The CJ Cup Each-Way Tips: Casey can hit Vegas jackpot

England's Paul Casey
Paul Casey can take victory

The PGA Tour stays in Las Vegas this week and Dave Tindall is back with three each-way selections...

"A runner-up in the PGA Championship, Casey has posted T16 (BMW Championship) and T17 (US Open) in two of his last three starts."

Paul Casey each-way @ 50/1

Main Bet: Paul Casey each-way @ 50/1

Rather than fly the players out to Asia, the COVID-adjusted calendar means the fourth edition of the CJ Cup takes place in the United States rather than South Korea.

The move to Nevada makes even more sense as it's been timed to follow on from last week's Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, meaning we have back-to-back events in Las Vegas.

The venue, Shadow Creek, may sound familiar and it is. The 7,527-yard par 72 (you can knock a chunk off off that due to altitude) hosted 'The Match' between Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson.

The main memory of that was the bang-average golf played but the useful recall is how the course looked. In short, not at all desert-y!

Tiger stressed that point in his pre-match press conference when praising the layout, noting: "To go from a flat piece of property in a flat desert to creating something that you would find in the Carolinas, out in the mountains, I think it's just phenomenal."

That's a decent clue then. This isn't desert, cactus and shrub. It's more rolling hills and trees.

Tom Fazio helps cement the link as he designed Shadow Creek along with Quail Hollow - the North Carolina course that hosted numerous editions of the Wells Fargo Championship along with the 2017 PGA Championship (won by Justin Thomas, with Francesco Molinari, Louis Oosthuizen and Patrick Reed tying for second).

Other comparisons in terms of the visuals have mentioned Augusta National.

So, perhaps we're looking for someone who has good records in the Carolinas, at altitude and in The Masters.

I'll open up with 50/1 Paul Casey.

The Englishman has three top fives and a further three top 15s in his last eight starts in North Carolina - a run that takes into account Quail Hollow, Sedgefield and Eagle Point.

He's also won the last two runnings of the Valspar Championship in Florida, a venue described as being more like a Carolinas track than a Florida one.

Augusta? Absolutely. Casey has three top sixes and a T15 in his last five Masters.

Finally, regarding the altitude angle. The veteran had an excellent record in the mountains of Crans-sur-Sierre earlier in his career (10-8-3 in the early 2000s). More recently he's done well high up at Chapultepec, posting 11-3-12-16 in the WGC-Mexico Championship.

A runner-up in the PGA Championship, Casey has posted T16 (BMW Championship) and T17 (US Open) in two of his last three starts.

He missed the cut in the Shriners last week but 69-68 was hardly poor play and I see that more as a benefit in terms of getting him acclimatised for this.

Next Best: Ian Poulter each-way @ 66/1

Plenty might just strike a line through those who played at Wentworth; after all, there's an eight-hour time gap to overcome.

However, it could be a dangerous policy.

Tyrrell Hatton is obviously on a massive high after winning the BMW PGA Championship while Tommy Fleetwood contended heavily for three days.

They are 25s and 28s respectively and both have managed a top three at Chapultepec.

But I'm going to chance a player at much bigger odds in the shape of Ian Poulter.

Let's deal with the themes discussed so far.

Poulter in the Carolinas: He's been T3 (2012 PGA Championship), T17 (2014 US Open) and T22 (PGA Championship) in the last three majors he's played there. Add to that a top five at Quail Hollow and four straight top 15s at Hilton Head.

The Englishman was third high up at Chapultepec in his one start in the WGC-Mexico in 2019 while he boasts no less than seven top 20s at Augusta National (T12 last year).

It's also worth noting with Poulter how well he plays at this time of year. Six of his 12 European Tour wins have come in October/November and he arrives in Vegas on the back of T6 at the Scottish Open and solo fifth in the BMW PGA Championship.

That latter finish is worth surrounding with context. It's his best finish at Wentworth - a course that has driven him mad - in 17 appearances.

He gained 8.103 strokes Tee To Green last week and also ranked sixth for SG: Putting.

Poulter is a global golfer used to jet-lag (hence all his wins in Asia) and seems to relish dashing around the planet. Check his latest tweets which show him stopping off at the North Pole on his way to Vegas.

The heat of Las Vegas will be good for the back that suffered spasms in the cold of Surrey so I'm hoping he can have a big week at 66/1.

Final Bet: Kevin Na each-way @ 100/1

Jumping to the front of the market, it's pretty easy to make a strong case for Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas.

DJ has a superb record at Augusta (runner-up last year), is a two-time winner at Chapultepec while a pair of victories along T2 and T6 in the last two majors have taken him to World No.1 again.

Thomas has a special affinity with this event having won it twice and he could be just as dangerous at the new venue. As stated above, he's a winner on Fazio's Quail Hollow.

Jon Rahm can win anywhere while the look of this course will surely delight Rory McIlroy. He loves playing between the trees, is a double winner at Quail Hollow and has numerous high finishes at Augusta. Throw in 5-2-7 at Chapultepec and 2-3-7-2 at Crans if you like.

He battled away to take T8 in the US Open last time so, yep, he's tempting. The 11/1 isn't really for this each-way preview though.

Matthew Wolff has the form to win but maybe 20/1 in this company is a tad short.

Instead, I'll jump to a three-figure price and take Kevin Na at 100s.

It would be easy just to say Na is a Vegas resident, is a two-time winner of the Shriners (2011 and 2019) and leave it at that.

But as well as those dual victories in his home State, Na also has a noteworthy record in the Carolinas so could thrive at this un-desert-like course too (perhaps he's played it a few times hopefully).

Na boasts five top 10s at South Carolina's Hilton Head and in North Carolina he has bags of good form - 4th at Sedgefield in August, T12 in the US Open at Pinehurst and a top five at Quail Hollow. Overall, he's had three top 10s and four more top 20s in his last 10 appearances in NC.

Last week, he was tied seventh going into the final round at TPC Summerlin after circuits of 66-66-64 so is clearly in decent nick. And although a closing 76 spiralled him way down the field, all that probably does is make him a better price here than he might have been.

It may also add a little fire to his belly and Shadow Creek certainly won't be too long for him.

T9 at Chapultepec in March, it would also be a nice angle if the event moved from South Korea is won by a Korean-American, who now lives at the new venue.

Take the 100/1.

Dave's 2020/2021 P/L

Staked: £150
Returned: £188
P/L: +£38

2019/2020 P/L: +£13.83
2018/2019 P/L: -£338.25
2017/2018 P/L: +£362.84
2016/2017 P/L: +£1179.89

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