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The Brigadier's Lay of the Day

RSS / / 30 November 2007 / 3

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Can The Brigadier make it four in a row?

14:15 Lingfield - LAY - Eastern Gift (Forecast - 2.1)

Today's race is the 14:15 at Lingfield, it's a class 3 Conditions race over seven furlongs. Eastern Gift is forecast favourite, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Hadden Frost.

Eastern Gift won a Chester maiden (a track with a big bias for front runners) in early September and his form is head and shoulders above anything else in the race. However, this Eastern Gift is a cretinous imbercile and I expect him to be beaten today.

He is a front runner and that makes him vulnerable at today's track as it is tough to lead all the way here. This will be his ninth race since mid-July and the signs are that all this activity is catching up with him as he put up one of his worst performances of the year last time. This is his first run on polytrack and he has to prove he can handle the surface.

The hideous wretch can race keenly which doesn't help him and he is one-paced in a finish over this trip. Unplaced on his last two runs he is vulnerable to his unexposed rivals who should all have plenty of improvement in them.

Jockey Hadden Frost has never ridden a two-year-old winner for Richard Hannon and this rogue is unlikely to improve that record.

Port Quinn and Burriscara both look progressive but it's an open race and I will be laying the over raced and one paced favourite 'Eastern Gift'.

***
The Brigadier's Lay of the Day - November 29

12:50 Carlisle - LAY - Raise Your Game (Forecast 3.0)

Today's race is the 12:50 at Carlisle, it's a class 5 maiden hurdle over two miles and one furlong. Rasie Your Game is forecast favourite, trained by Jonjo O'Neil and ridden by Richard Mcgrath.

Raise Your Game may have top connections, however he is nothing more than a cretinous imbecile. He ran a good race on his racecourse and hurdles debut at Southwell last December when second over 2m 5f. He was then rested for 11 months before reappearing at Chepstow in a maiden hurdle over today's trip, he could only finish seventh of 15 and was beaten 27 lengths.

He wants more of a stamina test and is likely to need three miles plus to show his best form.
He is a potential bounce horse on this second run back and is likely to be outpaced over a trip too short.

Jockey Richard Mcgrath has ridden 40 hurdlers for Jonjo O'Neil in his career and has been beaten on 39 of them, producing a truly grotesque 2.5% strike rate. Raise Your Game gets a handicap mark after today's race, and will be of interest in handicaps over further when Tony McCoy is booked.

Sinatra and Checkerboard should go well but I will be laying the one paced rogue 'Raise Your Game'.

***
The Brigadier's Lay of the Day - November 28

12:50 Wetherby - LAY - Like A Lord (Forecast - 2.8)

Today's race is the 12:50 at Wetherby, it's a class 4 beginners chase over three miles and one furlong. Like A Lord is forecast the short price seconnd favourite, trained by Mrs S J Smith and ridden by Christian Williams.

But this Like A Lord is a cretin of the highest order. He has won just once in 20 races and that was in June 05 against summer hurdlers. In four races over fences, he has been unplaced in all four chase runs (falling in two of them).

The cretin has raced twice at Wetherby, he fell heavily in a chase here and was 8/18 beaten 43 lengths in a hurdles race and the tough Wetherby fences are not ideal for a horse with jumping issues.

At nine-years-old the horse appears to be in decline and should struggle to win.

Ferdy Murphy trains both rivals and Surricate looks to have the best chance, though I would expect Sharkeys Dream to also beat Like A Lord and the outsider of three could cause a surprise.

My bet, however, is the lay of the abysmal excuse for a racehorse 'Like A Lord'.

Today's lay finished second

***
The Brigadier's Lay of the Day - November 27

15:30 Kempton - LAY - MICKMACMAGOOLE (Forecast - 2.1)

Today's race is the 15:30 at Kempton, it's a class 4 handicap hurdle over two miles.

Mickmacmagoole is forecast favourite, trained by Evan Williams and ridden by John Flavin.
Not only is Mickmacmagoole one of the most ludicrously named horses in training he is also a cretinous wretch of the highest order.

He won his first race over hurdles at the fifth time of asking last time at Exeter over 17 furlongs from a mark of 97. Exeter is a testing track and this drop down to two miles on a sharp track is not ideal for him and he probably needs more of a stamina test.

This will be his third race in just six days and his busy recent schedule may catch up with him today. He has a 7lb penalty for the win last time. He only carried 10-12 for the win but has to shoulder a huge weight of 12-2 today (18lb more than for the win).

This is John Flavin's first ever ride at Kempton and his lack of course knowledge could count against him today.

The race is more competitive than the prices suggest and many hold claims, however I will be laying the donkey with the ludicrous name 'Mickmacmagoogle'.

Today's lay finished second


***
The Brigadier's Lay of the Day - November 26

13:40 Ayr - LAY - BALLYVOGE (Forecast - 2.3)

Today's race is the 13:40 Ayr, it's a class 4 beginners chase over three miles and one furlong. Ballyvoge is forecast favourite trained by Nicky Richards and ridden by Tony Dobbin.

Ballyvoge was second last time on his chase debut and first run for seven-and-a-half months at Hexham. This, his second run, may come a bit soon and he is a potential bounce horse today.

In four career races he has finished in first, second, second and fourth place (beaten 70 lengths). The three good runs came on testing tracks, the one poor run came on a speed track on soft ground. Racing at a galloping track on soft ground today he is unlikely to show his best form.

Rathowen and Wee Forbes should run big races but I will be laying the ability challenged cretin Ballyvoge.

Today's lay finished second

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(3)

  1. jonjo | 27 November 2007

    Hi Brig

    Thanks a million for today and the last few weeks. I have been making a fortune following your brilliantly reasoned lays, I have also been dutching the horses when you advise the 2 horses you think will go well in the race. I was on Rathowen at 30.0 on the win and 3.75 on the place as it was such a great price as well as your ever brilliant lay. I see Rathowen went 1000.00 in running and still won, that was the best tip I have seen on this site and you have genuinely made my day. Respect to you sir.
    I dont understand how most of the radio presenters dont seem to want to acknowledge you but wont shut up about Nick Shambouras (no disrespect to Nick as I think you are very knowledgable also).
    Brig - When are you going to go into the studio and be the tipster on the radio show? I cant understand why you arent a regular, you simply have to get on the airwaves mate as your wasted just giving one race a day.
    Anyway Brig thanks again and maximum repsect, your a genius and in a different parish to the rest of them and I just love your blunt talking. Keep up the great work and I owe you a big drink one day.

  2. Mark | 27 November 2007

    Evening jonjo-

    have to say i entirely agree-i always listened to bf radio, waiting to hear both Nick and the brigs tips! The brig, good work as usual sir, we all appreciate it!

    As to why don't they mention him more-I assume it is because he isn't a presenter/pundit on bf radio, altho I do remember someone mentioning the brig having a website (possibly) with more tips, which would be nice-if anyone has any insight onto this, please let us know!

    Always a pleasure to read this site and check both Nick and Brigs tips, none of this rubbish you see on the forum about laying a horse just because its 100/1 and so on, when...one of them wins, and your bank will be gone!

    The brig actually makes well informed decisions and lays horses which are often favourites, and usually low odds!

    jonjo, well done for getting on Rathowen-missed that myself, went to 1000 in running-just shows, how all these people on the forums saying just lay it as its 100 and so on..need to get real, long shots can ..and do sometimes win, and one win will wipe out all your profits if your laying a 100/1

    Thanks guys


    Someone let us know the brigs site!
    Mark

  3. The Brigadier | 28 November 2007

    Thanks for the kind comments guys and Im glad you are enjoying the lays.

    Jonjo - I will go into the studio when and if I recieve an invitation.

    Mark - I dont have a website as such. I do work in the tipping industry but I would not be allowed to plug my company on this site and it has no connection to the name 'The Brigadier'.So sorry I cant be more helpful than that.

    Ed - I am going for 7 succesful lays in a row today not 3.