Three picks in India from Steve this week
As highlighted in my preview, course form stands up well at the tree-lined and quirky Delhi Golf Club layout, the host course for this week's DP World India Championship, so all three of this week's long-shot fancies have shown at least something here previously and I'll start with last year's third, Thriston Lawrence.
With the market leaders drifting, several players have shortened up in the Betfair Exchange market and my first pick, Thriston Lawrence, is one such player.
The prolific South African opened at 80.079/1 and he was somehow matched at as high 130.0129/1, but odds of anything over 50/151.00 look fair to me.
Lawrence signed off last year's inaugural edition with a seven-under-par 65 to climb up into a tie for third and it's no surprise to see he likes the course.
Lawrence won his third Omega European Masters title in Switzerland around the tree-lined Crans-sur-Sierre layout last month and he has top 10 finishes at a plethora of other tree-lined tracks, including Rinkven, Muthaiga, Karen Country Club, the Belfry, and Wentworth, as well as victories at Randpark and the Golfclub München Eichenried.
In addition to having the course form in the bank, Lawrence signed off last week's event, the Open de Espana, around another tree-lined track, Club de Campo, with a six-under-par 65 to finish tied for 13th, and that looks like a good omen.
Only five players that finished inside the top 10 in this event last year had teed it up in Spain the week before and Shane Lowry, who shot rounds of 75 and 68, was the only one of the five to miss the cut at Club de Campo. He finished tied third here after his weekend off in Spain.
Daniel Hillier, who finished tied ninth here, had only finished 23rd in Spain but he'd sat 11th with 18 to play, and Joost Luiten, who finished tied sixth here, had finished 16th in the Open de Espana, but two men played nicely in both events...
Jayden Schaper finished tied for fifth in Spain and sixth in India and Alex Fitzpatrick followed his tied ninth in Spain with a tied third here.
Although prolific, with six DP World Tour titles to his name, Lawrence is a bit of an in-and-out performer, but he looks a great fit this week and a very fair price.
With five DP World Tour titles to his name, Adrian Otaegui is another prolific performer but unlike Lawrence, he tends to telegraph his wellbeing before wins so last week's seventh place finish in Spain is well worth taking note of.
Although he only has course form figures reading 12-MC-40, Otaegui is a winner at both Karen Country Club and Valderrama, so he's another that appreciates a tree-lined-test.
For my third and final bet, I've plumped for the Spanish veteran, Jorge Campillo, who finished only 55th in his hometown event last week.
The Madrid born 40-year-old is another to have won in Kenya, at Muthaiga in 2023, and he's another that's played nicely here before, with course form numbers reading 52-10-11.
Campillo also has plenty of placed efforts at other tree-lined courses and although he hasn't shown much since finishing second at Rinkven in the Soudal Open, he often finds form seemingly out of nowhere.
He had current form figures reading MC-MC-25 before finishing second in Belgium in May so I'm happy to chance him here at a huge price given he should love the layout.
As always, I'll be looking to trade any of the picks in-running if their odds hit single figure prices on the Betfair Exchange and I'll be taking plenty of profit should they trade at odds-on.