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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">NFL Week 13 tips: Allen's Bills to beat-up Belichick's Pats again</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/paul-higham/">Paul Higham</a></li> <li><time datetime="2022-11-30">30 November 2022</time></li> <li>2 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "NFL Week 13 tips: Allen's Bills to beat-up Belichick's Pats again", "name": "NFL Week 13 tips: Allen's Bills to beat-up Belichick's Pats again", "description": "Paul Higham returns for Week 13 in the NFL as things start to get really serious in the hunt for play-off places, starting with a huge divisional battle on T...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/us-sports/nfl/nfl-week-13-tips-previews-spreads-latest-odds-game-picks-301122-1063.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/us-sports/nfl/nfl-week-13-tips-previews-spreads-latest-odds-game-picks-301122-1063.html", "datePublished": "2022-11-30T12:36:00+00:00", "dateModified": "2022-12-07T20:26:00+00:00", "articleBody": "Paul Higham returns for Week 13 in the NFL as things start to get really serious in the hunt for play-off places, starting with a huge divisional battle on Thursday Night Football. Chiefs won 26 straight in November and December Josh Allen can slice up Pats again Back 49ers for statement win over Miami Sign up for our World Cup Newsletter here Buffalo Bills (8-3) @ New England Patriots (6-5) Match Odds: 8/15 | 8/5Spread: Bills -4O/U: 43.5 After two wins in Detroit the Bills head to Foxborough but they've had to fight for those victories and have had concerns over Josh Allen's health and his red zone interceptions that mean they've now been joined as 4/1 joint Super Bowl favourites by the Chiefs. Allen's being asked to do a lot as he also leads the team in rushing yards and TDs, but he'll be stalked by NFL sack leader Matt Judon and if he hasn't got time to throw Allen will again be asked to do the heavy lifting all by himself. The problem for New England is that Allen has carved this defence up regularly in the last couple of meetings, and for all of Bill Belichick's defensive prowess, his team was sliced open by the Vikings on Thursday and has also come up short every time they've played a decent QB. Mac Jones had one of his better games against Minnesota but Buffalo offer a big upgrade in pass defence so the Pats will lean on the run, even without starting Damien Harris, and I just don't see them scoring enough points to keep up. For a player prop bet here go Isaiah McKenzie over 30.5 receiving yards at 5/6 - he may be third choice but the Pats have largely shut down Stefon Diggs and McKenzie's role has been growing in this Bills offence. Bet: Bills to win by 1-13pts 7/5 Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) @ Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) Match Odds: 3/4 | 11/10Spread: Chiefs -2.5O/U: 52.5 The game of the week for me sees a huge AFC title rematch between two teams and two superstar QBs in fine form - as the Chiefs look to exact revenge on the Bengals for pipping them to a Super Bowl spot last season. Patrick Mahomes is the odds-on MVP favourite after leading the team to five straight wins, but Joe Burrow has surged into top gear after a sticky start so expect the lofty points total to be breached in a toe-to-toe shootout. The Chiefs have won 26 straight games in November and December and know how important that top seed can be, so I think they can just conjure up enough defence to extend that run and grab a huge victory. Bet: Chiefs to beat Bengals &amp; over 51.5pts 21/10 Miami Dolphins (8-3) @ San Francisco 49ers (7-4) Match Odds: 13/8 | 1/2Spread: 49ers -3.5O/U: 46.5 It's five wins on the spin for the Fins but if you're being super critical none of those five teams currently have better than a 4-7 record, while the quality in San Francisco's four-game winning run is only slightly better. So I suppose we'll find out more about these two after this game, as Tua Tagovailoa will get a proper examination travelling right across the country to face the league's meanest defence. The passing defence of the Niners is weaker than the rush D though, so the gameplan is obvious, but Miami will also have to handle San Francisco's unique offence including Christian McCaffrey having a wider role with Elijah Mitchell injured. I've backed the Niners to make a big run at halfway, so I'm rolling with them here to earn a big statement victory. Bet: 49ers to beat the Dolphins by 1-13pts 7/5 ", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Paul Higham", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/paul_higham" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/JoshAllen_BuffaloBills.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Josh Allen"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Josh Allen can lead the Buffalo Bills to victory</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977221">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://btfr.co/https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/12282733" href="https://btfr.co/https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/12282733">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=NFL%20Week%2013%20tips%3A%20Allen%27s%20Bills%20to%20beat-up%20Belichick%27s%20Pats%20again&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fus-sports%2Fnfl%2Fnfl-week-13-tips-previews-spreads-latest-odds-game-picks-301122-1063.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span 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a huge divisional battle on Thursday Night Football.</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <p><ul> <li> <h3><strong>Chiefs won 26 straight in November and December</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3>Josh Allen can slice up Pats again</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Back 49ers for statement win over Miami</h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Sign up for our<span> </span><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/football/world-cup-2022/the-bettingbetfair-world-cup-newsletter-sign-up-for-three-must-read-articles-every-day-of-qatar-2022-251022-205.html%20target=%22_blank%22%20rel=%22noopener" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://betting.betfair.com/football/world-cup-2022/the-bettingbetfair-world-cup-newsletter-sign-up-for-three-must-read-articles-every-day-of-qatar-2022-251022-205.html%2520target%3D%2522_blank%2522%2520rel%3D%2522noopener&source=gmail&ust=1668854851579000&usg=AOvVaw3YYpyUsKgaTiepibbxfboh" rel="noopener">World Cup Newsletter</a><span> </span>here</strong></h3> </li> </ul><hr><h3>Buffalo Bills (8-3) @ New England Patriots (6-5)</h3><p></p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-new-england-patriots/31927586">Match Odds: 8/15 | 8/5</a><br><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-new-england-patriots/31927586">Spread: Bills -4</a><br><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-new-england-patriots/31927586">O/U: 43.5</a></p><p>After two wins in Detroit the Bills head to Foxborough but they've had to fight for those victories and have had concerns over <strong>Josh Allen's health</strong> and his red zone interceptions that mean they've now been joined as <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/12282733/super-bowl-lvii-outright-betting/924.293406931">4/1 joint Super Bowl favourites by the Chiefs.</a></p><p>Allen's being asked to do a lot as he also leads the team in rushing yards and TDs, but he'll be stalked by <strong>NFL sack leader Matt Judon</strong> and if he hasn't got time to throw Allen will again be asked to do the heavy lifting all by himself.</p><p>The problem for <strong>New England</strong> is that Allen has carved this defence up regularly in the last couple of meetings, and for all of <strong>Bill Belichick's</strong> defensive prowess, his team was sliced open by the Vikings on Thursday and has also come up short every time they've played a decent QB.</p><p><strong>Mac Jones</strong> had one of his better games against Minnesota but Buffalo offer a big upgrade in pass defence so the Pats will lean on the run, even without starting <strong>Damien Harris</strong>, and I just don't see them scoring enough points to keep up.</p><p>For a player prop bet here go <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-new-england-patriots/31927586?gaZone=Main&gaTab=QWxsIE1hcmtldHMA&bssId=21967512&bsmSt=1669943760000&bsmId=924.337347706&modules=betslip&gaMod=minimarketview&bseId=31927586&isSP=false&bsContext=REAL&action=addSelection&bsUUID=17f3dab6c7e286f0506d775f05b454d65de691d0&gaPageView=event&xsrftoken=988887b0-f586-11ec-be04-fa163e6d941b&bsGroup=31927586">Isaiah McKenzie over 30.5 receiving yards at 5/6</a> - he may be third choice but the <strong>Pats have largely shut down Stefon Diggs</strong> and McKenzie's role has been growing in this Bills offence.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p><strong>Bet:</strong> Bills to win by 1-13pts</p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-new-england-patriots/31927586?gaZone=Main&gaTab=QWxsIE1hcmtldHMA&bssId=25884885&bsmSt=1669943760000&bsmId=924.336465448&modules=betslip&gaMod=minimarketview&bseId=31927586&isSP=false&bsContext=REAL&action=addSelection&bsUUID=3aa87374e4b2e3382ed8a2cbbb0ecc18c1502993&gaPageView=event&xsrftoken=988887b0-f586-11ec-be04-fa163e6d941b&bsGroup=31927586" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">7/5</a></div><h3>Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) @ Kansas City Chiefs (9-2)</h3><p></p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-cincinnati-bengals/31927600">Match Odds: 3/4 | 11/10</a><br><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-cincinnati-bengals/31927600">Spread: Chiefs -2.5</a><br><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-cincinnati-bengals/31927600">O/U: 52.5</a></p><p>The game of the week for me sees<strong> a huge AFC title rematch</strong> between two teams and two superstar QBs in fine form - as the Chiefs look to exact revenge on the Bengals for pipping them to a Super Bowl spot last season.</p><p><strong>Patrick Mahomes</strong> is the <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/12282733/ap-nfl-regular-season-mvp-2022-23/924.296515746">odds-on MVP favourite</a> after leading the team to five straight wins, but <strong>Joe Burrow</strong> has surged into top gear after a sticky start so expect the lofty points total to be breached in a toe-to-toe shootout.</p><p>The <strong>Chiefs have won 26 straight games in November and December</strong> and know how important that top seed can be, so I think they can just conjure up enough defence to extend that run and grab a huge victory.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p><strong>Bet:</strong> Chiefs to beat Bengals & over 51.5pts</p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-cincinnati-bengals/31927600?gaZone=Main&gaTab=QWxsIE1hcmtldHMA&bssId=15742674&bsmSt=1670189160000&bsmId=924.337255823&modules=betslip&gaMod=minimarketview&bseId=31927600&isSP=false&bsContext=REAL&action=addSelection&bsUUID=184f28a044013880d86b3caa8ceacf1630d5b89a&gaPageView=event&xsrftoken=988887b0-f586-11ec-be04-fa163e6d941b&bsGroup=31927600" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">21/10</a></div><h3>Miami Dolphins (8-3) @ San Francisco 49ers (7-4)</h3><p></p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/miami-dolphins-san-francisco-49ers/31927598">Match Odds: 13/8 | 1/2</a><br><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/miami-dolphins-san-francisco-49ers/31927598">Spread: 49ers -3.5</a><br><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/miami-dolphins-san-francisco-49ers/31927598">O/U: 46.5</a></p><p>It's<strong> five wins on the spin for the Fins</strong> but if you're being super critical none of those five teams currently have better than a 4-7 record, while the quality in San Francisco's four-game winning run is only slightly better.</p><p>So I suppose we'll find out more about these two after this game, as <strong>Tua Tagovailoa will get a proper examination </strong>travelling right across the country to face the league's meanest defence.</p><p>The passing defence of the Niners is weaker than the rush D though, so the gameplan is obvious, but Miami will also have to handle San Francisco's unique offence including <strong>Christian McCaffrey having a wider role </strong>with Elijah Mitchell injured.</p><p><strong>I've backed the Niners</strong> to make a big run at halfway, so I'm rolling with them here to earn a big statement victory.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p><strong>Bet: </strong>49ers to beat the Dolphins by 1-13pts</p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/nfl/miami-dolphins-san-francisco-49ers/31927598?gaZone=Main&gaTab=QWxsIE1hcmtldHMA&bssId=13764532&bsmSt=1670187960000&bsmId=924.336465556&modules=betslip&gaMod=minimarketview&bseId=31927598&isSP=false&bsContext=REAL&action=addSelection&bsUUID=30c0a3abd36adfc106d081f6b9543f2a0372a33d&gaPageView=event&xsrftoken=988887b0-f586-11ec-be04-fa163e6d941b&bsGroup=31927598" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">7/5</a></div><p></p><p></p><p></p></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> 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