NFL Week 16 Tips: Houston may have a problem in Philadelphia

Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles shocked the Rams last week

The Eagles are still clinging on to their hopes of making the playoffs while the Texans are looking to clinch the AFC South, Matthew Crist looks ahead to Week 16...

"The Browns are looking at the prospect of three straight wins for the first time since 2014 and are somehow still in the hunt for a spot in the AFC Wild Card picture thanks to an incredible turnaround in form.."

After their dramatic win over the Los Angeles Rams in Week 15 the Philadelphia Eagles are still serious playoff contenders as they once again look to rally late in the season to keep their postseason hopes alive.

The only problem is - they are up against a Texans outfit who are also looking to clinch the AFC South - but given Houston's performance last Sunday they may not have too much to worry about even with backup quarterback Nick Foles being confirmed as a starter once again.

Foles made his third appearance of the season against the Rams and had his best performance since leading the Eagles to Super Bowl glory in February, finishing 24-of-31 and throwing for 270 yards as the Philadelphia offence scored 30 points for the second time this season, while in the last six regular-season games he's started, the Eagles have averaged 20.3 points.

Houston's offensive line was awful in their win over the Jets last week, allowing six sacks on quarterback Deshaun Watson while the defensive line was equally poor, giving Sam Darnold all the time in the world - something which a hungry Foles might just capitalise on.

If he can exploit any time and space he is given to find Alshon Jeffery and Zach Ertz, the Eagles, who are 15-4 in their last 19 games at home, will be tough test for a Texans team which is 5-2 on the road this year so an Eagles win by 1-13 points at 8/5 on the Sportsbook makes plenty of sense.

Believe-land Browns

Browns (1).jpg

The Browns are looking at the prospect of three straight wins for the first time since 2014 and are somehow still in the hunt for a spot in the AFC Wild Card picture thanks to an incredible turnaround in form since firing former head coach Hue Jackson.

And when you're looking to bag another vital win there are few teams you'd prefer to face right now than the Cincinnati Bengals who, although snapping a five game losing streak by beating the Raiders 30-16 last week, strike little if no fear into any opponent.

To make things worse for the visitors fill-in quarterback Jeff Driskel is showing zero accuracy and confidence in the pocket against a team who have everything to gain and pretty much nothing to lose after so little expectation.

Much will depend on Cleveland's defence, which has grown stronger as the season has progressed and with running back Nick Chubb meeting a Bengals defence that has allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns in the league it's highly likely they can repeat their 15 point win over Cincinnati back in November.

The Browns are favoured by 10 points here, something which would have been unthinkable a few weeks ago, but at 21/20 to win on the Handicap market that does look rather appealing.

Acca of the Week

It's a four-fold this week, with the choices being: Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5), Indianapolis Colts (-10), Miami Dolphins (-4) and New Orleans Saints (-5.5) and is currently available at 14.81 on the Sportsbook.

The Saints return home to the Superdome looking to secure the number one seed in the NFC and bag home field advantage in the playoffs and should be too strong for the Steelers while the Baltimore Ravens, who might be showing signs of improvement, are still unlikely to beat the Los Angeles Chargers.

Miami looked like they were going to surprise us all with that miraculous play against the Patriots, only to throw it all away a week later but should be stronger than a Jags team who can't wait for the season to end and expect Andrew Luck and the Colts to make light work of the Giants.

Superdog

Just when it starts to matter the Chiefs' defence is starting to show some major weaknesses and the Seahawks' powerful running game could well help them pull off an upset at home.

Of course, Kansas City will still have plenty to offer when Patrick Mahomes gets going, but Russell Wilson can be just as effective on his day so backing Seattle at 6/5 on the Moneyline could just pay off.

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Long shot of the week

This anytime touchdown scorer four-fold features a quartet of players who have every chance of getting on the board this weekend: Nick Chubb, Lamar Jackson, Josh Adams and Tarik Cohen which is currently available at 18.83 on the Sportsbook.

It's Christmas so you never know, there might be a few defences feeling generous, and backing both teams to score four touchdowns or more in the first half in the game between the New Orleans Saints and the Pittsburgh Steelers at 275/1 might be a shout, with the over/under Points Spread of 53 suggesting a shoot-out could be on the cards.

Colossus Bets

A syndicate has been set up for those who want to win more and you can join here to play for £100,000 as seven games are picked with a variety of score margins to choose from.

My picks this week are as follows:

Houston by 1-6, 7-12 or Philadelphia 1-6
Pittsburgh by 1-6 or New Orleans by 1-6, 7-12
Atlanta by 1-6 or Carolina by 1-6
New England by 1-6 or 7-12
Minnesota by 1-6 or 7-12
Kansas City by 7-12

Full Picks

I've picked every game according to their handicap on the Sportsbook at the time of writing (home team in caps):

TENNESSEE (-10.5) over Washington
LA CHARGERS (-4.5) over Baltimore
INDIANAPOLIS (-10) over NY Giants
Atlanta (-3.5) over CAROLINA
CLEVELAND (-10) over Cincinnati
DALLAS (-7.5) over Tampa Bay
Minnesota (-5.5) over DETROIT
NEW ENGLAND (-13) over Buffalo
Green Bay (-3) over NY JETS
PHILADELPHIA (-2.5) over Houston
MIAMI (-4) over Jacksonville
LA Rams (-14) over ARIZONA
Bears (-4) over SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ORLEANS (-5.5) over Pittsburgh
Kansas City (-2.5) over SEATTLE
Denver (-2) over OAKLAND

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