It's going to be a big weekend of sport so get our experts' best bets for the Ryder Cup, Chelsea v Man City, Anthony Joshua fight and more...
Friday - Sunday
Live on Sky Sports
Team USA could barely have asked for a better start and take a commanding 6-2 lead into day two. Is there a way back? Paul Krishnamurty isn't convinced and is backing a thrashing.
Paul says: "One bright personal spot for me amid an otherwise grim day was backing USA for the -4.5 and -6.5 Handicaps before the second session at 2.01/1 and 3.185/40. The latter is now around even money and also across various options. In the Winning Margin market, USA by 7 or more is 2.0621/20. Likewise backing all the relevant correct scores amounts to the same.
"That amounts to 11.5-8.5 for the remainder. So even if they merely tie 4-4 today, they'll need to win 7.5 out of 12 points in singles. Likely, perhaps odds-on depending on the draw. And made particularly plausible by the fact the Europeans may well be completely demoralised tomorrow as the crowd go ballistic. How many times have we seen that dynamic in reverse?
"That bet is rated top value and lets also try a more ambitious win. 19-9, 19.5-8.5 and Any Other Home Win (20-8 plus) combines to around 4/1 on the Sportsbook market."
Paul's bets: USA to win 19-9 1.25u @ 13.012/1
Sunrisers Hyderabad v Punjab Kings
Saturday, 11:00 BST
Live on Sky Sports Cricket
The IPL 2021 is entering its second week and we've got previews of every match, starting on Saturday with this clash between two sides that can't afford to slip up.
Paul Krishnamurty says: "On a fresh pitch, with the ball coming on to the bat fairly well, par is around 200. A score of 230 is both possible, and chase-able. I'd go as far to say a world record score is possible here, such are the short boundaries. However as we saw last season, on a slow pitch, very low scores are possible. Teams mostly either hit boundaries or singles. There are plenty of dots and very few twos.
"I will therefore take a chance on the former and take what could prove to be completely wrong odds in the 'Both Teams to Score' markets. Last year, the first seven scores at Sharjah were above 200. A total of 223 was successfully chased. Let's therefore try both to score 180 and 190.
"The total sixes last year were 33, 29, 28, 21, 17 and 10, so keep an eye out for that market on the day of the game. Note the regression as the pitch slowed. That is the key."
The Premier League champions visit the European champions in probably the biggest game of the season so far. Man City are title favourites at 3.052/1 with Chelsea 3.1511/5 but they could change places in the market if Thomas Tuchel beats Pep Guardiola again.
Mark O'Haire says: "Chelsea have won all three meetings with Manchester City since Thomas Tuchel was appointed. The Blues were victories in their FA Cup showdown, during their most recent Premier League match-up, and the Champions League final. Interestingly, none of the past 12 Premier League meetings between the pair have ended all-square.
"Chelsea 2.829/5 have endured a difficult opening stanza to 2021/22 yet remain unbeaten through five league fixtures despite trips to Liverpool, Arsenal and Spurs already. The Blues' record under Tuchel against elite opposition remains fiercely strong with the hosts returning W12-D3-L2 in Champions League matches and against fellow Big Six outfits.
"Manchester City 2.8615/8 have failed to score in two of their five Premier League games this term, as many as they had in their previous 30 in the competition. Nevertheless, the Citizens have impressed in the performance data metrics, sitting top of the tree for chances, shots and xG conceded, while only Liverpool have generated more goalmouth opportunities."
Our specials betting expert Rob Furber provides an in-depth preview of Strictly Come Dancing 2021 ahead of Saturday's first show proper and says it's high time for a female winner.
Rob says: "Rose's progress could end up the feel-good story of the series as viewers get to see her overcoming her disability and proving an inspiration along the way. Already well backed, Rose looks a worthy favourite to win this year's Glitterball trophy and odds of 4.3100/30 in the Strictly winner market could easily end up looking a big price in about a month's time.
"Rhys, John and AJ look like being leading lights in this year's Strictly boogie wonderland but there are clear concerns for all three in terms of the public vote. The wisest cover bet for Rose has to be Nina Wadia who looks the each-way and Top Female value in case Rose's improvement stalls and her journey goes down a dead end."
Anthony Joshua faces the toughest test of his career against unbeaten challenger Oleksandr Usyk on Saturday night. Frankie Monkhouse tips a surprise result at a nice price...
Frank says: "On paper, it looks as close to a 50/50 as we've seen for a while in heavyweight boxing. The bettor inside cries out one of the earliest lessons I ever learned in the game - always back the bigger price in a close fight and enjoy the show knowing you have the value working in your favour. The other is from my father; a good boxer always beats a good fighter.
"I wouldn't put anyone off that approach, and Usyk is sure to be popular. What's more important than getting the value is getting the win, and a good bet is one that makes you a profit. In such a close bout, AJ has the advantages. Usyk is unbeaten and is the better boxer, but AJ has more experience. The champion is also a natural heavyweight. He weighed 283lbs in the rematch with Ruiz Jr, while Usyk was 255lbs for the Chisora fight. In Wilder v Fury II, we saw the difference a weight advantage can make, and Joshua may opt to try and walk through the challenger.
"The tale of the tape shows us that Joshua has a three-inch height advantage and four-inch reach advantage over his opponent. Some may argue those numbers aren't worth worrying about, and one punch can change a fight at this level. To them, I say, those advantages for Joshua will be the difference, and I'm picking the champion to win on points at a great price."
Frank's bet: Back Joshua win on points @ 4.03/1
Arsenal v Tottenham
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
The North London derby is the big Premier League fixture on Sunday as Tottenham try to end a run of consecutive defeats and the Gunners bid to make it three wins on the bounce.
Alex Keble says: It's remarkable how quickly the narrative has changed around the north London clubs. Just a fortnight ago Tottenham were riding high on a 100% start under Nuno Espirito Santo while Mikel Arteta was supposedly on the verge of losing his job, but on Sunday Arsenal can go above their rivals with a win - exiting their own crisis and plunging Tottenham into one.
Their respective psychological vulnerabilities at this moment in time will be reflected in the energy of the game; these are nervous, erratic teams capable of mistakes and moments of brilliance. Consequently we cannot tip the winner, but can at least predict it will be an entertaining game thanks to some adventurous line-ups.
"Arsenal are now using a 4-3-3 with two playmakers - Emile Smith Rowe and Martin Odegaard - either side of a defensive midfielder, and Spurs used exactly the same approach against Chelsea as Dele Alli and Tanguy Ndombele advanced into the half-spaces. Similar aggression on Sunday should create a wide-open central midfield and plenty of chances for counters and counter-counters."
Alex's bet: Back over 2.5 goals at 2.01/1
The NFL delivered another week of surprises last time out and Mike Carlson attempts to make sense of it all as he picks his best bets for week three.
Miami at Las Vegas
Sunday, 21:45 BST
Mike says: "Why do I think the Raiders are going to get off to a running start and get cut down to size again in October? Having said that, with Tua's status questionable, and frankly even with him rather than Jacoby Brissett, I'd pull the slot machine handle on the Raiders in this one.
"The line dropped at one point, but I expect the Dolphins will get more points before Sunday, so take it now. I've taken the points on a best bet, but I like the Raiders to win and the teams to cover 44.5 at 2/1 would be my alternate outside bet."
Mike's bet: Las Vegas (-4.5 at 9/10) v Miami
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