San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors
Game 2, Wednesday 02:05 (UK Time)
Live on BT Sport & Betfair Live Video
The San Antonio Spurs led big against the Golden State Warriors in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, but the ankle injury sustained by Spurs' superstar forward Kawhi Leonard in the third quarter combined by the offensive brilliance of Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant - both of who are former MVPs - cost San Antonio Game 1. It was an opportunity missed.
The prospects for Game 2 are far less optimistic for San Antonio, as Leonard has already been ruled out due to the ankle injury, and San Antonio are also without starting point guard Tony Parker for the duration of the playoffs.
Short on bodies and personnel, the Spurs' offense should struggle to match points with Golden State's high octane multi-headed offensive monster. San Antonio's best hope for this series is to get Leonard back healthy for Game 3, hold their home court in Games 3 and 4, and return to Golden State level at 2-2. At the moment, the Warriors look like they'll face far less resistance in Game 2 and should easily cruise to a 2-0 series lead.
Warriors forward Andre Iguodala is listed as questionable due to a sore knee, but Golden State should be able to manage even if their sixth man is unable to play.
As one would expect, San Antonio faces long odds on the Moneyline. Betfair lists the Spurs at [11.0] to win outright, while the Warriors are offering available to back at [1.09]. The Handicap market lists the Warriors at -12.5 and the Spurs at +12.5.
AccuScore Simulation Model Odds Analysis
AccuScore calculated its handicap line at 14.0 points, so the Warriors at -12.5 offer value. Golden State is projected to win with 90.0% certainty according to AccuScore, so even though there is a bit of value on the Spurs' Moneyline bet, it's a tough pick to make. The Under on the 209.5 Total Points also offers value according to AccuScore's simulation model.