Events / Sean Calvert / 13 March 2011 /

Saturday saw upsets galore at Indian Wells where Andy Murray went down when heavy odds-on against Donald young. Sean Calvert think it'll be a little more predictable today and has a pair of men to follow

After a good start, it's all gone a bit pear-shaped at Indian Wells in the last couple of days.

The Indian Wells Tennis Garden has seen more than it's fair share of upsets over the years, but I don't think many expected David Ferrer to go down in straights to Ivo Karlovic or Andy Murray to lose to Donald Young.

I did say that I wouldn't touch Murray at [1.04] yesterday, but I didn't really expect him to lose to the world number 143.

Onto Sunday's matches then and it's our first glimpse in singles of Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic, both of whom are unbackable in their respective clashes with Igor Andreev and Andrey Golubev.

There are several fascinating match-ups tonight, not least Mardy Fish v Milos Raonic, who meet again quickly after the Canadian emerged victorious from their Memphis indoor clash.

If I was to get involved with that one I may just side with Fish at around [2.42], as these slower courts should suit him more than his opponent, but that serve of Raonic's can win matches on its own.

The ones I like from a betting perspective are Stan Wawrinka to take out Nikolay Davydenko at [1.7] and Julien Benneteau to beat Jurgen Melzer at [2.8].

Stan is back up to number 15 in the world after a 14-3 start to 2011, which is the opposite of the way Davydenko is sliding down the rankings.

The Swiss showed his class in Melbourne until coming up short mentally against Roger Federer and had a decent Golden Swing on the clay, plus he's done well at Indian Wells before, only being beaten by Djokovic in his last two visits.

The Russian meanwhile has faded away after a bright start to 2011 and currently sits at number 43 in the rankings after five consecutive losses in all competitions.

Davy has only beaten Guillermo Garcia-Lopez in his last four events and struggled past Fabio Fognini in the first round here at a venue where he's never done well. A solitary last-16 spot is his best return from six visits. Stan should make those figures worse.

My best outsider of the day has to be Benneteau, who is just coming back to form after injury, at [2.8] over a struggling Jurgen Melzer.

The Frenchman has a 4-1 head-to-head over the Austrian and he's won all four they've contested on hard-courts.

Melzer's breakthrough year of 2010 has seen him enter the world's top-10, but he might be feeling the pressure a bit, as losses to Dmitry Tursunov, Marin Cilic and Jeremy Chardy suggest.

He's coming straight from clay courts, whereas Benneteau has already played a match here (beating Feliciano Lopez in straights) and this will be tough for Melzer.

Recommended bets
Back Wawrinka to beat Davydenko at [1.7] Back Benneteau to beat Melzer at [2.8]

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