NFL Tips: Divisional rivalry will stir Lions into improvement

Bart Barden
12 November 2015

The Lions will raise their game for Green Bay

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Bart Barden took a week off last time out to welcome his new baby into the world but you can't keep a good man down and he returns for a look at three of Week 10's finest match-ups in the NFL...

"The Lions are awful this year, especially on the road, but always come out to play their division rival Green Bay tough. With the Green Bay offense continuing to splutter a bit, and the defense racking up some injuries, 11.5 points is too much to give in this game."

2pts Back Detroit +11.5pts @ 1.9620/21

Week 8 was a success with the two big point bets coming in and the only loss the one point on the inconsistent Steelers Offense, which is really in trouble now. I took a bye week last time round but I'm back in full force this week. The P&L is strong and continues to grow, and over 60% still at the season halfway mark! Given I have just had a new baby, this is going to be short and sweet, much like my ability to sleep these days! Onto the picks.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Friday, 01:25
2pts Back Ryan Fitzpatrick Over 250.5 Total Passing Yards @ 1.834/5 (Sportsbook)

Rex Ryan will try his best to rattle Fitzpatrick's cage by dialling up lots of exotic blitzes on Thursday night. Some will work, but the others that don't will give up long pass plays which will lead to yards for Fitzpatrick. Also if Ryan's tactics work and the sacks pile up, Fitzpatrick will have to throw more and will have many 3rd and longs to rack up the garbage yardage. Let's just hope his hand holds up so he plays the entire game.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Sunday, 18:00
2pts Back Detroit +11.5pts @ 1.9620/21 (Exchange)

Although I hate to pick against the Packers for the second time this season, they have not played such dominant football at home and coming off a hard fought loss at Carolina they will have to regroup. The Lions are awful this year, especially on the road, but always come out to play their division rival Green Bay tough. With the Green Bay offense continuing to splutter a bit, and the defense racking up some injuries, 11.5 points is too much to give in this game. Back the Lions and tease it up to 14.5 if you want to go big stakes.

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, 18:00
2pts Back Over 41.5.@ 2.01/1 (Exchange)

Cleveland have shown the ability to score in bunches, especially in the second half. Pittsburgh are without their major weapons, although Big Ben might play through injuries. As long as the weather cooperates, this game should have enough scoring to go over six touchdowns, mostly given to the poor defensive play on both sides of the ball. Expect a defensive or special teams touchdown in this game, helping contribute to the over totals.