fifth, trailing by two
2023 - Lucas Glover - third, trailing by two
2022 - Tom Kim - tied for the lead
2021 - Kevin Kisner - 12^th, trailing by seven
2020 - Jim Herman - 36^th, trailing by five
2019 - J.T Poston - ninth, trailing by three
2018 - Brandt Snedeker - led by two
2017 - Henrik Stenson - third, trailing by one

As shown above, five of the last six winners have been trailing by at least two strokes at halfway.

Between 2008 and 2016, in the first nine years after the tournament returned to Sedgefield following a break of 32 years, seventh place and two back was as far as anyone trailed by through 36 holes (Camilo Villegas in 2014) and five of the nine winners were leading or tied for the lead but Young's record, the recent results here, and the record of three-stroke 36 hole leaders on the PGA Tour in th elast 10 years, all suggest the frontrunner needs to be taken on.

I'll be back tomorrow for another look when there's just 18 to play.

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