Introduction to the BMW Championship
Ding ding. Round two.
The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis.
Just 50 players remain in the battle to win the FedEx Cup after 20 were culled following last week's FedEx St. Jude Championship. Another 20 will be eliminated after the conclusion of this week's event.
Bellerive rings a bell due to staging the 2018 PGA Championship won by Brooks Koepka. The top five there were Koepka, Tiger Woods, Adam Scott, Stewart Cink and Jon Rahm - four major winners plus one future one.
Koepka ranked 2nd for both SG: Off The Tee and Driving Distance while four of the top five were in the top 10 for SG: Approach into the big, Bentgrass greens.
Bellerive is a strong par 70 measuring 7,448 yards and will play 132 yards further than it did in that US PGA in 2018.
That edition also took place in August (before the US PGA moved to a May slot) so data from that event is relevant.
After the intense heat of Memphis, temperatures ease a little here with Saturday perhaps the only day when they creep into the 90s.
Six of the last seven winners of this nomadic event were 25/1 or below so, at this stage of the season, the leading players really start to turn it on.
After his dominant eight-shot win at TPC Southwind last weekend, Scottie Scheffler is just 11/43.75 to follow up here. He may well prove impossible to stop.
But few have played as well over the last three months as Wyndham Clark and Bellerive should be up his street.
The American had a superb run through May and June, winning the US Open and the CJ Cup Byron Nelson as well as adding third at Memorial and fifth at the Travelers.
His streak of top 15s actually extended to six when adding in 11th at the Canadian Open and 13th at the Scottish Open before he suffered back-to-back missed cuts at The Open and the Rocket Classic.
However, normal service was resumed with tied fifth at St. Jude last week and I expect Clark to kick on again here.
He's a strong performer on Bentgrass greens and the season-long stats show him 23rd for SG: Putting, 22nd for Approach and in the top 40 for Driving Distance.
Clark is also 12th for Par 4 Birdie or Better Leaders which marries up well with a par 70.
In Memphis last week he did everything well, recording positive numbers in all the Strokes Gained categories and that was also the case in his US Open win.
Getting 20s for 10 Places (1/5 odds) in a 50-man field gives him plenty of appeal.
Back Wyndham Clark each-way (10 Places)
It's between Patrick Cantlay and Hideki Matsuyama for the second bet. And it's Matsuyama who gets the nod.
The 2021 Masters winner is in a great run of form which shows 3-5-7-7 over the last four events: 3M Open, Rocket Classic, Wyndham Championship and FedEx St. Jude Championship.
He also made the top 15 in his two starts before that streak.
Matsuyama was all over the place with his driver earlier in the season but he's now gained strokes Off The Tee in each of his last six events.
At St. Jude he ranked 6th for OTT as well as 2nd Tee To Green and 3rd for Approach.
A good putting week - he was 16th for SGP at the Wyndham and 17th at the 3M Open so it's in there - and we could be in business.
Matsuyama played Bellerive in 2018 and shot three good rounds (68, 69, 66). He had to settle for 35th due to a poor Saturday but there were plenty of positives.
As a winner at Augusta and Muirfield Village, he can thrive on tough, parkland setups and, on current form, he's a big danger to Scheffler and everyone else.
I give him the nod over Cantlay basically due to his ability to get over the line.
Since April 2021, Matsuyama has six PGA Tour wins and also a victory in the limited-field Hero World Challenge last December.
Cantlay still hasn't posted a win since this event at Caves Valley in 2022.
Matsuyama is 22s in the 5 Place market and we'll go with that.
Back Hideki Matsuyama each-way (5 Places)
Sungjae Im has been a curious golfer to assess over the last few years. The Korean was strong with his strong irons, ranking 45th for SG: Approach in 2022. But last year he slumped to 179th in that category and this year he's 148th.
However, due to a very tidy short game - 14th Around The Green, 30th for Putting - he's started to produce the results again.
Despite some inconsistency in early 2026 he came up with top fives at the Valspar and the Truist and then added tied ninth in the CJ Cup Byron Nelson.
This summer he's definitely found a flow. An opening 66 and a pair of closing 69s saw Im finish tied 14th in The Open at Royal Birkdale while he's now reeled off four top 15s in his last five events.
The latest was tied fifth in the FedEx St. Jude Championship where he was second with a round to play before slumping to a 74 on Sunday. That came as a surprise given that his previous two final-round scores were 66 (Wyndham) and 67 (Rocket Classic).
Back to where we came in and the really eyecatching turnaround is in his Approach play: 18th at Birkdale and 21st at St. Jude. This could be significant.
In addition, Im's putter is hot (6th, 11th and 12th for SGP in his last three events) and he has some course form too.
While 42nd isn't anything special, he was in danger of missing the cut after round one of that 2018 US PGA at Bellerive but shot 67 in round two and closed with a 68.
The 28-year-old entered last week at 53rd in the FedEx Cup standings but played his way into the top 50 with his tied fifth.
Now he needs solo eighth or better to make the Tour Championship. Let's hope form and incentive fuel a big week. He's 50s in the 5 Place market as opposed to 35s for 10 Places so we'll play the former.
Back Sungjae Im each-way (5 Places)