NFL Trends: Jets looking good but Green Bay in trouble

Aaron Rodgers is going up against a great D on Sunday night
Aaron Rodgers is going up against a great D on Sunday night

Week 7 has come and gone and so Neil Monnery provides his regular report from his crystal ball gazing session...

"The Jets will be favoured in every game bar the Giants and possibly this week at Oakland. This team has flaws but it also has 10-11 win potential. I'd be surprised if they weren't 5-2 at worse over the next seven games."

Trending Up

New York Jets

They lost on Sunday to the undefeated New England Patriots as most of us fully expected. They kept it within seven points but had the Pats not had a rather contagious case of the dropsies, then it is highly likely they would have won by double digits. Yet look at the upcoming schedule, at Oakland (3-3), Jacksonville (2-5), Buffalo (3-4), at Houston (2-5), Miami (3-3), at the Giants (4-3) and Tennessee (1-5). The Jets will be favoured in every game bar the Giants and possibly this week at Oakland. This team has flaws but it also has 10-11 win potential. I'd be surprised if they weren't 5-2 at worse over the next seven games. The defense was picked apart by Brady but they aren't facing anyone near his level until Tony Romo and the Cowboys in Week 15. Look for the Jets to keep on a winning path for the majority of the next few weeks. This week's game at Oakland is the swing game, win and the Jets are most probably playoff bound.

Next up: @ Oakland

The Jets @ Raiders is a live game on Sunday and I'll be back with my full preview later in the week.


Pittsburgh Steelers

A bad loss for Pittsburgh this week at Kansas City but Big Ben is practising and looks likely to return this week for a massive game against the undefeated Bengals. The Steelers are 4-3 and most people would say that they haven't got going yet. The defense is giving up only 18.7 points/game and they've already faced the Patriots, Cardinals and the Chargers, all three are explosive offenses. That D is good - not Denver good but good enough - and with the return of Big Ben to run that offense, I expect a cracking game on Sunday with the Steelers very competitive but even if they lose, I see wins at home to the Raiders and the Browns before their bye week.

Next up: home v Cincinnati

The Bengals @ Steelers is a live game on Sunday and I'll be back with my full preview later in the week.


New Orleans Saints

I'm as surprised as you that I'm seeing good things for the Saints going forward but they still have a real shot at the final wildcard. They gave the Falcons their only defeat a fortnight ago and beat another playoff bound team in the Colts this weekend. While I still don't believe in the Colts at all, they are playing in a stinky division so will win it, this make this a good win for New Orleans. The Giants come into town this week having just about beat a Cowboys team who have been kneecapped by injuries. After that it is Tennessee and trips to Washington and Houston. They could easily go 3-1 in this four game stretch, if not better.

Next up: home v New York Giants


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Green Bay Packers

What? What? WHAT?!?! I know. The Packers are the best team in the NFC but they are on the road in Weeks 8 and 9 against teams that are currently undefeated. On Sunday they go to Denver in the match-up of the season so far. Both teams have questions that need answering but on the Green Bay side, I am interested to see whether Aaron Rodgers can do it on the road against a truly elite defense without his top weapon? Can Eddie Lacy run enough to keep the Denver D from teeing off on Rodgers? Can the Packers' D make enough plays to keep giving Rodgers a short field? I am so stoked for this game! There are two great quarterbacks on show but it might well turn into a battle of the defenses. Even if Green Bay get through the Denver test, they go to Carolina next week. Going 2-0 over the next fortnight would be a Herculean effort. I think they might well go 0-2, I have Denver pulling off an upset this week.

Next up: @ Denver


Dallas Cowboys

Remember when Tony Romo wasn't considered a top-flight quarterback? Well now we've seen what happens to his team when he is out injured. Since he left this team through injury, the Cowboys have lost four straight and he is still not expected to return for another month. They tried Brendon Weeden and he couldn't get it done. They tried Matt Cassel and he couldn't get it done either. The Cowboys could have been a 10-11 win team this season, they really could have been but they've been crushed by forces beyond their control. Next up is only a Seattle team fighting for their lives and a Philadelphia team who are starting to turn things around. Nothing good going on here for Dallas.

Next up: home v Seattle


Miami Dolphins

Peter King has put a rocket in the Miami Dolphins and catapulted them into the Fine Fifteen at number nine. That is crazy. They've played great under the new head coach but they've played Tennessee and Houston. No disrespect to those two teams, but one has a rookie QB going through year one pains while the other has no quarterback of note and looks like it might have given up on their head coach. Miami are on a short week and it couldn't be tougher - they must go to New England. Having averaged 41 points/game and five sacks/game in the past two, if they get anywhere near that this Thursday night then they've done well. The spread has been set at Miami +7.5 and I think that screams take the over. Miami just aren't that good and New England are great. The love-in that the talking heads have with Miami will be very short lived.

Next up: @ New England

Recommended Bet
2pt back Denver to beat Green Bay straight up at 2.35/4 on the exchange

Neil Monnery NFL P/L 2015 Season

Staked - 67pts
Returned - 126.34pts
P&L - +59.34pts

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