Find Me A 100 Winner: Course lover Monty to reclaim glory?

Find Me A 100 Winner / Paul Krishnamurty / 28 June 2011 / 2

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Monty is short but accurate with the big stick

"Averaging just 264 yards off the tee, long courses are clearly unsuitable for Monty, but shorter, narrower courses can still play to his strengths. While he ranks outside the top-150 over the past three months for driving distance, he is second for driving accuracy."

Colin Montgomerie is clearly not the player of his pomp but the Open de France has always suited his fairways and greens game and he could reward at a monster price, says Paul Krishnamurty

We're likelier to see Colin Montgomerie in the commentary box than on a leaderboard these days, but while the eight times European number one is clearly well past his best, he remains capable of high-class golf when the course conditions are right.

Averaging just 264 yards off the tee, long courses are clearly unsuitable for Monty, but shorter, narrower courses can still play to his strengths. While he ranks outside the top-150 over the past three months for driving distance, he is second for driving accuracy.

Le Golf National, where Colin won this French Open title in 2000, is ideal. Power offers little advantage here, whereas accuracy and experience are the keys to success. After the last few weeks of rain, the rough is reportedly up in Paris so finding fairways will be even more important than usual. Nor is age a handicap here, as five of the last ten champions were in their forties.

Even as Monty's game has deteriorated, he has repeatedly thrived at Le Golf National, with his only failure coming 12 months ago, when understandably distracted by the Ryder Cup captaincy. Prior to that, he'd finished 13th, third and second in the previous three renewals, despite struggling during those seasons. They simply aren't the course form credentials of a [190.0] chance, and his recent results are promising too. Monty registered an excellent seventh place in elite company at Wentworth last month, and a 68/69 finish to make the top-20 in Germany over the weekend.

That strong emphasis on accuracy also brings another Scot, Richie Ramsay, into the equation. He can always be found near the top of these stats, and true to form, ranks seventh for driving accuracy and second for greens in regulation over the past three months. Ramsay's [220.0] quote reflects a failure to contend this season, but he has registered four top-15s, including on his penultimate start. Moreover, as a former US Amateur Champion, who has won three times during a four year professional career, including on the European Tour, Ramsay is well capable of popping up somewhere at a big price when conditions suit.

The trading advice is to have one unit on each player, then place two lay orders at [15.0] and [3.0], ensuring a profit if either lay target is hit.

Place order to lay 5u @ [15.0]
Place order to lay 20u @ [3.0]

2011 Updated Stats: -33.5u

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dml | 04 July 2011

sorry, Paul, it was my bet on Ramsey at halfway that did for him.

he has such a methodical swing that when it does break down, it really does. a bit unlucky early on not to nick a birdie or two but when he chased it, nothing happened.
Paul Krishnamurty | 05 July 2011

Hi DML, I felt he coped pretty well with contention, and would be happy to back him again. It will be interesting to see how he fares back in Scotland this week.

LGN is the sort of course where one hole can completely derail a challenge, and that disaster on the tough 15th was such an instance.