Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Game 3, Thursday 02:05 (UK Time)
Live on BT Sport & Betfair Live Video
Game 3 of the NBA Finals is pivotal. If the Warriors win and go 3-0 up, the series would essentially be over, as no team has blown a 3-0 lead in the NBA Playoffs, let alone the NBA Finals. If the Cleveland Cavaliers bounce back and win Game 3, however, there's hope that this could be a series yet.
Prior to the start of the series, AccuScore projected that the Warriors would win in 5 games, which still leaves enough room for one win for Cleveland, and if a win is going to come, it would expect to arrive in either Game 3 or Game 4. Thus far, however, the Warriors have been the far better team and the second halves of both Game 1 and Game 2 led to unbalanced, one-sided blowout contests.
Can a bit of hometown cooking (and refereeing) make this a competitive series?
Even with the Cavs back home, Betfair's Moneyline market is offering Cleveland at [2.48], while you can back the Warriors at [1.69]. The handicap market lists Cleveland +3.5 at [1.92], and the Total Points line is 225.5 points.
AccuScore Odds Analysis
Thus far, AccuScore has been perfect on all picks in every market for the NBA Finals. The computer is 8-0 on moneyline, handicap, side value and total points picks for Games 1 and 2. So, what is the best value bet for Game 3?
AccuScore agrees that Golden State should be the favourite and calculates the Warriors' win probability at 54.9%, but the side value bet based on the odds is to back Cleveland at [2.48]. Also, the Cavs are the computer's pick in the handicap market.