NFL Betting 2012-13: Division-by-division ratings for every team in the NFC

Luca's backing Michael Vick to carry Philadelphia to the top of the NFC East tree - will you be joining him?

Betting.Betfair's new American Football blogger Luca bercelli goes from East to West, and North to South to weigh up the chances of every team in the NFC ahead of the curtain raiser between Dallas and New York on Wednesday...

"Even in triple coverage you wouldn’t bet against Detroit Lions' star receiver Megatron (aka Calvin Johnson) coming up with the ball more often than not. With a weapon like him and a good all-round team they are a sporting bet to take the title at 5.49/2."

NFC East
New York Giants - 3.55 to win division, 25.024/1 to win Super Bowl

Last year's surprise champions look set for another solid season but they're not even favourites to win their division and that's based on the fact that they've lost a few players and overachieved last year. Michael Vick stands between them and the divisional title and I don't expect him to move aside.
Washington Redskins - 14.013/1 to win division, 120.0119/1 to win Super Bowl
The Skins should be good to watch with Heisman trophy-winning QB Robert Griffin III calling the shots, but there's no disguising the fact that they're still a work in progress so enjoy, but don't back.
Philadelphia Eagles - 2.427/5 to win division, 15.014/1 to win Super Bowl
The success or failure of the Eagles rests on the shoulders of one man, M Vick esquire. I think his shoulders are broad enough and am picking him to stay healthy, and them to have a strong season. If the Vickster stays fit, he's pretty much unplayable.
Dallas Cowboys - 3.711/4 to win division, 27.026/1 to win Super Bowl
It's not easy working with an owner who feels his team should win the Superbowl every year but that's pretty much the deal with Jerry Jones and the ten-gallon hat mob. Good QB but disappointment beckons yet again.

NFC North
Chicago Bears - 5.59/2 to win division, 30.029/1 to win Super Bowl

QB Jay Cutler is delirious to be reunited with ace receiver Brandon Marshall but will this combination be enough to push Da Bears over the winning line in first place? My hunch is NO.
Green Bay Packers - 1.548/15 to win division, 7.413/2 to win Super Bowl
The Pack are a good team, okay they're a great team. It's very hard to get away from them, but I for one won't be betting odds-on in any of these divisions. It's either odds-against or no bet for me.
Detroit Lions - 5.49/2 to win division, 36.035/1 to win Super Bowl
Even in triple coverage you wouldn't bet against star receiver Megatron (aka Calvin Johnson) coming up with the ball more often than not. With a weapon like him and a good all-round team they are a sporting bet to take the title at 5.49/2
Minnesota Vikings - 34.033/1 to win division, 400.0399/1 to win Super Bowl
The Vikes are the complete outsiders 390.0389/1 to win the Superbowl. Odds compilers sometimes get it wrong...but not that wrong.

NFC South
New Orleans Saints - 2.285/4 to win division, 20.019/1 to win Super Bowl

Drew Brees is fresh off a scorching year when he eclipsed the single-season record for passing. A shame then that his efforts have been overshadowed by the shameful bounty controversy. That will surely be a distraction too far, so I'm passing them over in favour of the...
Carolina Panthers - 6.411/2 to win division, 60.059/1 to win Super Bowl
QB Cam Newton made the transition from rookie to real deal in super-fast time last season and with more targets to hit and a healthier defence it will be no surprise if he leads the Panthers to the top of the NFC South at odds of 6.411/2. Dad's army fans should look out for the best named player in all of pro-sports, Captain Munnerlyn. Look him up, it's no joke.
Atlanta Falcons - 2.466/4 to win division, 30.029/1 to win Super Bowl
Their Achilles heel last year was the offensive line and since they haven't done much to improve it expect QB Matt Ryan to spend as much time on his butt as celebrating TDs. Way too short IMO.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 15.014/1 to win division, 130.0129/1 to win Super Bowl
You don't want to have a weak defence in a division stuffed with star quarterbacks but that's exactly what the Buccs have. As well as a better team they'll also need a fit scoreboard operator.

NFC West
San Francisco 49ers - 1.574/7 to win division, 15.5 to win Super Bowl

Blew the division apart in 2011 and, if anything, have more firepower this time round. Will be hard to beat but 1.574/7 is not my kind of price so I'll pass.
Seattle Seahawks - 4.216/5 to win division, 55.054/1 to win Super Bowl
Pete Carroll, a coach I've never had too much faith in, has produced two consecutive 7-9 seasons for the Hawks. Expect more of the same.
Arizona Cardinals - 8.07/1 to win division, 150.0149/1 to win Super Bowl
The Cards need a decent QB to utilise receiver Larry Fitzgerald's formidable talents. They haven't got one. End of.
St. Louis Rams - 11.010/1 to win division, 230.0229/1 to win Super Bowl
The Rams are a pretty good bet to have a better season than last year but that's not saying much as they finished 2-14. Could make the race for second spot interesting, but the gold medal...not this time.

Recommended Bets
NFC East - Back Philadelphia Eagles 2.427/5
NFC North - Back Detroit Lions 5.49/2
NFC South - Back Carolina Panthers 6.411/2
NFC West - No Bet

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