Wimbledon Tips Day Eight: Sabine and the Spaniard

Wimbledon Betting / Sean Calvert / 27 June 2011 /

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Sabine Lisicki's booming serve and aggressive groundstrokes should be far too much for Petra Cetkovska to handle

"Lopez is in rare serving form at the moment and that will be the key to this match. He fired 28 aces past Andy Roddick and won 81% of first serve points and those free points will be significant, as Kubot only hit four aces in four sets against Monfils."

Andy Murray has a big test on his hands first up on Centre Court and could represent a good lay-to-back. But the sure things today are the explosive Sabine Lisicki and a big-serving lefty in the men's draw, says Sean Calvert.

Saturday was a great end to the first week at Wimbledon for this column, with Lukasz Kubot finishing off Gael Monfils at a big price, Xavier Malisse thrashing Jurgen Melzer and Marion Bartoli winning as well.

After a day's rest, it's back to the action with a bang on Monday, with Andy Murray first up on Centre Court in a fascinating clash with Richard Gasquet that looks one to avoid as far as starting prices are concerned.

Murray will surely trade higher than the current [1.3] and I'll be looking to back the Scot, but only if he falls behind.

The fourth round matches offer a great chance to make a profit, as the form is laid out from the previous week and I'm wading in with a double made up of one match from the men's draw and one from the women's.

The men's bet of the day is Feliciano Lopez to beat Lukasz Kubot at around [1.4] and Judy Murray's favourite Spaniard should be combined with the in-form Sabine Lisicki, who should end Petra Cetkovska's run at [1.28].

Lopez isn't one to be trusted, but it will be a shock if his awkward lefty game doesn't prove too much for Kubot to cope with in a match that will involve a lot of big serving, net rushing and short rallies.

Kubot has done brilliantly to reach the fourth round and as much as I fancied him to beat Monfils, his record of five wins in 16 career matches against left handers suggests he'll struggle today.

Lopez is in rare serving form at the moment and that will be the key to this match. He fired 28 aces past Andy Roddick and won 81% of first serve points and those free points will be significant, as Kubot only hit four aces in four sets against Monfils. Bank on Lopez to reach another Wimbledon quarter final.

Lisicki has also been serving extremely well this tournament and can crank it up over 120mph on her first delivery, which combined with her thumping forehand, should be all too much for the limited Cetkovska.

The Czech player spends most of her time on the challenger tour and although it's never a surprise when Ana Ivanovic loses to a much lower ranked opponent, it's hard to see how Cetkovska can hurt Lisicki.

Cetkovska's average first serve speed against Ivanovic was 98mph, while Lisicki averaged 111mph against Li Na and hit 17 aces.

Cetkovska has only twice in her career been past the first round of any Slam and her run will surely end today.

Recommended bet:

Back Lopez and Lisicki in a Betfair Multiple @ [1.56]

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