The new 2020/21 PGA Tour season tees off in California this week and Dave Tindall has three each-way selections to make a fast start at Silverado...
"Ninth in the US Open at Pebble Beach last year, he boasts a strong record in California with four top 25s and a T29 in his last six starts in the Golden State. That includes T17 in the Barracuda Championship at the start of August and he followed that two weeks later with a first-round 65 at the Wyndham Championship."
Each-way terms: 1/5 odds, 6 places
Weather forecast for Napa, California: A pleasant, sunny day and temperatures could peak at around 90 degrees in the afternoon. It's very calm early on but winds could pick up later for those still out there in late afternoon.
FRL history at Silverado
2019 - 65 Adam Scott (am), Andrew Landry (pm)
2018 - 63 Sepp Straka (pm)
2017 - 65 Tyler Duncan (am), Tom Hoge (am), Brendan Steele (am)
2016 - 62 Scott Piercy (am)
2015 - 63 Brendan Steele (am)
2014 - 66 Sang-Moon Bae (am), Andres Gonzalez (pm)
Strategy: It's a 7-3 morning/afternoon split when looking at those 10 first-round leaders so the early wave would appear to hold an advantage. The weather forecast may also give the morning starters a helping hand this year so I'll pick two from the a.m. list and one in the afternoon.
Hadley can cash in early
Chesson Hadley once shot a stunning 61 at Silverado Resort and I'm hoping he can throw in another low one on Thursday morning.
The American finished third in 2017 thanks to that 11-under lap and added tied 23rd last year.
Ninth in the US Open at Pebble Beach last year, he boasts a strong record in California with four top 25s and a T29 in his last six starts in the Golden State.
That includes T17 in the Barracuda Championship at the start of August and he followed that two weeks later with a first-round 65 at the Wyndham Championship to sit sixth after 18 holes.
As well as those credentials he fits the bill due to his early tee-time.
He heads out in the opening 07:00 group from No.1 so will get the very best of the front nine greens.
A first-round leader at the 2018 Players Championship, he looks a playable price at 95/1.
Piercy can take pole on day one
In tee-time order, I'll move to 07:40 and Scott Piercy.
Like Hadley, he also owns a ridiculously low round at Silverado, a 10-under 62.
Not surprisingly, that Thursday effort in 2016 gave him the first-round lead before he went on to take third.
Piercy was also the R1 leader at the 2018 US Open while another 62 put him top of the pile after the opening lap of last year's 3M Open.
I also went for Piercy in my outright preview because I believe he can have a good week here for other reasons.
The 41-year-old has a good recent record in California, is striking it nicely off the tee and had three good rounds out of four on his last start, The Northern Trust.
That included a Thursday 65 which put him fifth on the day one leaderboard.
Piercy can hopefully do us a FRL favour at 95/1.
Duncan looks the real deal
For my afternoon starter, I'll go with Tyler Duncan (pictured).
The 31-year-old from Indiana is something of a serial fast starter and has been in the top eight after day one in nine of his last 27 events.
Since June's restart, he's done that three times and his latest came on his most recent outing at the BMW Championship where he ended the opening lap in a tie for second.
Looking at some of his recent low ones, Duncan fired a 63 at Hilton Head, a 64 in the Wyndham while he paved the way for victory at the RSM with a second-round 61.
His overall form is good - nine cuts out of 10 since June - and he topped the Driving Accuracy stats at the BMW last time.
Finally, his three opening rounds at Silverado read 65, 69, 68.
The first of those gave him a piece of the first-round lead here in 2017.
Duncan, who heads off at 12:30 from No.10, is at 66/1.
Dave's First Round Leader P/L