NFL Week 10 TV Games: Green Bay to send Chicago packing

Like taking candy from a Cutler: Chicago's QB has a habit of losing the ball
Like taking candy from a Cutler: Chicago's QB has a habit of losing the ball

As well as the showdown at Wembley, there are two other sumptuous looking NFL games set to hit our TV screens this weekend, with our analyst Neil Harvey predicting a big game from the Giants and a mauling for the Bears...

"At the moment, Cutler is killing his own side through his poor ball retention. Take last week, when he gave up an interception and a lost fumble as the Bears were mauled by New England. Ranked fourth in the league for interceptions, the awaiting Green Bay defense should be licking its lips."

  Green Bay (-7.5) to win match handicap @ 2.0621/20  

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks
Sunday November 9th, 21:25
Live on Sky Sports 2

These two teams who have been wildly erratic this season. New York (3-5) might want to consider rebranding themselves as the Boom-Bust Giants because that's how they've been playing. They've lost on average by 15 points a game. Meanwhile their three victories have been even more one-sided, with the Giants winning by an average of 18 points. In contrast to that, Seattle have been leaving their fans with plenty of chewed fingernails, with their last seven games all decided by seven points or less.

The reason for New York's wildly ranging results is actually understandable though when you look at their opponents. Their wins came against Washington, Atlanta and Houston, whose losing records add up to (9-17). Their defeats though all came in the face of impressive winning records, a combined (31-7). 

That bodes well against the Seahawks (5-4), who have struggled in each of their last three games against St. Louis, Oakland and Carolina, whose combined losing records come to (6-18). So even if Seattle win, and that's no given, there's little reason to think they'll win big. Yes, New York are banged up in the secondary. But which of Seattle's receivers is capable of lighting them up? With Percy Harvin gone to the Jets, the Hawks' leading receiver is now Doug Baldwin - a player averaging just 50 yards a game and with only one touchdown for the season. Instead, expect Seattle to start focused on their running game, aka Marshawn Lynch, which is ranked second in the NFL. Lynch looks capable of repeating the efforts of DeMarco Murray and LeSean McCoy, both of whom had 100 yard games at home to the Giants. 

But if this is going to be close, it'll be New York who'll jump out to the better start, forcing Seattle to turn to a passing game that ranks third last in the NFL. By contrast, Eli Manning's passing unit is the league's 17th best. Should Manning find his rhythm here, expect a big game from rookie Odell Beckham who's now his number one guy.  In last week's loss to Indianapolis, Beckham stacked up 156 receiving yards, with Eli posting 359 yards passing. And given the poor state of their running game, it's no surprise to see the Giants going aerial. Whatever the result, Manning will be shooting from the hip. And that makes Beckham a good call to find the endzone and pour yet more pressure onto a Seattle team whose Superbowl-winning form is now looking an increasingly distant memory.


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New York Giants (+9) to win match handicap @ 1.9310/11    
New York Giants (+4.5) to win halftime handicap @ 1.9110/11 or better   
Odell Beckham to score first touchdown @ 11.0010/1 or better    
Odell Beckham to score anytime touchdown @ 2.809/5 or better  
Eli Manning passing yards to be over 240.5 @ 1.9110/11 or better 
Odell Beckham receiving yards to be over 65.5 @ 1.9110/11 or better    

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Monday September 10th, 01:30
Live on Channel 4

Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler takes a lot of stick. He's like the NFL's Vladimir Putin judging by how much abuse he gets. And that seems extremely unfair when you consider he's thrown for one yard more, and just two TDs less (17 to 19) this season, than NFL darling and former Superbowl winner Aaron Rodgers.  

The big difference between these players though comes down to protecting the ball. For example, in the previous two seasons Cutler was intercepted almost twice as many times as Rodgers. And it's been the same again this year, with Cutler so far throwing eight picks to Rodgers' three. Any player will tell you - the side that commits the most turnovers will usually lose the game. And at the moment, Cutler is killing his own side through his poor ball retention. Take last time out, when he gave up an interception and a lost fumble as the Bears were mauled by New England. Ranked fourth in the league for interceptions, the awaiting Green Bay defense should be licking its lips.

Where Chicago (3-5) could make hay though, is on the ground. Running back Matt Forte is averaging 70 yards a game. So given he's now up against the league's worst run defense, his quote of 77 rushing yards looks well worth buying.  Forte also offers a major passing threat out of the backfield. So he should stay involved even if the Bears fall behind, making him a good bet to add to his six touchdowns for the season. 

When these sides met in Week Four in Chicago, we witnessed a perfect example of everything said so far. Cutler threw two interceptions, while Rodgers threw for 302 yards with four TDs and no picks, in an easy 38-17 win for Green Bay (5-3). Forte by the way still rushed for 122 yards. There were two touchdowns each for Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson. Davante Adams though has since emerged as Green Bay's number three receiver. And with Cobb and Nelson sure to get special attention this time, Adams is my pick to find the endzone, just as he's done in two of his last four games.

Adams aside, and with the Packers at Lambeau Field this time, there's no reason to expect anything but history repeating itself - resulting in another big win for Green Bay.


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Green Bay (-7.5) to win match handicap @ 2.0621/20     
Green Bay (-3.5) to win half time handicap @ 1.9110/11 or better 
Matt Forte rushing yards to be over 77.5 @ 1.9110/11 or better    
Matt Forte to score anytime touchdown @ 2.001/1 or better 
Davante Adams to score anytime touchdown @ 2.506/4 or better
   

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