The Punter's In-Play Blog: More long-shots added at Wentworth

• Five more outsiders backed at the BMW

• Scheffler fancied to win again

• Read Dave Tindall's Ryder Cup guide here

09:30 - September 14, 2025

There's just 18 holes to play at both the BMW PGA Championship on the DP World Tour and the Procore Championship on the PGA Tour so here are the two leaderboards with prices to back at 09:20.

Alex Noren -15 2.915/8
Adrien Saddier -15 4.77/2
Tyrrell Hatton -13 5.59/2
Viktor Hovland -12 8.88/1
Darren Fichardt -11 140.0139/1
Ludvig Aberg -10 32.031/1
Matt Fitzpatrick -10 36.035/1
Aaron Rai -10 48.047/1
Harry Hall -10 55.054/1
Patrick Reed -10 65.064/1
Ewen Ferguson -10 140.0139/1
-9 and 110.0109/1

Ben Griffin -16 2.747/4
Jackson Koivun -15 4.67/2
Scottie Scheffler -14 2.747/4
Garrick Higgo -13 30.029/1
-10 and 200.0199/1 bar

The 2017 winner, Alex Noren, is the man to beat at Wentworth with 18 holes to play but he'll know better than anyone else that being in front here is often quite a vulnerable place to be and that winning from way off the pace is possible. He trailed by seven with a round to go eight years ago.

Here's a list of where the last 10 winners were sitting with a round to go, along with the prices they were trading at in-between rounds.

2024 - Billy Horschel - tied second, trailing by three 5.85/1
2023 - Ryan Fox - tied fourth, trailing by three 16.015/1
2022 - Shane Lowry - tied sixth, trailing by two 11.010/1
2021 - Billy Horschel - tied third, trailing by two 7.87/1
2020 - Tyrrell Hatton - led by three 1.9620/21
2019 - Danny Willett - tied for the lead 7.06/1
2018 - Francesco Molinari - tied for the lead 3.259/4
2017 - Alex Noren T23 - trailing by seven 220.0219/1
2016 - Chris Wood T5 - trailing by three 16.531/2
2015 - Byeong-Hun An - tied for the lead 3.711/4

We saw yesterday just how much the leaderboards can change here and after my three picks yesterday I'm more than happy to add five more off the pace picks this morning.

Although he failed to win on the PGA Tour, Cornwall's Harry Hall made it all the way to East Lake for the Tour Championship this year so he's a class act.

He's yet to win on the DP World Tour but he won the ISCO Championship in the States last July and he's being slightly underestimated here at odds in excess of 50/151.00.

Major champion, Patrick Reed, who like Hall sits in a tie for sixth and five off the lead, is the next cab off the rank at a juicy price.

The 2018 US Masters winner shot 59 on his way to victory in Hong Kong last year so he's capable of a ridiculously low round and he too looks a big price given how prolific he is.

Fellow LIV golfer, Joaquin Niemann, threw his hat in the ring with a bogey-free seven-under-par 65 yesterday, that was only bettered by yesterday triple-figure pick, Tyrrell Hatton, who shot 64.

The Chilean has been in sensational form all year on the LIV circuit and he's already a winner on the DP World Tour having won the Australian Open in December 2023.

Alongside Niemann in a tie for 12^th and six off the lead, Kristoffer Reitan, will know he's close enough to claim the title.

The Norwegian won the Soudal Open in May having sat tied for 22^nd and nine of the lead with 18 to play and he finished second the following week in Austria after shooting 60 on Sunday!

And finally, I've also thrown a few pounds at Guido Migliozzi.

The Italian won next week's event, the Open de France, three years from off the pace with a 62 in round four so he's another that knows how to win from an unlikely position.

Over on the PGA Tour, the market is struggling to split the 54-hole leader, Ben Griffin, and the charging world number one, Scottie Scheffler, who's eight-under-par 64 in round three was the best knock of the day by two strokes.

Only four men are trading at less than 200/1201.00 and an off the pace winner there now looks unlikely.

Here's a list of where the last 10 winners were sitting with a round to go, along with the prices they were trading at in-between rounds three and four.

2024 - Patton Kizzire led by four strokes 1.910/11
2023 - Sahith Theegala led by two strokes 2.588/5
2022 - Max Homa - T2 - trailing by one 3.3512/5
2021 - Max Homa - T3 - trailing by two 10.09/1
2020 - Stewart Cink T7 - trailing by two 42.041/1
2019 - Cameron Champ led by three strokes 2.6413/8
2018 - Kevin Tway second - trailing by three strokes 7.26/1
2017 - Brendan Steele T3 - trailing by three 6.411/2
2016 - Brendan Steele T6 - trailing by four 32.031/1
2015 - Emiliano Grillo T4 - trailing by two 14.013/1

I'm going to keep things very simple here, Scheffler should be the clear favourite and I'm very happy to back him at 2.767/4.

After a 71 in round four, Griffin won the Charles Schwab Challenge in May, having been tied for the lead with a round to go to claim his first individual PGA Tour title, but that was the third time he'd led or co-led, and he's failed to break 70 on Sunday on each occasion and he looks opposable.

The presence of the 20-year-old amateur, Jackson Koivun, on the leaderboard with just 18 holes to play is fascinating and it will be interesting to see how he fares today.

In his three starts since missing the cut at the US Open, Koivun has finished 11^th in the John Deere Classic, sixth in the ISCO Championship and fifth in the Wyndham Championship but this is the first time he's had a genuine chance of victory so it's going to be interesting to see how he handles the pressure of playing in the final two-ball.

10:15 - September 13, 2025

We've reached the halfway stage of both the BMW PGA Championship on the DP World Tour and the Procore Championship on the PGA Tour so here are the two leaderboards with prices to back at 10:00.

Hideki Matsuyama -12 5.79/2
Ludvig Aberg -11 5.14/1
Viktor Hovland -11 5.24/1
Justin Rose -11 7.613/2
Pablo Larrazabal -10 75.074/1
Aaron Rai -9 13.525/2
Alex Noren -9 17.016/1
Ewen Ferguson -9 60.059/1
Richie Ramsay -9 75.074/1
Adrien Saddier -8 70.069/1
Matt Fitzpatrick -7 29.028/1
Marco Penge -7 50.049/1
Patrick Reed -7 60.059/1
-7 and 100.099/1 bar

Ben Griffin -14 2.447/5
Russell Henley -11 4.84/1
Jackson Koivun -11 8.27/1
J.J Spaun -9 16.015/1
Lanto Griffin -9 65.064/1
Rico Hoey -8 65.064/1
Scottie Scheffler -6 11.010/1
-7 and 100.099/1 bar

I'll start with the BMW where as many as 86 players have made the cut so there'll be another cut after three rounds.

The first three in the market before the off, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Tommy Fleetwood, have all struggled over the first two days, but Luke Donald will be pleased to see three of his European Ryder Cup team members, Ludvig Aberg, Viktor Hovland, and Justin Rose, are bang in-contention at halfway.

Those three, along with the 36-hole leader, Hideki Matsuyama, who's playing here for the first time, dominate the market but there's a long way to go and we've seen plenty of Wentworth winners come from off the pace. Here's a list of the last 10 winners, detailing where they sat after 36 holes.

2024 - Billy Horschel - sixth, trailing by five
2023 - Ryan Fox - 10th, trailing by three
2022 - Shane Lowry - sixth, trailing by two (event played over 54 holes)
2021 - Billy Horschel - fifth, trailing by three
2020 - Tyrrell Hatton - third, trailing by one
2019 - Danny Willett - tied for the lead
2018 - Francesco Molinari - fifth, trailing by five
2017 - Alex Noren - 23^rd, trailing by six
2016 - Chris Wood 24^th, trailing by eight
2015 - Byeong-Hun An - second, trailing by one

The 2019 winner, Danny Willett, is the only winner in the last 10 years to be leading at halfway and we've seen a couple of winners come from miles back so although we have a collection of class acts at the top of the leaderboard, an off the pace winner can't be ruled out.

With all that in mind, I've rolled the dice and backed three long shots.

Last week's Find Me a 100 Winner, Ewen Ferguson, enjoys a tree-lined track, which is why he was a pick last week at the K Club, so it's a bit annoying to see him turn up here after missing the cut in Ireland but I've added him at 65.064/1 and I've also backed the 2020 winner, Tyrrell Hatton and last week's beaten playoff protagonist, Joakim Lagergren...

Sitting tied for 22^nd and seven off the lead at halfway, Hatton has plenty to do but history tells us that he's close enough to win still.

Lagergren stumbled slightly yesterday, backing up his day one 66 with a one-under-par 71 but he shot rounds of 70, 62, 73 and 66 last week before losing to Rory McIlroy in the playoff so it would no surprise to see him reset today and go low.

Over at the Procore Championship, Ben Griffin holds a commanding three stroke lead, but we can't rule out an off the pace winner there either if recent history is to be believed. Here's a list of the last 10 winners at Silverado, detailing where they sat after 36 holes.

2024 - Patton Kizzire - led by a stroke
2023 - Sahith Theegala - tied for the lead
2022 - Max Homa - tied for the lead
2021 - Max Homa - 24^th, trailing by seven
2020 - Stewart Cink - 26^th, trailing by eight
2019 - Cameron Champ - third, trailing by three
2018 - Kevin Tway - fifth, trailing by four
2017 - Brendan Steele - second, trailing by one
2016 - Brendan Steele - 16^th, trailing by nine
2015 - Emiliano Grillo - 19^th, trailing by six

Although the last three winners were all in front, we've seen winners here trailing by up to nine strokes at halfway, so this is arguably as wide open as the BMW.

Griffin is the third man to lead by three at halfway here and he's attempting to become the first to convert. Scott Piercy, in 2016, went on to finish third, and Brandt Snedeker, two years later, lost in a playoff.

Since the turn of the century, 85 men have held a three-stroke lead at halfway in a 72-hole stroke play event on the PGA Tour and 28 went on to convert. That's a strike rate of 33% suggesting Griffin is short enough at less than 6/42.50.

Scottie Scheffler is more than capable of closing the gap over the weekend, but the value appears to sit with the US Open winner, J.J Spaun, who trails by fifth in a tie for fourth.

No bigger than 12/113.00 on the High Street, I though he was worth a small interest at 16.015/1.

I'll be back again in the morning to take a look at both events with just 18 to play.

Now read more Golf tips and previews here.