NFL Tipping Sheet: Week Fourteen Previews and Moneyline Picks

Can the Broncos best the Titans?
Can the Broncos best the Titans?

Abelson Info preview an exciting weekend of football. Lots to talk about so lets get to it...

"The main problem for Tennessee and it is quite a big one, is that Denver are just too good on offence. They are best team in offence and passing in the whole of the NFL."

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
Sunday 18:00

The result or rather how big the margin that the game is won by boils down to one thing and that is the availability of Aaron Rodgers. At the time of writing, he is practicing in pads but there is still a big question mark over him being fit come game time. If he plays, then this game is not going to be much of a contest. He is the difference between the two teams. One of the things that goes in Green Bay's favour is that this is a home game and with Atlanta playing outside in the cold it is not going to lead to them picking up good results. Bad teams that play in domed stadiums rarely go to Lambeau and get the win. If Rodgers plays then Green Bay win and win big, which will cover up a defence that is playing under-par. If he is missing then Atlanta could make it a closer contest than it should really be with Green Bay at full strength but I still feel that the Packers will have enough.
Recommended Bet: Packers @ 1.46

Buffalo Bills @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday 18:00

Tampa Bay's quarterback Mike Glennon is doing reasonably well so far in his rookie year but did not do too well last week against Carolina. He only managed to throw 180 yards with one interception so he will hope to do better this week as Buffalo come to town. The home comforts of Raymond James Stadium should help Glennon but will likely hinder his opposite number EJ Manuel, where the road can be very unkind for a rookie. Though Buffalo could provide a test on offence, Tampa Bay has a heap of defensive talent and also boasts a decent vertical offence with Glennon waiting to pull the trigger. Buffalo are coming off a loss to Atlanta so they will hope for better things this week. Unfortunately for the Bills they have only won once in their last five outings and the Buccaneers, although suffering defeat last time out, seem to have steadied the ship and will look to progress as the weeks go on in the right direction.
Recommended Bet: Buccaneers @ 1.73

Cleveland Browns @ New England Patriots
Sunday 18:00

This game has only one winner and that is the New England Patriots. Cleveland may have been able to make this a closer game than it will be if they had Brandon Weeden or Jason Campbell to call on. As it stands they may have to settle with new signing Caleb Hanie throwing the passes, which gives the advantage to the Pats. With the Browns coming off their loss last week to Jacksonville, this is the worst time to be running into the Patriots, as their offence is starting to enter beast mode. Rob Gronkowski has caught a touchdown in four straight games, which is the longest active streak in the NFL. He has not dropped a pass in his last 78 targets. Playing at Gillette Stadium, having Tom Brady as your quarterback and having cornerback Aqib Talib to help deal with the threat of the exciting Josh Gordon, all points to a win for New England with them scoring at least 30 points in the game.
Recommended Bet: Patriots @ 1.17

Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday 18:00

This game should be a shootout. Both have the same win/loss record this season so something will have to change this week. Lions have the second best offence in the league while Eagles are right on their tail in third. Eagles quarterback Nick Foles could be in for a big game as he comes up against the questionable secondary of the Lions. If the Eagles can win this game, it would be their fifth straight win, and is the perfect time to continue their hot streak as we enter the festive period. It won't be easy as The Lions have one of the most explosive offences in the NFL just so long as they can protect the ball. The Eagles can be vulnerable when coming up against players with the talent of Calvin Johnson, and both he and Reggie Bush could put up some big numbers. Will the Lions roar or the Eagles soar? Back the Lions to make a big noise as they look to cement the position in the league and take a big step toward the NFC North title.
Recommended Bet: Lions @ 2.34

Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday 18:00

Both of these teams are sitting at the top of their respective divisions in the AFC but they are in much different positions when it comes to performance on game day. While the Bengals have been making all the right moves, the Colts have found it tough against teams that they should be dealing with far more ease than they have been. Andy Dalton and Andrew Luck have both been finding it tough as of late and that has put pressure on their respective run games and defence to carry extra burden. The problem for Indianapolis is that Cincinnati has the ability to dominate in both those areas of the game and is one of the most complete teams in the NFL. For the Colts to get anything out of this game Luck will need to be pretty much perfect to get the win, while the Bengals can still get a result with Dalton having a bad day at the office. Cincinnati has too many weapons at their disposal to not get the victory.
Recommended Bet: Bengals @ 1.38

Kansas City Chiefs @ Washington Redskins
Sunday 18:00

The Chiefs come into this game looking to bounce back from three straight losses. They have struggled against top quality quarterbacks during that period, but they will get back on track against a Redskins offensive line that is crying out to be torched. The Chiefs are actually a pretty decent football team whereas the Redskins are a bad one. I would not be shocked if Washington show a bit more grit and put up a fight though. They started well against the New York Giants last week and Robert Griffin III is starting to look like the player he was last year. Hopefully. The talented, younger Chiefs do not take many chances in the sky, so that could favour Redskins defence. The deciding factor in this game will be the pass protection, or lack of, for RGIII. Pick the Chiefs to come out on top.
Recommended Bet: Chiefs @ 1.61

Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday 18:00

It looks as though Pittsburgh is going to limp to an 8-8 season for the second year in a row. They have not been anywhere near their Super Bowl quality, but they have enough tools to beat Miami at Heinz Field, where they have only lost twice this season. Ben Roethlisberger has not been as precise as his stats would suggest, but he still has enough in that arm to find gaps in the Miami defence. Miami will rely heavily on Mike Wallace and hope that Ryan Tannehill is good enough to find him. The Steelers come into this game off the back of a narrow loss to Baltimore last week while the Dolphins crushed a sorry Jets team. The outcome should be different this week though as I think the Steelers at home will have more than enough to beat the Dolphins.
Recommended Bet: Steelers @ 1.59

Minnesota Vikings @ Baltimore Ravens
Sunday 18:00

Neither of these teams have had much to write home about in terms of performance in their last few outings as both have just about managed to grind out close fought games against middle of the road teams. The Vikings defence has started to come out of its slumber lately and the Ravens defence are now beginning to gel at the right time. The Ravens do have the slight form advantage winning back-to-back games and now in contention for a playoff spot in the AFC. Matt Cassel threw for 243 yards in the second half and overtime in Week 13. That would not be the best route to go down against a competent Ravens defence. Cassel and Co. will struggle in Baltimore and although the Ravens will have to deal with the threat of Adrian Peterson, they have the upper hand in just about every other department. Should be another close win for Baltimore.
Recommended Bet: Ravens @ 1.35

Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets
Sunday 18:00

After last weeks pasting at the hands of Miami, the Jets would hope for a better display all round. The Raiders are not exactly a highflying team but they fare better than the Jets do in terms of making a game of it. Oakland has been competitive in the last few weeks, which is more than New York can say. The stats read that Oakland has lost three of their last four games by seven points or less. New York on the other hand has lost four of their last five by 16 points or more. That is not good reading for a Jets team that are really struggling and with the poor Geno Smith at quarterback, it does not bode well. Unless Smith can bounce back from a seven-game stint with one touchdown and 12 interceptions, New York will be looking at their fourth loss on the bounce.
Recommended Bet: Raiders @ 2.24

Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos
Sunday 21:05

I don't know of many people that would back against the Broncos. People may think that this is going to be a spanking for the Titans but I think they have too much talent in their team to allow that to happen. Denver has just come off a very tough divisional win, which would have taken something out of them. The weather could also play a part in this game as Peyton Manning is not a fan of the cold and his performances do suffer. The forecast currently says that there could be snow with a high of 23 degrees. The main problem for Tennessee and it is quite a big one, is that Denver are just too good on offence. They are best team in offence and passing in the whole of the NFL. The Titans won't get crushed but come the end of the game, there will be another loss for them to ponder over.
Recommended Bet: Broncos @ 1.18

New York Giants @ San Diego Chargers
Sunday 21:25

The Chargers and Giants are both 5-7 for the season and both sit third in their respective divisions. Now we need to separate them. The Chargers lost their last game and are 1-4 in their last 5. The Giants won their last game and are 4-1 in their last 5. So those stats tell us that the Giants are the better team and the team that you should be backing. Peyton Manning and Tom Brady are the two best quarterbacks in the NFL. Philip Rivers is probably third on current form, and coming up against a porous Giants defence, could find his way through for some big numbers. It could go either way but I'm going to come down from the fence and say that San Diego will get the win.
Recommended Bet: Chargers @ 1.61

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
Sunday 21:25

This is going to be a must watch for any fan of NFL. The clash of the top two in NFC West is going to be one hell of a game. The Seahawks are on fire and are on a seven game winning streak. The 49ers are starting to get hot and are beginning to look meaner as their deep threats are returning. Both teams are heating up at the right time and are both getting healthier in the run toward the end of the season. Seattle is the best team in football right now but that doe not mean that they are going to steam roll over San Francisco. The two coaches, Jim Harbaugh and Pete Carroll, both dislike each other and have a well-documented rivalry. It will make for a heated clash this weekend. Unfortunately for the 49ers, Seattle has Russell Wilson, and he will be the difference between the two. He has averaged 275.7 passing yards per game over his last three and has seven touchdowns with no interceptions. Go Seahawks.
Recommended Bet: Seahawks @ 2.32

St Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
Sunday 21:25

I can only see one outcome in this match and that is an Arizona win. They are playing some good football and with Michael Floyd and Larry Fitzgerald, have two of the best wide receivers in the NFL. They have got 13 touchdowns between them and will want to add to that this Sunday. The Cardinals also have the defensive edge of the Rams and that should help push them forward to a vital divisional win. Rams quarterback Kellen Clemens will be in the firing line and will see more blitzes in this game than he has all season. He will find it tough this week as Arizona allows an average of just 233 passing yards per game although they have let through 22 passing touchdowns. The postseason is within touching distance for the Cards and with a win here, they will move a step closer to grabbing it.
Recommended Bet: Cardinals @ 1.37

Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
Monday 01:30

Do the Panthers have enough in their secondary to slow down Drew Brees in the Superdome? In last weeks match Brees was held to under 200 passing yards. However that game was on the road and it was against the red-hot Seahawks. The Panthers do have a tough defence but I'm not sure it is tough enough to stop Brees from finding gaps. Couple that with the fact that New Orleans is coming off an embarrassing loss and that could spell the end of Carolina's eight-game winning streak. I think differently. New Orleans has been at their worst twice this season. Once against Seattle last week and once against the Jets. Carolina come equipped with a much better defence than either of those units and that could be the key to victory. Most will back Saints but it might be worth having a cheeky punt on Carolina to carry on their hot form and take it to nine wins and continue to be the form team in the NFL.
Recommended Bet: Panthers @ 2.5

Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears
Tuesday 01:40

For the closing game of Week 14, Monday Night Football brings us a good one as The Cowboys ride into Chi-Town. The Bears might have a hard time stopping the Cowboys from taking what they want, as Dallas' running game could easily yield 200+ yards against a Bears defence that has been pitiful at times this season. DeMarco Murray will be important for Dallas during this game and they are now realizing how important he is altogether. He once rushed 253 yards in a single game, which is a Cowboys record. He scored three times against Oakland on Thanksgiving and with the Bears allowing a staggering 153.6 rushing yards per game, DeMarco will be looking to add to his already impressive stats. Chicago does have a decent passing game and Dallas will need to be mindful of that. Alshon Jeffery is continuing to impress in his second year and Josh McCown is covering well for the injured Jay Cutler. Should be another great game but I think Cowboys will have enough to leave Chicago as winners and stay at the top of the NFC East division.
Recommended Bet: Cowboys @ 1.95

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