Timeform 1-2-3 Tips: Friday February 18

Timeform 1-2-3 Tips / Simon Baker / 18 February 2011 /

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We've got two jumpers and one on the all-weather today

"Rash Move shouldn’t want for fitness having won on his return to the pointing field in January and the discrepancy in price between him and Massini Man simply does not look justified."

Three bets for Friday from the Timeform Free Form Site...

This time on Saturday you could back Cappagh at about the [4.3] in the three-mile handicap hurdle at Newbury (12:10). This time around the price is more or less a point shorter, but even then there is reason to believe that present odds are a touch on the generous side. Cappagh last ran in a 21-furlong handicap hurdle at Cheltenham's Open Meeting in November and shaped well to finish fifth behind Grands Crus. That is one of the strongest formlines of the season, and with the step up to three miles today expected to suit Cappagh ideally, there's little doubt he's the one to be on at [3.55].

The market for the hunter chase at Fakenham (16:15) has a decidedly lop-sided look to it, with Massini Man currently taking out well over half the book. Massini Man has won his last two starts, both under rules, but that means he carries a double penalty in today's race. As a result, he looks well worth opposing at the prices with Rash Move, who achieved form comparable to Massini Man's best when winning a hunter at Taunton last March. Rash Move shouldn't want for fitness having won on his return to the pointing field in January and the discrepancy in price between him and Massini Man simply does not look justified. At around the [3.85] mark he is the clear value against the favourite.

The concluding three-year-old handicap at Wolverhampton this evening (20:35) features by-and-large exposed horses with the rather obvious exception of top-weight Dasho, who made a winning debut in a course-and-distance maiden last month. The level of form he achieved that day is backed up by the timefigure, and though an opening mark of 73 is not obviously lenient, it is certainly reasonable to think there he has some scope for improvement, particularly bearing in mind his useful pedigree. It's worth siding with that potential at around the [3.7] mark against some rivals who have trip and attitude questions to answer.

Recommendations

Back Cappagh @ [3.55] Newbury 12:10
Back Rash Move @ [3.85] Fakenham 16:15
Back Dasho @ [3.7] Wolverhampton 20:35

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