Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Henry to lead the Titans past the Jaguars

Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry is fancied to score a touchdown for the Titans

Dave Gray has looked at Thursday night's AFC South clash and believes that Derrick Henry can once again lead the Titans to victory in Jacksonville...

"In week four of last season Henry put in one of the best games in history. 238 yards on just 17 carries and an incredible four touchdowns. He already has three touchdowns in two games this season and looks set to add to that this week."

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Friday, 01:20 BST
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Henry can back up a fast start

Derrick Henry has had something of an up and down career since entering the NFL, but he has started off the 2019 season with a bang and can continue that in week three.

Going up against a Jaguars defence that has given up over 100 yards on the ground in their opening two games, he can once again punish Doug Marrone's side. In week four of last season Henry put in one of the best games in history. 238 yards on just 17 carries and an incredible four touchdowns. He already has three touchdowns in two games this season and looks set to add to that this week.

Still question marks over Mariota

Marcus Mariota is in a contract year, and it got off to a flyer. Three touchdowns and no interceptions as the Titans upset the highly fancied Browns marked one of his best performances in a Titans jersey. Against the Colts however he looked more like the quarterback we have seen in the past. He struggled to move the ball through the air and just didn't have enough when Tennessee needed him in the fourth quarter. There are real question marks over the former Oregon star and his ability to consistently be an effective quarterback in the NFL.

There's trouble in Jacksonville

Jacksonville have a talented defence but have struggled to stop anybody on the ground so far this season. Add to that issues between Jalen Ramsey and his head coach - the pair had a bust up on the sideline in Sunday's loss to the Texans that have since seen the star cornerback request a trade - and things aren't looking rosey for the Jags. Thursday's opponents are one of the teams linked with a move for Ramsey so it will be interesting to see how that plays out, if he is even on the team by kick off.

Titans defence has too much for Minshew

On the other side of the ball, Gardner Minshew leads the offence. Big money signing Nick Foles broke his collarbone early in week one, leaving the sixth-round rookie in charge of an offence that was already lacking in talent. One bright spot in the passing game has been D.J. Chark. The second-year wide receiver seems to have a good relationship with Minshew and his 11 catches through two weeks are only three short of his total for his entire rookie season.

However, the Titans have built one of the best defences in the league. Despite playing two high powered offences in the Browns and Colts, they have given up the second fewest yards passing and just 15 points per game. It could be a tough night for Minshew and the Jacksonville pass catchers.

Fournette needs to step up for the Jags

Marrone would have hoped that Leonard Fournette could get back to his 2017 form, but the star running back has been a little sluggish in his opening two games. 113 yards rushing over the first two weeks is fine, but he will need to step it up if the Jaguars are going to come away with anything here and avoid slipping to 0-3. He has only gone over 40 yards once against the Titans, so this may not be the week to back the 24-year-old to turn into the leader of this offence.

The Titans should be too strong

The Jacksonville defence perhaps has more star names, but for me the Titans defence is the best unit in this game. They can hold the Jaguars in check and do just about enough on offence to head home with a win. They can limit what Minshew can do through the air and make the Jags one-dimensional. The Titans moneyline (3/4) and Gardner Minshew under 219.5 yards passing (5/6) are both intriguing. The Jags have not scored more than 16 points in any of the previous four meetings between the teams and could struggle to once again.

Henry looks like the man most likely to do the damage for Tennessee and can continue his good start to the season. Back him to score anytime (EVS). If you think he can repeat his feat from the same fixture in 2018, then he is 22/1 to score three or more touchdowns. The longshot might be worth a small bet.

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