NFL Betting: What have we learned going into Week 7?

Rob Gronkowski is healthy and on fire (no, not literally...)
Rob Gronkowski is healthy and on fire (no, not literally...)

Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski look even better than ever and the Dallas Cowboys are for real. These facts are plain to see and Neil Monnery investigates what else have we learned going into week seven along with seven prop bets for today's games...

'This is the first time UK viewers will have got to watch Tom Brady this season. This was set to be a real marquee game but with Big Ben out injured, you'd be surprised if the Steelers have the offensive firepower to hang with #12 and #87.'

What we learned in Week 6...


The first thing we've learned is that if you aren't piling in on the Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski prop lines then you really need to start doing so. The feared duo are back together again and they are rolling. The Pats are the best team in football and that offense is as explosive as ever. I can't see a game on the schedule until they travel to Denver where I won't instinctively expect them to win with consummate ease.

Next up is how about them Cowboys? I have not felt this smug since the time I bought a Kit Kat Chunky that was solid chocolate. What a day! They are winning exactly how I said they would, they control the clock, they run the ball, they make plays on defense and this quarterback Dak Prescott has just got it going. They are a terrific team and are now a 11+ win team and a legitimate contender.

Despite Atlanta going down in Seattle, I think we've learned both are really good teams. The Falcons are justifiably aggrieved when they say they didn't get a huge PI call late in the game that would have kept a potential game winning drive going. Seattle's D came out and flat out balled in the fourth quarter. I like both and Atlanta only drop one place in my power rankings.

We also learned that Odell Beckham Jr. may be a complete pain in the neck but when he's on, boy can he play, making 222 yards on eight receptions with two scores against Baltimore. Yes I think you'd take that week in, week out.

Lastly look at my Fine Five below. At the start of the season I thought the AFC was superior at the top than the NFC and yet here we are, with only one AFC team amongst my top five at the moment.


The Fine Five


1. New England Patriots (No Change)
2. Minnesota Vikings (No Change)
3. Seattle Seahawks (+2)
4. Dallas Cowboys (NEW)
5. Atlanta Falcons (-1)


What to watch for in Week Seven


This is the first time UK viewers will have got to watch Tom Brady this season. This was set to be a real marquee game but with Big Ben out injured, you'd be surprised if the Steelers have the offensive firepower to hang with #12 and #87.

I also really like the Monday game. I still think Denver are pretty darn good despite this two week wobble. They face the man who partially saved their season last year in Brock Osweiler and he seems like the man for their defense to feast upon. Linebacker Brandon Marshall said the defense as a unit want to 'kill' their former QB. So it feels as though they are pretty jazzed up to face him.

The only undefeated team travel to Philadelphia is what could be a slippery road game. Sam Bradford returns to the team that traded him away eight days before the season started, so expect the atmosphere to be pretty hostile. Could their 0 finally go?


Recommended Bets

3pt Back an anytime Rob Gronkowski Touchdown in New England @ Pittsburgh at 8/11 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 304.5 passing yards in New England @ Pittsburgh for Tom Brady at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 76.5 receiving yards in New England @ Pittsburgh for Rob Gronkowski at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 56.5 total receiving and rushing yards for James White for New England @ Pittsburgh at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back Seattle to beat Arizona with a 5.5pt handicap at 12/5 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 67.5 yards rushing for Devonta Freeman @ San Diego at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 24.5pts for Buffalo @ Miami at 6/5 on the Sportsbook


Neil Monnery NFL P/L

2015:

Staked - 211pts
Returned - 277.44pts
P&L - +66.44pts

2016:
Staked - 162pts
Returned - 160.3pts
P&L - -1.7pts

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