US Open Stat Attack: Ben's stats don't lie

US Open Betting / Ben Caudell / 30 August 2011 /

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Shakira's hips may not lie but Ben's stats tell no fibs either

"The Croatian has lost five in a row in America, and four in a row on hard courts, his last win on a hard court was at the Australian Open way back in January. Ljubicic has never been past the third round of the US Open in his long career and has been beaten five times at the first round stage."

"And I'm on Kavcic tonight, you know my stats don't lie and I'm starting to feel it's right...to oppose Ivan Ljubicic", Ben Caudell chants from underneath his pile of stats books. Here are today's two bets.

5 Reasons to Back

Blaz Kavcic (SLO) to defeat Ivan Ljubicic (CRO) @[2.90]

•Blaz Kavcic, the 24 year-old from Slovenia has the potential to make it into the top 20 of the World Rankings and will fancy his chances of causing a major upset at this year's Flushing Meadows by beating the number 30 seed, Ivan Ljubicic.

•Kavcic reached a Challenger Tour Final in Uzbekistan this month before traveling for 50 hours to the United States where he went on to defeat Lleyton Hewitt in straight sets.

•Ranked at number 80 in the World, Blaz has compiled some decent results in 2011 with wins over the likes of Kevin Anderson, Ernests Gulbis, Julien Benneteau, and Juan Monaco. The Slovakian also made it through to the third round of the Australian Open this year before being knocked out in five sets against last year's U.S Open semi-finalist Mikhail Youzhny

•The ageing veteran Ivan Ljubicic, one of the oldest competitors at this year's Open looks to be closing in on his career. The 32 year-old hasn't played a competitive singles match since losing in the first round of the Umag Open to Juan Carlos Ferrero, therefore has had no hard-court preparation whatsoever.

•The Croatian has lost five in a row in America, and four in a row on hard courts, his last win on a hard court was at the Australian Open way back in January. Ljubicic has never been past the third round of the US Open in his long career and has been beaten five times at the first round stage, including last year against Ryan Harrison, when he was a similar price.

3-0 lay of the day - lay David Ferrer 3-0 v Igor Andreev @ [2.0]

•Andreev has won at least one set from five of his last six losses

•The Russian has a tied 4-4 head-to-head series against the Spaniard that includes two wins on the hard-courts

•Ferrer has only two matches under his belt on the hard-courts since Miami in March of this year, Andreev has acclimatised quicker having played five matches on the surface which includes wins over Jurgen Melzer and Bernard Tomic.

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