NBA Sunday Tipsheet: Bucks should knock off Kings early season crown
The Kings are one of the hottest teams in the league right now but tonight's Sky-televised game against the Bucks should be a real test of their upstart form, write Mark Kirwan...
"Milwaukee head west after this game, and the +10.5 on the visitors is tempting given how the home side may be more focused on that tricky away run of games, but the Kings look more like a team who'll beat bad teams but won't threaten good ones."
Kings make it reign
Sacramento Kings @ Milwaukee Bucks
November 4, 20:30
Live on Sky Sports Arena
How long it'll last is hard to say, but the Kings have certainly provided a royal sight for us through the opening stretch. They're heading to Wisconsin off a 146 point haul in Atlanta where second year point guard De'Aaron Fox collected his first NBA triple double as the Californians smashed the Hawks on their own court by 31 points.
They were -2 favourites and the 29 point cover was their fifth straight. It was also their fifth straight win, a third in a row on the road too, though against the South East Division's mediocre fare.
Whether they can keep it up in a fourth consecutive away day is hard to say.
The Bucks have taken their first loss after winning seven straight to open the season. Boston delivered it at TD Garden on Thursday despite Giannis Antetokounmpo's 33 points on his return from the concussion protocol.
The Celtics fell just one three-pointer shy of Cavaliers regular season record of 25 successful attempts from outside the arc, but still the game came down to closing plays and the Bucks should take encouragement from playing the Eastern Conference favs so tight.
Milwaukee head west after this game, and the +10.5 on the visitors is tempting given how the home side may be more focused on that tricky away run of games, but the Kings look more like a team who'll beat bad teams but won't threaten good ones.
The better play is on the total. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the league. Bucks games are 4-1 for the over at home this season and I'd fancy that to go to five here at [1.91].
Wizards spell broken
New York Knicks @ Washington Wizards
November 4, 23:00
Live on Betfair Video
This season has been a disaster so far for Washington. They dropped to 1-7 against the Thunder even with Dwight Howard and Markieff Morris back healthy. The veteran center had just three rebounds on debut, so any hope he'd immediately fix their league worst defence looks lost already.
New York have won two of their last three, a positive sign for coach David Fizdale as he tries to build chemistry between the young talent assembled in NYC. Tim Hardaway Jr is leading their scoring as they wait for a Porzingus return, and rookie center Mitchell Robinson is standing out.
He ably handled DeAndre Jordan in their win at the Mavericks, and will need to put up a similar showing in Washington if the Knickerbockers' reconstruction is to win a second straight game.
Looking at their pace of play, the under appeals here as both teams combine to score well below 226.5 points per game on average. It's 10/11 on the Sportsbook.
Grizz can sizzle Suns
Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns
November 5, 01:00
Live on Betfair Video
Another surprise has been the Grizzlies. They added to an early season win in Salt Lake City another triumph over the much-fancied Jazz in their last game, and a handsome win it was too, fighting back from seven point deficit at the half to win 110-100.
Marc Gasol outfought Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley top-scored for the Tennesseans as they moved to 5-2 with another defiant display.
They go to Phoenix as 3.5 point favourites, and considering the Suns have lost seven straight, and are losing on average by 14 points per game, you might expect that to be more.
They have tightened up their losing margin recent games, which is some sign of progress. A marker of their on-going reconstruction however is Tyson Chandler's buy out and imminent move to the Lakers.
Memphis are difficult to like as road favourites, but Phoenix inspire so little confidence the line is difficult to resist. The fact that Phoenix are turning over the ball so much, while Memphis have built their most impressive wins on quick transitions just makes this look like a game made for them to cover at [1.91].
1pt on Over 235.5 in the Kings Bucks @ 1.91 on the Exchange
1pt on Under 226.5 points in Knicks Wizards @ 10/11 on the Sportsbook
1pt on the Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 @ 1.91 on the Exchange