Womens' US Open Betting: Dementieva is the value (if her mind is right)
US Open Betting
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Gary Boswell /
27 August 2009 /
"Elena Dementieva can do it when her mind is right (perhaps when her Mother is not there!!) and her price of [9.6] is my idea of value... "
Grand Slam virginity, overbearing mothers and swine flu... It's the Boz's Womens' US Open bets....
The truly fascinating thing about the market for Flushing Meadows is the appearance in it after a two year absence of Kim Clijsters. The 2005 champion is priced at [19.5] to back and [20.0] to lay which shows admirable respect for her past and the fact that she demonstrated she is still a force with wins over Marion Bartoli, Patty Schnyder and Svetlana Kuznetsova in the Cincinatti comeback tourney losing in the quarter-final against Safina.
She followed that with a victory over young pretender Viktoria Azarenka in Toronto but lost to Jelena Jankovic after leading 5-3 final set. Could she really get back to the form that had her No.2 in the world before her retirement? She still holds the record as having won the biggest purse in Women's sporting history when she won 2.2 million dollars as the Flushing Meadow queen of 2005. She is obviously back for more but if she wins seven games in a row here after two years off the circuit she will stamp herself as the greatest player of all time. She's not that so she's a lay for the Boz at [20.0].
Elena Dementieva can do that when her mind is right (perhaps when her Mother is not there!!) and her price of [9.6] is my idea of value, although I do concede that one does have to factor in that Grand Slam virginity with her. For me, it's more a case of checking whether her Mother is in the crowd. All the anxiety flows therefrom. If her Mother is down with Swine flu, be brave and back the Russian to finally conquer her negativity!
Dementieva's final opponent in Toronto, Maria Sharapova is a lay at [16.0]. Coming back slowly but still a shadow of her former self and sure to gobbled by Serena should the draw pit them together. I'm also laying Victoria Azarenka at [17.0] as she continues to show fragility in the slams and arguably you can also oppose Safina at [15.0] with her desperate record of final wilting. So already we have a strong lay book that has Serena as a green winner!
The [1000.00] shots that are really back to lays in any rational mind but The Boz likes to keep in his armoury to add some excitement as the days go by. My two for next week are Roland Garros semi-finalist Dominika Cibulkova and Venus' Melbourne conqueror Carla Suarez-Navarro. Both favour clay court tennis, are out of form and have queries over fitness (whenever do tennis players not?) hence their price. Both however undoubtedly have the talent and the game to progress in the next few years and I'm always prepared to take a speculative minimum stakes punt in my portfolio on the possible players of the future.It's a direct blood relation to my enjoyment in following the sport!
The one to seriously fancy at Flushing Meadows at the price is the German Sabine Lisicki [130.00]. She will come through in a Grand Slam one day soon as surely as Steffi Graf did.
The Boz's Flushing Meadow Portfolio:
1pt Back to lay on Carla Suarez-Navarro at [1000.0]
1pt Back to lay on Dominika Cibulkova at [1000.0]
1pt Back on Sabine Lisicki at [130.0]
1pt Lay on Kim Clijsters at [20.0]
1pt Lay on Maria Sharapova at [16.0]
1pt Lay on Viktoria Azarenka at [17.0]
1pt Lay on Dinara Safina at [15.0]