US Open Stat Attack: Side with the Grand Slam specialist

US Open Betting / Ben Caudell / 02 September 2011 /

" class="free_bet_btn" rel="external" onclick="javascript: pageTracker._trackPageview('/G4/inline-freebet');" target="_blank">

Gilles Muller loves the five-set format

"There is definitely value in backing Gilles Muller, the Grand Slam specialist, to dispatch of Ernest Gulbis, a player who has a poor record in the slams, who’s lost eight of his last nine at this level."

Armed with nothing but a mountain of black-letter tennis stats, Ben Caudell tackles tonight's matches at the US Open where a big-serving lefty has a great chance at big odds.

5 Reasons to Back

Gilles Muller (LUX) to defeat Ernest's Gulbis (LAT) @ [4.40]

•There is definitely value in backing Gilles Muller, the Grand Slam specialist, to dispatch of Ernest Gulbis, a player who has a poor record in the slams, who's lost eight of his last nine at this level.

•Muller seems to find another echelon when playing the best of five sets, the left-hander has won eight of his last nine matches at the US Open and is 7-3 in all Grand Slams. Gulbis, prior to his win over Mikhail Youzhny, went on a losing run of seven first round matches in a row, Overall record in Grand Slams: Gulbis 15-19, Muller 33-28)

•If tonight's game goes all the way to a final set, you would almost certainly fancy the more experienced Muller to triumph, the 2008 US Open quarter finalist holds a 5-0 fifth set winning record in Grand Slams whereas Gulbis has lost the only two matches in which he has gone to five sets.

•The Luxembourg native, who beat Rafael Nadal in Wimbledon 2005 and the 2003 US Open Champion Andy Roddick the same year in Flushing Meadows, will be hard to break down on his service games. The left-hander holds all-time superior service stats with higher aces per game, service points won, first serve and second serve percentage than his opponent

•With a high probability of there being at least one tie-break set, you will be foolish not to back Gilles to win it. Gulbis in the last 12 months is 5-13 in tie-break sets (28%) whereas Muller has a 35-16 winning record (69%)

3-0 lay of the day - Lay Andy Murray 3-0 v Robin Haase @ [1.65]

•Robin Haase has a 1-0 head-to-head series lead over Andy Murray (Rotterdam, 2008 7-5 6-3)

•The Dutch number one has impressive form coming into tonight's match-up with the fourth seed, winning nine of his last 10 matches overall and four of his last five on hard-courts

•Since January of this year Robin Haase has lost 20 matches. However, what is extremely important to note is that of those 20 loses, Haase has won at least one set 15 times.

'.$sign_up['title'].'

'; } } ?>