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Washington @ Philadelphia: Kendricks looks key to an Eagles win

Mychal Kendricks of the Philadelphia Eagles
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The Redskins travel to Philadelphia for Sky Sports' offering of live Monday night NFL, and our man Mike Carlson believes the Eagles offer some value on home soil, especially if Mychal Kendricks is passed fit to play.

"My best bet for Monday Night Football however is Eagles' linebacker Mychal Kendricks to register Over 4.5 Tackles/Assists at 5/6. This one is irresistible."

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
Tuesday, 01:30
Live on Sky Sports Action

I wrote about NFL parity last Friday. Maybe I should have called it parody. My best bet, Carolina, were giving three to the Bears in Chicago. Actually, the Bears got three all on their own, and the Panthers gave them 14, as rookie Eddie Jackson scored on a 75 yard interception return and a 76 yard fumble recovery. Parity?

The Bears won 17-3 and completed only four passes! Rookie Mitch Trubisky threw only seven! They registered only five first downs! I'm running out of exclamation marks! Then my value bet, the Falcons failed to fly in Foxborough. At least the Saints and Packers contrived to stay under 47.5 for me. Or us.

Kendricks an irresistible bet... if he plays

Tonight the Eagles host Washington in a game that is must-win for the Skins, who aready lost to Philly at home. I like the Eagles. They're giving five at 20/23, which may be a little generous, but if you think like I do they're a TD better at home, take it. I'd probably go under 49 at 20/21, assuming the game stays relatively close.

My best bet for Monday Night Football however is Eagles' linebacker Mychal Kendricks to register Over 4.5 Tackles/Assists at 5/6. This one is irresistible.

Kendricks is left free to make plays in the Eagles defensive schemes, and he makes them. But warning! Check the injury status: he was nursing a sore hamstring on Friday. I expect him to play, but you might want to check first.

I was asking myself how many passing yards I'd expect from Carson Wentz, and myself answered '240', so I will probably stay away from his over/under which is 245.5. However I am tempted to risk Capt. Kirk Cousins staying under 286.5, also at 5/6. Zach Ertz beating 5.5 catches and 64.5 yards is tempting.

Overs looks value when Miami go to Baltimore

On Thursday night, the Dolphins visit the Ravens in a game only Jay Cutler's mother could love, and Cutler most likely won't be playing. Actually, that is probably why she'd love it. If Cutler isn't fully healthy, it makes no sense to play him in a short week, rather than use the extra time to help him heal.

It also makes no sense because Matt Moore outplayed him on the field. It wasn't a question of numbers (Cutler's were actually superficially better) but the fact that the entire Dolphins' offense seemed to come to life after Moore came in. They rallied from two touchdowns down, then were gifted a winning field goal on an ill-advised pass from Josh McCown in the final minute of a tied game. Cutler, Moore, and McCown of course are all reasons why Colin Kaepernick doesn't have a job.

Miami can look like a thrown-away Wembley meat pie after a night's rainstorm, or they can look the way they did when they went to Atlanta two weeks ago and beat the Falcons handily. Baltimore have won three games this year, but it's hard to say how; they were even flatter at Wembley than the Dolphins were.

Miami's getting 3.5 at 10/11, which seems a decent bet, but you might prefer to get the better odds on the moneyline, where they're 25/17 to win outright. The over/under of 37.5 looks very vulnerable, and over at 10/11 seems good value. But it's Thursday, so the home team should have more of an advantage, and everyone's tired, and we saw both times at their tiredest in London! But this is 2017, where parity is parody.


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