Davis Cup Final Betting: Tipsy to show some bottle in the decider
It could all come down to a decider between Simon and Tipsarevic and if it does, these two won't be such good buddies as they seem here
"The reverse singles on Sunday will see Monfils try and beat Djokovic
for the first time ever and I just don’t see that happening, so this
Davis Cup could well come down to wire with Tipsarevic against Simon."
This is a good final between two evenly matched teams which could well go to the final rubber. If it does, we're best off siding with the man who plays his best tennis on the biggest stages. Step forward Janko Tipsarevic.
The tennis season draws to a close this weekend in Belgrade with what
looks all set to be a fascinating Davis Cup Final between Serbia and France.
The Serbian team, who are looking for an historic first Davis Cup Final victory are around [1.42] for the win, while nine-time winners France are appearing in their first final since the famous one of 2002.
Tennis fans will remember that match as the year of the Paul-Henri Mathieu choke from two sets up against Mikhail Youzhny, but fortunately for both France and Mathieu, he hasn't made the team this time.
The visitors' coach Guy Forget has made an interesting selection decision though by choosing Gilles Simon for the singles over Michael Llodra, who of course recently beat Serbian main man, Novak Djokovic.
Simon has lost his last five in a row against Djokovic, so I can only assume that the surface at the Belgrade Arena is going to be on the slow side, otherwise Llodra would surely have got the nod.
The first match up on Friday is to be Gael Monfils against Janko Tipsarevic, who has been chosen over Viktor Troicki on the back of his match-winning performance against the Czech Republic in the semi finals.
These two have played five times and Tipsy leads 3-2 overall, but Monfils has won two of their last three, the most recent being at the US Open.
Their two indoor meetings have been shared and this one could go either way, although Tipsy loves nothing better than performing on the big stage, where he shows his best form.
These are two of the most injury-prone players on the ATP Tour , so don't be surprised if we see a 'last man standing' situation after a five set marathon.
You would expect Djokovic to beat Simon and then it's the doubles, where last week's ATP World Tour Finals winner Nenad Zimonjic pairs up with Troicki to take on Llodra and Arnaud Clement.
As this is the first ever meeting between the two nations, there's no doubles head-to-head, but Zimonjic's Davis Cup 'dubs' record is 23-7, although he did lose in the semis to Stepanek and Berdych when partnering Djokovic and he looked very nervous that day.
Llodra hasn't lost a Davis Cup doubles with Clement since 2007 and I fancy that their experience of playing together at the highest level (they've won seven titles together, including Wimbledon) will give them the edge.
The Serbian pair have only played together twice in the Davis Cup and won them both, but they haven't played an established top class pair such as the French duo.
The reverse singles on Sunday will see Monfils try and beat Djokovic for the first time ever and I just don't see that happening, so this Davis Cup could well come down to wire with Tipsarevic against Simon.
This pair have only played once, with Simon coming out on top in two breakers on the fast indoor surface in Rotterdam, but Tipsy - if fit - should have the edge in front of his home crowd.
Simon has only played four Davis Cup singles ties, with a 2-2 record, whereas his opponent has played 35, with a 25-10 winning record.
The last time that Tipsy lost in a Davis Cup singles was when being thrashed by Rafa Nadal on clay in Spain in 2009 and if it comes down to the final rubber, he should win it.
So, I'm going to go for a 3-2 Serbian victory in this year's Davis Cup Final, with the winners in the individual rubbers being as follows: -
Monfils to beat Tipsarevic
Djokovic to beat Simon
Clement/Llodra to beat Troicki/Zimonjic
Djokovic to beat Monfils
Tipsarevic to beat Simon
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