Bart Barden will be digging out the best bets from Betfair's NFL markets each week and he begins this new column with recommended wagers from Baltimore @ Denver, the Giants' visit to Dallas and Oakland's home meeting with Cincinnati
"Expect NYG to go down by at least two scores early, and then attempt a comeback that falls short. What does not fall short is the amount of points that will be scored."
Denver look relatively healthy coming into the start of the season, with a very solid defense and one of the best quarterbacks in the league in Peyton Manning. Though he is edging 40, Manning can still manage the game although his arm strength has declined over the years. I would be surprised if he can throw it 40 yards in the air these days! Helped by a strong running game and lock-down defense, which can put pressure on Joe Flacco and the questionable Baltimore offense, should allow a Denver win by at least a touchdown. Baltimore are equally strong up front, but unlike Denver, have huge question marks in their secondary to start the season. Expect Manning to pick them apart without needing to throw deep.
Both Dallas and NYG are both lining up depleted and bottom 10 secondaries in this match up. Combine the fact that both teams have top 15 quarterbacks and offenses at the helm and this game has high scoring written all over it. Adding fuel to that *fire* is a very strong offensive line for Dallas lining up against a NYG line missing Jason Pierre-Paul, who is coming back from a freak 4th of July fireworks incident where he badly injured his hand. Expect NYG to go down by at least two scores early, and then attempt a comeback that falls short. What does not fall short is the amount of points that will be scored.
Oakland +3.5pts v Cincinnati @ 1.845/6
Closer to game day this market should drift out to 1.9 as people evaluate Oakland based on last year's performances. They return a solid defense and their offense is very improved. No longer are they doing a Running Back by Committee approach, they have a solid ball carrier in Latavious Murray who is looking like a top 15 RB this year. Adding a deep-threat in Amari Cooper at WR gives Derek Carr a skilled deep-ball (which is arguably the best aspect of his game) receiving target this year that he hasn't had before. Cincinnati returns a strong offense, anchored by the talented Mr. Hill, but an increasingly suspect defense. This is a sleeper pick and look for value both on this line, Oakland Money Line, and Oakland total team points over for the game.
Full Disclosure: I am a diehard Seattle Seahawks fan and also a Green Bay Packer fan. I was named after Bart Starr (SB I and II MVP) and had season tickets to the Hawks for 12 years plus cheered them on at 2 Superbowls. Feel free to follow me at @bartbarden on Twitter as I will be posting some additional plays throughout the year.