NFL Betting: What have we learned going into Week 6?

The Gronk is back to doing what he does best
The Gronk is back to doing what he does best

Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski were back together again and looked as good as ever but what else have we learned in the past seven days in the NFL? Neil Monnery investigates and gives us seven prop bets for the games today...


"Tom Brady is back. He went for over 400 yards. The Gronk has suddenly started catching passes again and marauded his way to over 100 yards receiving."

What we learned in Week 5 (and Week 6)...


Denver played in the Thursday Night game and put up a second putrid offensive performance on the spin. Cue some worry for my Super Bowl tip. The biggest concern I have is that they played scared. They didn't push the ball down the field. The defense was fine and held up their end of the bargain but the offense has to at least do something. With the Chargers having a stinky defense, to put up only 13 points is not good, its not good at all...

What is good though is the New England Patriots. Tom Brady is back. He went for over 400 yards. The Gronk has suddenly started catching passes again and marauded his way to over 100 yards receiving. Last week the lines were set for Brady and Gronk at 292.5 yards and 50.5 yards respectively. The line for Brady is exactly the same this week and for the Gronk is nine yards more. I'm very happy to play them once more because I believe this offense is going to be darn good.

It is time to believe in Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys. I was on them before the season and took a fair bit of stick in the comments and on Twitter but now they are 4-1 and are winning exactly how I thought they would. They are controlling the clock, winning in the trenches and creating running lanes. Cole Beasley has become a real comfort blanket and is a player I rate highly. Do the Cowboys have a Quarterback controversy when Tony Romo comes back? I think they might...

Lastly all those talking heads thinking that this was the year that the Houston Texans become legitimate contenders for it all. What is it the kids say, Get in the Sea? Brock Osweiler has thrown for six TDs and seven picks through five games. His top QBR so far is 78.5 against the rancid Bears and in the two games against top teams, they've lost by an average of 22.5pts. Oh and JJ Watt could miss the rest of the season. Good luck with that Houston...


The Fine Five


1. New England Patriots (+2)
2. Minnesota Vikings (No Change)
3. Pittsburgh Steelers (NEW)
4. Atlanta Falcons (NEW)
5. Seattle Seahawks (No Change)


What to watch for in Week Six


I'm interested in the Atlanta/Seattle game to see whether the Falcons are as good as they are looking so far. Beating Carolina isn't looking as great a win as is did a fortnight ago but they way they went into Denver and won is still impressive. Seattle are a tough team and winning there would be a massive statement.

Speaking of making a big statement, Dallas go into Green Bay also in the late window (Sky are showing Atlanta/Seattle) and this is the game that they need for the casual punter to start believing in them. They have the game plan to go into Lambeau Field and win. Green Bay are 4-1 and many people like them but I still have huge question marks. This game will answer questions about both teams.

The late window is clearly where is it at in week 6 as the Chiefs/Raiders game is a huge rivalry and with the Broncos wobbling, both team have their eye on the AFC West crown. I still think Denver are only having a blip (although my concern is real) but both these teams are good and if Oakland win, then they will have really put themselves in the mix.


Recommended Bets

3pt Back an anytime Rob Gronkowski Touchdown in New England v Cincinnati at 8/11 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 292.5 passing yards in New England v Cincinnati for Tom Brady at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 59.5 receiving yards in New England v Cincinnati for Rob Gronkowski at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back Indianapolis Colts to beat the Houston Texans straight up at 5/4 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 23.5pts for Jacksonville Jaguars against the Chicago Bears at 21/20 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 68.5 receiving yards for Jordy Nelson for Green Bay v Dallas at 5/6 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 51.5 receiving yards for Dallas v Green Bay at 5/6 on the Sportsbook


Neil Monnery NFL P/L

2015:

Staked - 211pts
Returned - 277.44pts
P&L - +66.44pts

2016:
Staked - 121pts
Returned - 130.5pts
P&L - +9.5pts

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