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Timeform Radio Racing Tips: On the Warpath at Ludlow

Timeform Radio Tip RSS / / 25 April 2010 /

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Today's 16:15 at Ludlow provides a good opportunity for Warpath

Today's 16:15 at Ludlow provides a good opportunity for Warpath

"Warpath is not straightforward, but if he’s ever to land another nice prize, it’s going to be this one. Now 13lb below his highest winning chase mark, two previous visits to Ludlow have yielded a beginners’ chase win and a close second in a class 3 handicap hurdle, both at this trip. "

The belief that high numbers fare well over the minimum trip at Bath has been frequently proved right in today's feature race, the EBF Lansdown Fillies' Stakes (16.25), with eight of the last nine renewals of this Listed sprint having gone to horses drawn 6 or higher.

That doesn't bode well this time for likely market leaders Anglezarke and Tomintoul Singer in stalls 1 and 2, who could consequently suffer the worst of any crowding on the rail. The current strike-rates of their respective trainers Richard Fahey (3-42 in the last 14 days) and Henry Cecil (2-31 throughout April) could also be more encouraging.

Preference instead is for GOLDEN DESTINY, who has earned this step up to Listed class having racked up a four-timer in fast ground 5f-6f handicaps around both this course and Sandown last summer, improving her mark from 76 to 101 in so doing. Trip and ground will suit again, as will stall number 6, and Peter Makin's numerically small number of runners sent out so far during April isn't especially unusual for the time of year for him.

The richest jumps race on day one of the 2010-11 National Hunt season is the totesporecasino.com Handicap Chase at Ludlow (16.15).

Probable favourite Sou'Wester remains on a mark 4lb below his highest ever winning one even with his 7lb penalty for last week's Wincanton romp, but his two wins at today's 2m4f trip were both a long time ago and in far feebler contests - he remains more credible over shorter.

WARPATH is not straightforward, but if he's ever to land another nice prize, it's going to be this one. Now 13lb below his highest winning chase mark, two previous visits to Ludlow have yielded a beginners' chase win and a close second in a class 3 handicap hurdle, both at this trip. His absence since last October is of little concern, as he has won on his first run back after two out of three previous career breaks of more than three months.

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