NFL Week 11 betting tips: Back Belichick to bully the Jets again

Bill Belichick
Bill Belichick can dominate the Jets again

Week 11 in the NFL continues on Sunday where Paul Higham fancies New England's domination over the Jets to continue.

  • Packers need to stop Henry to beat the Titans

  • High-flying Jets face old rivals New England

  • Vikings host Cowboys in NFC showdown

  • Sign up for our World Cup Newsletter here


New York Jets (6-3) @ New England Patriots (5-4)

Match Odds: 6/4 | 8/15
Spread: Pats -3.5
O/U: 38.5

I love this really bitter rivalry, but it's been one-sided recently with the Patriots winning 13 straight, but like the little brother growing up the Jets may just be about to finally smack their big brother right in the mouth.

It will happen, and it could happen Sunday, but with both teams having a week off and Bill Belichick just flat-out bullying Zach Wilson in recent games, I think that could be the edge between two evenly matched teams.

Wilson threw three interceptions against New England in week eight, making it seven in all in his 0-3 record against the Pats, and I'm just not sure he can mature enough in a month to stand up to it.

He'll be under pressure from NFL sack leader Matthew Judon, while the Jets have Quinnen Williams just causing chaos in the trenches, so this will be a struggle, but you've got to go with the Pats at home.

Maybe next year little brother...

Bet: Patriots (-3.5) & Under 38.5pts

13/5

Carolina Panthers (3-7) @ Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

Match Odds: 9/2 | 2/13
Spread: Ravens -13
O/U: 41.5

Coach John Harbaugh is 11-3 with the Ravens coming off a bye, and Baltimore are huge 13-point favourites to improve that against the struggling Panthers.

D'Onta Foreman has given Carolina a boost with his power running, but Baltimore are one of the best running teams in the league - on both sides of the ball - and if they slow him that you wouldn't trust Baker Mayfield to get the job done.

There's not been too many blowouts this season though so although Baltimore will win this one, I think it could be a bit closer with the two sides trading punches in the trenches rather than going for the knockout blows through the air.

Bet: Ravens to win by 1-13pts

13/8

Cleveland Browns (3-6) @ Buffalo Bills (6-3)

Match Odds: 27/10 | 3/10
Spread: Bills -7.5
O/U: 49.5

This game's been moved to Detroit due to the huge snowstorn so instead of freezing conditions and red-hot home atmosphere, the Bills are on a neutral indoor field against the Browns.

That could actually be an advantage though, as the Browns are a stout running team and Buffalo's defence has struggled on the ground - and fast indoor field could also help Josh Allen and his recivers.

Allen has questions to answer after recent defeats, especially his decision making, but they're a better team than Cleveland and their three losses have all come by three points or less - while the teams that beat them are a combined 21-7.

It'll be tougher than some expect but Buffalo can bounce back here.

Bet: Bills to win by 1-13pts

7/5

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) @ Minnesota Vikings (8-1)

Match Odds: 4/5 | 21/20
Spread: Cowboys -1.5
O/U: 48.5

The Vikings are back at home coming off a huge win at Buffalo yet are underdogs against a Cowboys side coming off a huge loss against the Packers on a second road trip four days before a huge Thanksgiving game.

Why? Well, put simply, people just still aren't buying what the Vikings are selling and their insistance on living on the edge and pinching close games just simply isn't sustainable.

Minnesota's defence is allowing 400 yards a game, which is 29th in the league, while Dallas have coughed up 60 points combined to the Bears and Packers - this one looks a shootout which ever way it goes.

Bet: Over 48.5 total match points

10/11

Get the best of our tips every day of Qatar 2022

Sign up for our World Cup Newsletter here and you will receive a daily email with the pick of our bets on every day of action in Qatar.

New customers can get £20 in free bets!

New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. T&Cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

Discover the latest articles