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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">NFL Betting: Expect points and a Denver win in San Diego tonight</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/neil-monnery/">Neil Monnery</a></li> <li><time datetime="2016-10-13">13 October 2016</time></li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "NFL Betting: Expect points and a Denver win in San Diego tonight", "name": "NFL Betting: Expect points and a Denver win in San Diego tonight", "description": "Denver need to get back on the horse after their first loss of the season and Neil Monnery fully expects them to so in the Thursday night game, as long as Tr...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/us-sports/nfl/broncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/us-sports/nfl/broncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html", "datePublished": "2016-10-13T09:36:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2016-10-13T19:49:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Denver need to get back on the horse after their first loss of the season and Neil Monnery fully expects them to so in the Thursday night game, as long as Trevor Siemien starts... Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers Start-time: Friday 14 October, 01:25 BST TV: Live on Sky Sports Overview Denver are coming off of their first defeat of the season and go to San Diego on the short week. It's not an ideal circumstance and it is still in doubt whether they'll have their starting Quarterback fit and healthy. Trevor Siemien is expected to be a game time decision. Should he not be able to go then Paxton Lynch would get his second consecutive start. While this is worrying, the much better news is Donald Stephenson isn't on the injury report, so will start. If you watched the Broncos on Sunday you'd have seen they might as well have had a rusty gate at Right Tackle. Stephenson locks down that position and will help protect whoever the QB is and also create holes for CJ Anderson, who got naff all against the Falcons. The Chargers have this incredible ability to find a way to lose. Three times this season they've led with two minutes to go only to lose. On Sunday they were kicking for the game tying FG when they botched the snap. Philip Rivers is a fine QB who will put up great fantasy numbers year in, year out. However he doesn't seem to be the man you want to rely on when push comes to shove in the important moments. I have long been an avid fan of his Tight End, Antonio Gates though. The former college basketball player has been one of the best Red Zone options in the NFL for many years and has scored a TD in two of his three games already so far this campaign. First/Anytime Touchdown Scorer With Denver being a team with great corners I find it hard to back big plays against them. So I am playing a point on both Chargers TE's at 10/1 (Gates) and 11/1 (Henry) in the first TD market. For the Broncos this is purely speculative but 40/1 for Full Back Andy Janovich is a cracking price for those short yardage opportunities. In the anytime markets I double stacked Thomas and Sanders for Denver at 6/4 on Sunday fully expecting at least one of them to score and therefore get a profit. I'll reprise that for tonight's game but they are both at 7/5. Over/Under The line has been set at 44.5pts, which I think is fair. If you've read me for long enough you know I hate taking the unders due to garbage time scores. If Siemien starts I fully expect Denver to put up 27+ so with that in mind I'll take the extended line at 48.5pts at 27/20. If the former Wildcat doesn't play though, this would be a much riskier play. The Spread & Straight-up Pick Denver are giving 3.5pts on the spread and again I think the line is about right. The Chargers have a tendency to keep games close but I think Denver get it done. I'll even go as far as to say they'll win with a 6.5pt handicap at 27/20. Again though, should Siemien not start then this becomes a much riskier bet. I'd watch the buildup to see if Siemien goes and if he does, I like them to win relatively comfortably and for many points to be scored. Should Siemien not start then play the over 48.5pts and Denver to win with a 6.5pt handicap with trepidation. Those lines would move if Lynch is starting and you'll be able to get better prices. Recommend Bets 3pt Back Denver to win with a 6.5pt handicap on the extended line at 27/20 on the Sportsbook 3pt Back Over 48.5pts on the extended over/under line at 27/20 on the Sportsbook 3pt Back an anytime Emmanuel Sanders Touchdown at 7/5 on the Sportsbook 3pt Back an anytime Demaryius Thomas Touchdown at 7/5 on the Sportsbook 3pt Back over 3.5 Field Goals scored at 11/10 on the Sportsbook 1pt Back Antonio Gates to score the first TD at 10/1 in the First Touchdown scorer market on the Sportsbook 1pt Back Hunter Henry to score the first TD at 11/1 in the First Touchdown scorer market on the Sportsbook 1pt Back Andy Janovich to score the first TD at 40/1 in the First Touchdown scorer market on the Sportsbook ", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.594x359.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Neil Monnery", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/neil_monnery" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.594x359.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.450x272.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.594x359.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/us-sports/images/cj-anderson.594x359.jpg 728w" alt="CJ Anderson will be glad to have his offensive line back and healthy"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">CJ Anderson will be glad to have his offensive line back and healthy</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977221">Join</a> </div> <div> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=NFL%20Betting%3A%20Expect%20points%20and%20a%20Denver%20win%20in%20San%20Diego%20tonight&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fus-sports%2Fnfl%2Fbroncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fus-sports%2Fnfl%2Fbroncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fus-sports%2Fnfl%2Fbroncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fus-sports%2Fnfl%2Fbroncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fus-sports%2Fnfl%2Fbroncos-at-chargers-preview-odds-predictions-lthursday-night-football-131016-136.html&text=NFL%20Betting%3A%20Expect%20points%20and%20a%20Denver%20win%20in%20San%20Diego%20tonight" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p><strong>Denver need to get back on the horse after their first loss of the season and Neil Monnery fully expects them to so in the Thursday night game, as long as Trevor Siemien starts...</strong></p></div> <div class="entry_body__quote"> <blockquote><p>'The Chargers have this incredible ability to find a way to lose. Three times this season they've led with two minutes to go only to lose. On Sunday they were kicking for the game tying FG when they botched the snap.'</p></blockquote> </div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <p><strong><span>Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers</span><br> Start-time: Friday 14 October, 01:25 BST<br> TV: Live on Sky Sports</strong> <p><br> </p><h2><strong>Overview</strong></h2><p><br> Denver are coming off of their first defeat of the season and go to San Diego on the short week. It's not an ideal circumstance and it is still in doubt whether they'll have their starting Quarterback fit and healthy. <strong>Trevor Siemien is expected to be a game time decision</strong>. Should he not be able to go then <strong>Paxton Lynch</strong> would get his second consecutive start.</p><p>While this is worrying, the much better news is <strong>Donald Stephenson</strong> isn't on the injury report, so will start. If you watched the Broncos on Sunday you'd have seen they might as well have had a rusty gate at Right Tackle. Stephenson locks down that position and will help protect whoever the QB is and also create holes for <strong>CJ Anderson</strong>, who got naff all against the Falcons.</p><p>The Chargers have this incredible ability to find a way to lose. Three times this season they've led with two minutes to go only to lose. On Sunday they were kicking for the game tying FG when they botched the snap. </p><p><strong>Philip Rivers</strong> is a fine QB who will put up great fantasy numbers year in, year out. However he doesn't seem to be the man you want to rely on when push comes to shove in the important moments. I have long been an avid fan of his Tight End, <strong>Antonio Gates</strong> though. The former college basketball player has been one of the best Red Zone options in the NFL for many years and has scored a TD in two of his three games already so far this campaign.</p><p><br> </p><h2><strong><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">First/Anytime Touchdown Scorer</a></strong></h2><p><br> With Denver being a team with great corners I find it hard to back big plays against them. So I am playing a point on both Chargers TE's at 10/1 (Gates) and 11/1 (Henry) in the first TD market. For the Broncos this is purely speculative but <strong>40/1 for Full Back Andy Janovich</strong> is a cracking price for those short yardage opportunities. </p><p>In the anytime markets I double stacked Thomas and Sanders for Denver at 6/4 on Sunday fully expecting at least one of them to score and therefore get a profit. I'll reprise that for tonight's game but they are both at 7/5.</p><p><br> </p><h2><strong><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">Over/Under</a></strong></h2><p><br> The line has been set at <strong>44.5pts</strong>, which I think is fair. If you've read me for long enough you know I hate taking the unders due to garbage time scores. If Siemien starts I fully expect Denver to put up 27+ so with that in mind I'll take the extended line at 48.5pts at 27/20. If the former Wildcat doesn't play though, this would be a much riskier play.</p><p><br> </p><h2><strong><span>The Spread & Straight-up Pick</span></strong></h2><p><br> Denver are giving 3.5pts on the spread and again I think the line is about right. The Chargers have a tendency to keep games close but I think Denver get it done. I'll even go as far as to say <strong>they'll win with a 6.5pt handicap</strong> at 27/20. Again though, should Siemien not start then this becomes a much riskier bet. I'd watch the buildup to see if Siemien goes and if he does, I like them to win relatively comfortably and for many points to be scored.</p><p><strong>Should Siemien not start then play the over 48.5pts and Denver to win with a 6.5pt handicap with trepidation. Those lines would move if Lynch is starting and you'll be able to get better prices.</strong><br> </p><p><strong>Recommend Bets</strong></p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">3pt Back Denver to win with a 6.5pt handicap on the extended line at 27/20 on the Sportsbook</a> <br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">3pt Back Over 48.5pts on the extended over/under line at 27/20 on the Sportsbook</a><br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">3pt Back an anytime Emmanuel Sanders Touchdown at 7/5 on the Sportsbook</a><br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">3pt Back an anytime Demaryius Thomas Touchdown at 7/5 on the Sportsbook</a><br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">3pt Back over 3.5 Field Goals scored at 11/10 on the Sportsbook</a><br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">1pt Back Antonio Gates to score the first TD at 10/1 in the First Touchdown scorer market on the Sportsbook</a><br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">1pt Back Hunter Henry to score the first TD at 11/1 in the First Touchdown scorer market on the Sportsbook</a><br> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/american-football/event?eventId=27968278" target="_blank">1pt Back Andy Janovich to score the first TD at 40/1 in the First Touchdown scorer market on the Sportsbook</a><br> </p></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2>Neil Monnery NFL P/L </h2> <p>2015: <p>Staked - 211pts<br> Returned - 277.44pts<br> P&L - +66.44pts</p><p>2016:<br> Staked - 103pts<br> Returned - 112.2pts<br> P&L - +9.2pts</p></p> </div> </section> <section 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