Sony Ericsson Daily Tips: Enter Andy but the value is elsewhere

Events / Sean Calvert / 27 March 2010 /

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Andy Murray plays Mardy Fish today

"Take Wawrinka to outclass Anderson, perhaps in two sets at around [2.3], but certainly outright at [1.5]."

Sanity was restored at the Crandon Park Tennis Centre on Friday, says Sean Calvert, as discerning punters made a tidy profit from yesterday's play at the Sony Ericsson Open. Can our man get it right again on Saturday?

Ivo Karlovic just about stumbled over the line yesterday, but failed to do it in straight sets, as did David Nalbandian, so the 2-0 layers in those two matches did well, as did John Isner backers.

All that and the number two seed Novak Djokovic, who I advised you to avoid backing this week, was dumped out by 'the mighty atom' Olivier Rochus after chucking in 11 double faults and being broken six times.

Saturday sees the entrance of Andy Murray and Roger Federer and both should emerge untroubled against Mardy Fish and Nicolas Lapentti respectively. At [1.14] and [1.02] though there's little profit to be had and I don't trust Fish enough to have a go on the handicap either, but there is value to be had elsewhere.

Janko Tipsarevic is in great form in 2010, as Murray discovered to his cost in Doha and at [1.83] the Serbian could prove an excellent wager against Philipp Petzschner. Tipsy also loves it in Miami, where he beat Fernando Verdasco and Mikhail Youzhny en route to the quarter-finals two years ago and has lost here only to Nikolay Davydenko and Juan Martin Del Potro on his last two visits.

Petzschner, on the other hand, hasn't got past the second round of any outdoor hard court event since Montreal last summer and if both play to their best form Tipsarevic should win handily. The only concern, as ever with Tipsy is injuries, but I'm hopeful that he'll have recovered from a left rib muscle tweak to be in decent shape here.

My other best today has to be Stanislas Wawrinka to take out Kevin Anderson at around [1.5]. Stan became a father for the first time last month and has been away from the circuit, but he still had a good win on clay over Nicolas Almagro in Davis Cup recently, so the match practice is still there.

The serving machine that is Anderson won't be effective on these slow courts and Stan has way too much game for the otherwise limited South African. Take Wawrinka to outclass Anderson - perhaps in two at around [2.3], but certainly outright at [1.5].

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