Election Odds: Obama favourite for Wisconsin and Hawaii

US Politics / Mike Robb / 18 February 2008 / 1

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Obama momentum set to continue through tomorrow's primaries...

Barack Obama is the [1.17] favourite to win the Wisconsin Primary tomorrow night and the current front-runner is an even stronger [1.03] favourite to win the Hawaii Caucus.

The Realclearpolitics average of polls from 8th to 14th February put Obama on 46.3 percent and Clinton just outside the 4% margin of error on 42.0%. The Betfair implied % chance put Obama on 85%, so if you think the polling is more accurate this time than it has been in recent months you can back Clinton at [6.0] to win the Wisconsin Primary.

Click here to bet in the Wisconsin Primary market

The national average of polls put Obama just 0.5% ahead, and so the [3.4] available to back Clinton at the current time looks a very appealing price. If Clinton can pull off a victory tonight you can be sure that her price to win the nomination will dramatically shorten and we may even see the two trading at evens once more.

Click here to bet in the Democratic nomination market

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Helen | 19 February 2008

Here's the way the Rocky Mountain (CO) West viewed it:

The Ballad of Hillary Clinton

Way out in the west
Where the folks are the best,
But the towns are really remote.
Rides our gun-totin' pal--
That Hillary gal,
And she's courtin' the Hispanic vote.

Yup, she's packin' a gun
And it ain't just for fun,
They say she's shot seven or eight.
She's angry and mean,
A terrible scene
When she's roundin' up each delegate.

"Howdy, ya all!"
She says with a drawl.
"I'm lookin' for Spaniards, ya see.
Now do what I says,
'Cause I'm runnin' for Prez,
Just hand them over to me!"

From the crowd comes a shout:
"I'm afraid that they're out
At a rally just down the street.
A new guy's come in
And they're votin' for him,
He's the one they all want to meet!"

She gallops away,
In tears, so they say,
Amid cries of "Obama's our man!"
A people so proud,
With voices so loud:
"Yes, we can! Yes, we can! Yes, we can!"

POETS FOR OBAMA ;)