NFL Betting: What have we learned going into Week Two?

Andrew Luck can't do it all for the Colts
Andrew Luck can't do it all for the Colts

Denver, New England and Pittsburgh impress as Neil Monnery reviews Week 1 and says what we should look for in Week 2 of the NFL season.

"Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, he can't do it all folks. 31/47 for 385 yards and four TDs, yet still takes the loss. That defense is horrific."

What we learned in the AFC...


We learned that Denver's defense is still breathtaking. In the first half the Cam Newton-led Carolina Panthers were able to move the ball but after adjustments at half time, they knuckled down and stopped last season's MVP from doing much at all. The Denver o-line looked better than last year and if Trevor Siemian (or Paxton Lynch) can be league average, Denver are set for another deep run. They dropped to 23.022/1 for the Super Bowl on the Exchange and that is still too long.

Next up we saw the Patriots supplant Green Bay as Super Bowl favourites after defeating the Cardinals on the road without Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski. They are trading at 7.413/2 and that is a short price this early in the season but if they can beat a title contender on the road without the best QB in the league and the best position player playing today then, boy, they are a good team.

The Steelers impressed, albeit against a pretty average Washington team. Jacksonville went toe-to-toe with Green Bay but fell short. The guts of Oakland's head coach Jack Del Rio in going for two to win in New Orleans was special to see. They have a terrific young quarterback in Derek Carr and they'll be in the mix for a post-season spot.

Lastly Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, he can't do it all folks. Luck completed 31 of 47 for 385 yards and four TDs, yet still takes the loss. That defense is horrific.


What we learned in the NFC...


We learned that with Victor Cruz fit and ready to go, the New York Giants might be the best team in the NFC East, although that isn't saying much. He only caught four balls on Sunday but if he is out there along with Odell Beckham Jnr then very few teams have the personnel to cover them both.

In that same division two rookie Quarterbacks showed us that they can play. I liked Dallas Dak Prescott's first week efforts but his inability in the red zone was a concern. He must get Dez Bryant involved more. In Philadelphia, Carson Wentz played at a higher level than I think anyone expected. I'm still don't fancy the Eagles to do anything this season though.

Jordy Nelson returned for the Packers and looked sharp. All the talk was about Eddie Lacy looking in great shape in the pre-season but I'm yet to be convinced. In the same division, the Vikings won a game with Shaun Hill under center, with a great debt of gratitude to their defense who scored twice.


What to watch for in Week 2...


I will be watching four games with a keen eye this weekend. In the early window on Sunday, Pittsburgh entertain Cincinnati in a game that looks set to be feisty as all heck. These two teams just don't like each other. If the Steelers can manhandle the Bengals then it'll be time to watch their Super Bowl price on the exchange closely. Dallas' game in Washington will be worth keeping an eye on. One of these teams will end the weekend at 0-2, and I see problems for whichever side that is.

In the late window I'll be ignoring Sky's offering - Seattle @ LA Rams - and instead watching the Colts' trip to Denver. Andrew Luck has had the wood over the Broncos in recent times and this game will determine Denver's price in the markets. If they can beat Indianapolis then they will shorten dramatically. On the flip-side if Luck can survive the Denver D and lead his team to a W then they'll be the clear favourites to win the AFC South.

The Sunday night game is also interesting as surely the Vikings will start Sam Bradford. They are going to win with strong defense and a serviceable offense. Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers win in precisely the opposite fashion. This game will go a long way to determining the outcome of the NFC North - yes even this early in the season.


Recommended Bets
3pt Back over 52.5pts in Saints @ Giants at 20/21 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back Jacksonville to win straight up against San Diego at 27/20 on the Sportsbook
3pt Back over 51.5pts on the extended over/under line in Falcons @ Raiders at 11/8 on the Sportsbook

Neil Monnery NFL P/L

2015:

Staked - 211pts
Returned - 277.44pts
P&L - +66.44pts

2016:

Staked - 13pts
Returned - 6.50pts
P&L - -6.50pts

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles