The Punter's In-Play Blog: Is Poston set to deliver at Muirfield?

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We've reached the midway point of this week's events on both the DP World and PGA Tour, so Steve Rawlings is back with his in-running thoughts on this week's golf here...


09:45 - June 6, 2026

After an early suspension of play on Thursday evening, and due to a loss of over three hours play, the second round of the KLM Open on the DP World Tour has only just finished, with those drawn AM-PM returning to the course to enjoy some more benign conditions this morning after a couple of blustery days.

The often-flaky Swede, Sebastian Soderberg, who lost an eight shot 54-hole lead at the Scandinavian Mixed two years ago, leads Julien Guerrier by a stroke but the 40-year-old Frenchman isn't one to go to war with either.

His sole success on the DP World Tour was at the Andalucía Masters two years ago when he beat Jorge Campillo at the ninth extra hole!

New Zealand's Daniel Hillier, who sits tied for the third and two off the lead, is the market leader but he trades at bigger than 5/16.00 on the Betfair Exchange, demonstrating just how wide open the event is at the midway point.

The third round is already under way and the leaders tee-off at 11:15 UK time but I'm going to leave the event alone for now.


Poston the pick at Muirfield

Over on the PGA Tour, conditions have been really tough over the first two days at the Memorial Tournament and at the halfway stage, only 11 of the 72 players in the field are under-par.

With the wind strong, and particularly so in the afternoons, it's been a real grind, even for the best players on the planet, but someone always finds a way to carve out a great score, no matter how tough it is, and that man yesterday was JT Poston.

His remarkable seven-under-par 65 was four shots better than anyone else managed yesterday and the pre-event 300.0299/1 chance is the man to beat at halfway.

Here's the 36-hole leaderboard with prices to back at 9:30.

JT Poston -9 3.613/5
Ryan Gerard -8 4.3100/30
Sam Burns -6 6.86/1
Tommy Fleetwood -4 11.010/1
Eric Cole -3 48.047/1
Xander Schauffele -2 21.020/1
Patrick Cantlay -2 29.028/1
Wyndham Clark -2 50.049/1
Scottie Scheffler +1 22.021/1
Rory McIlroy +1 55.054/1
-1 and 85.084/1 bar

If we disregard Jon Rahm, who had to withdraw from the tournament when six clear through 54 holes due to a positive Covid test in 2021, 20 players have held a clear lead at halfway at Muirfield Village and nine of them went on to win, suggesting Poston is a perfectly fair price at odds in excess of 5/23.50.

It's almost exactly 10 years since Poston finished only sixth at the Air Capital Classic on the Korn Ferry Tour having been tied for the lead at halfway but he has a reasonable record on the PGA Tour when leading or tied at halfway.

He lost a protracted playoff to Seamus Power at the ISCO Championship in 2021, having been matched at 1.041/25 in-running.

Having led by a stroke after 36 and 54 holes he really should have won but he double bogeyed the par five 15th and bogeyed the 16th on Sunday before losing at the sixth extra hole.

Poston won the 2022 John Deere Classic by three strokes having led by four at halfway and by three through 54 holes and although he finished a disappointing fifth at The Heritage in April 2024, having been tied at the top at halfway, he won the Shriners Childrens Open by a stroke in October 2024 having been tied at halfway.

Poston owes his lofty position to a remarkable performance with the putter yesterday and that's the big negative.

Only two of his eight birdie putts were inside 10 feet yesterday and his 24 putts covered a distance of 134 feet!

It would be truly remarkable if he could repeat anything close to that today but the battle-hardened 33-year-old three-time PGA Tour winner is still a very fair price at more than 5/23.50 and I'm happy to play him modestly at that price.


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