NFL Betting: What have we learned going into Week 9?

Expect Drew Brees to lead the Saints offense to big points today
Expect Drew Brees to lead the Saints offense to big points today

It is a NFL Sunday and that means Neil Monnery is here to give you the lowdown of what to watch this evening along with seven prop bets to keep us all entertained...


"The Falcons beat the Packers on Sunday and walloped the Buccaneers in the Thursday night game. Sunday's win was impressive against a team most pundits thinks will be a contender in the NFC."

What we learned in Week 8...


This week we are going to start with the Minnesota Vikings. If you are genuine contenders then you can't lose to the hapless Chicago Bears. They didn't just lose but they got flat out beat in all facets of the game. The defense is still legit but you do have to score at least a few points on offense to consistently win games. They worry me.

Next up while the Carolina Panthers have an awfully long road to still make the playoffs, they looked solid enough against the Cardinals on Sunday. The problem for us is that the Sportsbook and Exchange still overrate them based on last years 15-1 record. For example they are giving 3.5pts on the road at the Rams today. For the discerning punter they are still a dangerous play.

The Falcons beat the Packers on Sunday and walloped the Buccaneers in the Thursday night game. Sunday's win was impressive against a team most pundits thinks will be a contender in the NFC. Thursday's win was just expected. They have an explosive offense and in the regular season they are a good play most weeks in the over/under markets. Projecting forward to January though, I'm not sure they have the defense to win.

Last up the Oakland Raiders have moved into my Fine Five ahead of their huge Sunday night game with Denver. They overcame 23 penalties and two key missed Field Goals to record their fifth straight road victory of the season. Derek Carr is for real and they are very much in it for the AFC West or a wildcard position.


The Fine Five


1. New England Patriots (No Change)
2. Denver Broncos (No Change)
3. Dallas Cowboys (+1)
4. Atlanta Falcons (NEW)
5. Oakland Raiders (NEW)


What to watch for in Week 9


Straight away I point to that Sunday night game that I alluded to earlier. The Raiders are back on Sunday Night Football taking on fellow 6-2 AFC West team the Denver Broncos. Can Derek Carr deal with the swarming Denver D? This is a cracking match-up and one very much worth staying up late for.

Even though it has lost a bit of its lustre, whenever the Steelers and Ravens get together it is worth watching. Ben Roethlisberger is expected to return following his injury to lead the Steelers offense. Neither team are looking great but I still feel as though the Steelers are a dangerous team if they make the playoffs, so a win here would put them two clear of their AFC North rivals.

The other game I'll be keeping a keen eye on is out in Los Angeles. The Panthers can still turn it around if they get on a run but the Rams defense is one of the better units in the league. Well worth watching this one.


Recommended Bets

3pt Back over 48.5 receiving yards for Cole Beasley in Dallas @ Cleveland at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 71.5 receiving yards for Dez Bryant in Dallas @ Cleveland at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 26.5pts for San Diego in Tennessee @ San Diego at 11/10 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back Denver to win straight up at 2.0621/20 on the Exchange
3pt Back over 31.5 receiving yards for Zach Ertz for Philadelphia in Philadelphia @ New York on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 71.5 receiving yards for Jordy Nelson for Green Bay in Indianapolis @ Green Bay at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 273.5 passing yards for Drew Brees for New Orleans in New Orleans @ San Francisco on the Sportsbook


Neil Monnery NFL P/L

2015:

Staked - 211pts
Returned - 277.44pts
P&L - +66.44pts

2016:
Staked - 259pts
Returned - 261.69pts
P&L - +2.69pts

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