Dave Gray has taken a look at some of the markets for the new NFL season and believes that the Saints QB can finally win the NFL MVP award after 19 years in the league.
" But for me, there is one player that fits all the criteria I look for over anyone else - Drew Brees."
Brees has everything that MVP voters will look for
Patrick Mahomes is the reigning regular season MVP and the 6/1 favourite to win the award again. However, history is not on his side. Peyton Manning is the only player to do so since 1997 and was more than a decade ago, it's best we look elsewhere.
Let's face it, MVP is a quarterback award. Aaron Donald is the best player in the league but he isn't picking up the trophy at the NFL awards in February. So that narrows it down.
It is also a narrative driven prize as much as a player of the year award, so we need somebody that has the storyline that will get the sort of buzz that will get voters going.
Carson Wentz is tempting as he comes back from a back injury that ended his 2018 season. Aaron Rodgers has a new coach and a chip on his shoulder after taking a lot of criticism last season. But for me, there is one player that fits all the criteria I look for over anyone else - Drew Brees.
The New Orleans Saints' quarterback was cruising towards his first MVP a year ago before a late season dip in form saw Mahomes take it away from him. That has been put down to an injury according to reports and there's no reason not to believe them.
The Saints are favourites to win the NFC and if they do, Brees has every chance of finally being named MVP in his 19th season. He ticks every box and 13/1 feels generous.
Wentz set for a bounce back
Wentz may not quite have made the cut for me as MVP, but he is the clear pick for Comeback Player of the Year. The Eagles look to have one of the best rosters in the league and the former number two overall pick has shown before what he can do with a lineup this talented. By trading Nick Foles to the Jacksonville Jaguars the Eagles front office were showing a lot of faith that Wentz is fully healthy. At 15/2 he could be a steal to take home this one.
Buccaneers duo could lead the league
When it comes to leading the stat categories, you do not have to be on a good team to lead the league in passing, rushing or receiving. Blake Bortles has been among the leading passers in the league over the past few years despite being part of some bad Jaguars teams. A team with a bad defence is going to pass the ball a lot as they are always going to need points to either match the opposition or come from behind.
That's why Jameis Winston and Mike Evans feature as two of my favourite bets this season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are not expected to contend, but with Bruce Arians at the helm and a defence that looks like it will struggle to stop anybody, the pair are very intriguing players to top their respective categories as leading passer and receiver.
Evans has never finished a season with fewer than 1000 yards in his five years in the league and last season's 1524 yards came despite some up-and-down quarterback play. At 11/1 to rack up the most reception yards, he is my best bet of the season.
Carson an intriguing prospect to lead the league in rushing
Leading rusher can be a tricky one to work out. It is one of the more punishing positions in the league and with that comes a big injury risk. That is why I would look for a slightly longer shot in this market.
No team looks to run the ball more than the Seattle Seahawks. There has been some confusion over who the lead back in Seattle is since the team drafted Rashaad Penny but the clear best back in the team is Chris Carson. Even if Penny steals a few touches from him, Carson will still have as much volume as any player in the league. He is the most talented player in a run-first offence and if he can play 16 games, he should improve on last season's fifth place in the race for the rushing title.
Back Drew Brees for NFL Regular Season MVP at 13/1
Back Carson Wentz for Comeback Player of the Year at 15/2
Back Jameis Winston for most regular season passing yards at 11/1
Back Mike Evans for most regular season receiving yards at 11/1
Back Chris Carson for most regular season rushing yards at 11/1